Newspaper Page Text
Whitman to Win
By 200,000, Says
Chairman Glynn Predicts
Upstate Plurality of at
? Least 500,000
Secret Tammany Straw Vote
Said to Have Been Disap?
The election of Governor Whitman j
by a majority of from 150,000 to 200,- j
000 or more is predicted by local and j
State Republican leaders, and that thi?
estimate i3 conservative may be judged ;
from the fact that two years ago these j
,ame men claimed the stale by 120,000, j
che figures-op election night showing j
that the Republican state ticket ticket j
had been swept into office by a major- j
i.-y of nearly 16-1,000.
Gains in the State Legislature and \
in the New York Congressional delega- I
Mon are also predicted by the Repub- !
local Democratic leaders, who were
loud last year in predicting .Mayor
Hyian's election, were silent yesterday.
It can be stated authoritatively that '
1he secret canvass of the city taken by :
Tammany Hall gives the city to Ai- ;
fred E. Smith by less than 175,000.
When it is recalled that two years ago. .
without women voting,, the up-state
majority for Governor Whitman was ?
185.000 -a majority that all agree will
be nearly doubled this year it will be i
?een that the chances of Smith win?
ning aro reduced almost to an ^n
P.niteshna] negligibility. ;
Despite these facts," the Democratic '?
State Chairman, J. A. Kcilogg, issued a
statement at Syracuse last night claim?
ing a Tammany landslide bv 150,000 to'
^ Georgo A. Glynn, Republican State j
Chairman, estimates that the Governor I
will win by 200.000 or more. j
Samuel S. Koenig, chairman of the ;
County Committee, predicts a Republi?
can state victory by at least 150,000.
200,000, Says Glynn
"Tammany hasn't a ghost of a chance |
this year," said Chairman Glynu. "Re?
ports received from all parts of the
? state foreshadow the reelection of the
I Governor by a plurality of 200,000 or
"There are in round figures a quar
? ter of a million more enrolled Repub
| Jicans than Democrats in the state,"
said Mr. Glynn.
"Women affiliated with the Repub
! lican party in larger numbers than
i with the Democratic," he continued.
"A conservative estimate of the man
I ner in which the women outside of
! New York City will divide gives 75 per
j cent of that vote to the Republican
"In 1914 the counties of Albany,
Erie, Onondaga and Weatchiiater offset
the Democratic plurality in New York
"in 1916 the counties of Albany and
I Westchester offset the Democratic
i plurality in New York City.
"In 1917, with only on? state candi?
date running, the counties of Albany,
Chautauqua, Erie, Monroe, Oneida,
Onondaga and Westchester offset the
Democratic vote below The Bronx.
These latter counties will give as large
an aggregate majority for the Repub?
lican ticket this year as greater New
York can give for the Democratic.
"The up-state Republican enrollment
exceeda the Democratic enrollment by
470,000, so that, taking the enrollment
up-state as a basis the Republican can?
didates will come down to The Bronx
with a plurality of 525,000.
Upstate Nearly Two U> On?
"In 1917, with only men voting, Re?
publicans upstate lacked only 3,000 of
casting two votes to the Democrats'
one. With women voting, the upstate
Republican percentage will be greater.
"Records and figures are a basis for
predictions when the dominant party
is harmonious. There never was a
time when the Republicans were work?
ing in greater harmony, when their or?
ganization was more efficient or when
more ?eal and activity were manifest?
ed by all hands than in the present
"The Democrats could not win on
their own estimate of greater New
York, which at all times has been over?
"I am confident that the Republicans
will elect thirty members of Congress,
that, we will gain members of Assembly
upstate and in greater New York, that
we will hold every upstate Senate dis- \
trict that wc now have, and will gain ,
at least one, possibly two. in New York '
City. ' |
Analyzing the situation from his \
viewpoint, tho Democratic state chair- ;
man, J. A. Kellogg, estimates the total ?
number of ballots which will be cast ?
in this state at. 2,240,000, New Yrork ?
City polling 940,000 and up-state
Of this vote Chairman Kellogg ex- |
pects Mr. Smith will receive in New '
York 573,400 and Whitman 310,200. i
Of the 1,300,000 estimated vote up- i
state he expects Mr. Smith will get !
559,000 and Mr. Whitman 663,000. This |
would give the total vote for the two !
leading candidates: Smith, 1,132,400, I
and Whitman, 9734200.
Republican County Chairman Koe- I
nig gives Smith a majority of but
50,000 in Manhattan. '
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B. H. Snell Predicts,
For Whitman Sure
Glynn's Associate Says
Democrats Are Due for
One of Worst Defeats
I Republicans Elated
Expect to Wrest Four Demo- i
cratic Congressional Strong?
holds From Occupants
Representative Bertrand II. Snell, of
Potsdam, who has been associated with j
Chairman Glynn of the Republican j
State Committee in the management of
the Republican campaign in this state,
I before leaving yesterday for his home
in St. Lawrence County said the Re?
publican prospects never were better ?
I and that there is no doubt about the j
election or the etate ticket.
"During the last two weeks I have j
talked either iace to face or over the j
telephone with every county chr\ir?ian |
in the state," said he. "Unless these ]
county leaders are wofully deceived :
about conditions in their respective |
localities the Democrats are in for one j
of the worst defeats of this generation.
From Buffalo to Montauk Point the I
outlook is favorable.
"Things were rather quiet until a |
week ago, when the President made his j
spectacular appeal to the people to
turn their backs upon faithful and j
loyal representatives in Congress and !
veto for the Democratic candidates. '
That stirred up the Republicans all
over the state. It. has put the spirit of ?
fight into about 26,000 Republicans who !
didn't seem to cave whether school I
kept or not. '
"We have been giving special atten-]
tion to tile close Congress districts. 11
am confident that we shall carry four
districts now represented by Demo?
crats, and at the same time hold what
we already have. If we do this, the
gain in this state alone will be enough,
to change control of th?; House of Rep-j
resentatives as at present constituted.!
Confident of 150,000
"While I realize that predictions
close to Election Day are rather haz?
ardous, and make a man look cheap if
they aro much beside the mark, I am
confident that my original estimate of
abo-.it 200,000 or 250,000 for Whitman
and the state ticket is approximately
"The only weak spot in our line, so
far as I candiscover, is Broome County.
There is considerable factional trouble
there, but the intelligence and charac?
ter of the people of Broome County
warrant the predition that on Election
Day tho voters there will postpone
their factional troubles and vote the
"The Democrats are banking on the
President's appeal to change the votes
of a large number of women voteia.
They think that mothers with boys in
France wil yield to the appeal from
the White House and vote the Demo?
cratic state ticket. Perhaps the Demo?
cratic mothers will, but the Republi- i
can mothers will not I know those up- j
state mothers, for I hadone myself.
They think very straight on moral
questions. Of course, they are sup?
porting the war programme of the
President. Ml of us are doing that.
Butf the election of a Tammany Gov?
ernor in the State of New York is a
horse of another color.
The Snlzer Scandal
"The lamented 'Bill' Salzer, in the
campaign of 1914 had a higher reputa?
tion for ability, squareness, decent
ideals and love for the people than
'Al' Smith ever''had. The voters took
a chanceen Sulzer. The Tammany
political gunmen demanded of Sulzer
that he turn the state treasury over to
the Tammany grafters. He gave them
half of what they demanded, but be?
cause he would not give them every?
thing, and because he had already
started one of their district leaders
on the way to Sing Sing, they deter?
mined to destroy him?and they did
that very thing.
"The identical outfit responsible for
the taking-off of 'Bill' Sulzer is back
of Smith. State Chairman Kellogg
was one of the handy men in the office
of the Attorney General. Kelley, of 1
i Syracuse, Fitzpatrick, of Buffalo, Far- I
ley, of Binghamton, Fitzgibbon, of I
Oswcgo, Walsh, of Westchester, and
last, but most, important of all. Smith j
and Murphy of Tammany Hall were :
all on deck in 1914. Smith was the i
chiaf engineer of the machine that i
bjA8te?i|| Sulzer out of his dugout.
"The Tammany gang needed seven
Republican votes in addition to its own
in order to do Sulzer to death. Smith
and his merry men got them at mid?
night. Salzer went down and out, and
the Tamany outfit that caused his un?
doing went down and out, too. They
are back, liai in hand, all 'dolled up,'
but some of them are exjail birds, and
more of them are grafters, with a mar?
vellous capacity for looting the State
Treasury, and the taxpayers of New
York remember them."
?Edge Closes Campaign
With Fling at Wilson
Governor Edge of New Jersey, can?
didate for the United States Senate, in
closing the campaign in Jeraev City
took a final fling last night at the at?
tempt of the Democratic national or?
ganization to carry New Jersey for
i Senate and Congress on the plea that
j it was necessary to win the war.
I "My Democratic opponents in New
Jersey," said Governor Edge, "now as?
sert that Jerseymen daring to vote for
a Republican are 'pro-German, pacifist
"I guess we all agree that New Jer?
sey has been giving the President and
his war policies every possible support.
With our 100,000 boys at the front, onr
I New Jersey factories turning out half
j of the entire output of munitions in
j the whole country and our state moth
I ering practically thirty-five canton
! ments and military stations, I guess
no one will question our loyalty or p*
I triotiiro as a state. And yet we are a
i commonwealth under Republican ad?
, "I believe New Jersey would he loyal
to the core and firmly back of any
President in the nationa l??xtremity of
; war, no matter by what political party
\ it happened to be administered. Pa
j iriotiam is inborn in the Jeraeyman,
I has been since the Continental Con
I gTeas and docs not depend on the par
I ticular brand of hi3 party politics."
F. E. Croaadale. the Governor's cam
j paign manager, predicted that Edge
i would win by at least 60,000 over
George M. La Monte.
SPECIAL INDUCEMENTS to the right
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ERN MARKET. Particulars, Box 338,
Republicans Sure They Will
Win Both Senate and House
Analysis of Situation indicates Victory as Result of
Vigorous and United Fight They Have Made as
Result of Wilson's Plea to Voters
Forty United States Senators will |
! be selected this*?year. The terms of
| thirty-two (Democrats, 18; Repub?
licans, 14;, will expire on March 3,
1919. Eight will be elected to fill the
unexpired terms of Senators James F.
Brady, of Idaho; Robert F. Broussard,
of Louniana; William J. Stone, of Mis?
souri; Francis G. Newlands, of Ne?
vada; Jacob H, Gallinger, of New
Hampshire; William Hughes, of New
Jersey; Harry Lane, of Oregon, and
Benjamin R. Tillman, of South Caro?
lina. Six of these are Democrats and
two are Republicans. Bert M. Fernald,
of Maine, was elected at the Septem?
Representatives will be elected in
the entire 485 districts. Necessary
for a majority, 218. Present member?
ship: Democrats, 215; Republicans,
209; Progressives, 2; Independents, 2;
.Socialist, 1; Prohibitionist, 1; vacan?
The Republican national committee,
under the direction of Will H. Hays,
and the Republican Congressional cam- |
paign committee, under the chairman- ,
ship of Representative Simeon D. i
Fess. of Ohio, early this year buckled ,
to the task of wresting control of j
both the Senate and the House from j
the Democrats and are! sure that they ]
will accomplish it on Tuesday. The j
battle has been one of the most stub?
born in the history of American pol
Republicans Believed Wilson
President Wilson last summer said .
that politics were "adjourned," and the
Republicans took him seriously until
they discovered that politics had not
been adjourned. The appeal by the
President, nine days ago to the voters
of the country for support of Demo
bratic candidates may have been, effec- j
tive. The figures on Wednesday next,
will tell the story. The Republicans j
were stirred to unwonted activity by ?
the appeal, and are confidently await-1
ing the verdict. I
According to the way the Repub- ;
licans figure it, a gain of four Senators j
will tie the vote in the upper house,
and they assert that in order to obtain j
a winning margin of one, or more than :
one, they have a good fighting chance j
in at least six states. The Republican
managers seem to be confident of gain- j
ing a Senator in Illinois, Kansas, New
Hampshire and Delaware.
Kansas, which wrought disaster for!
the Republicans two years ago, shows j
every indications of a return, with ban- ?
ners flying, to the Republican party,
and the leaders count on a sweep there.
The people of Kansas seem to have in?
terpreted the President's appeal as an
attack on their independence and in?
telligence. President Wilson carried ,
the state two years ago, but the latest
estimate this year is that Governor!
Capper, running for Senator and
Henry Allen, for Governor, will win
with a margin of 100,000, and that the
Republicans will gain four Congress-1
State Fights in Detail |
Down in Arizona the Republicans
arc backing Maddock, absent in the ?
army in France, for Congrcssman-at
large. The President has indorsed his
California Republicans say they will
elect their candidates in the 7th and
?>th districts, now represented by
Democrats. Randall, the incumbent
from the 9th, is vulnerable on account
of his votes on war measures.
The fight for tho Senatorship in
Colo ado is very bitter. The Republi?
cans, are backing Lawrence C. Phipps,
while the Democrats are supporting
Senator Shafroth. The President has j
ndorsed Edward Keating for Congress
in the 3rd district, although Keating
voted *rong on all of the eight great
The Republicans regard as good as
w .in the contests for Senator in Rhode
Island, South Dakota and Michigan, but
they admit that George W. Norris in
Nebraska will have to fight all the
way. The President has indorsed his
opponent, ex-Governor J. H. Morehead.
In Delaware, the factions are all to?
gether once more, and supporting Dr.
i Lewi? H. Ball, whose Democratic op
i ponent is Senator Saulsbury.
Two Senators in Idaho
Two Senators are to be chosen in
Idaho, where the Republicans are sup?
porting Senator William E. Borah and
Frank R. Gooding. The election of
Gooding over John F. Nugent wiU. be a
net gain of a Senator.
In Dlinoia the Republicans are conn
dent of electing Medill McCormick over
Senator James Hamilton Lewis, and the
I Republicans are counting on making
! Congressional gains as well.
The Indiana Republicans made such
; a sweep two years ago that they are
' not expected to gain a great deal this
i year, but they are counting on electing
I Luhring, Republican, in the 1st against
the Democratic incumbent. Dent?n. The
Republicans also count on electing A. J.
? Hickey in $the 13th ?gainst Congress
l man Henry A. Bamhart.
' In .aKnsas, as already noted, the Re
; publicans will elect, Governor Capper
j over Senator Thompson, and carry the
i 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th and 8th Congress dis
I tricts, all of which are now represented
I by Democrats.
Kentucky, usually safely Democratic
is giving the Democrats a great deal of
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81-87 Court SU?rookl vn
i concern. S?.-nr tor James died, and Gov?
ernor Stanley is in the race. The Re?
publicans named Dr. B. L. Bruner,
whose grandfather was a soldier in the
I Revolutionary War ami whose father
i was a soldier in the Civil War. He
! himsel fserved creditably in the Span
i ish-American war, and he has two sons
| in France. In the Congre'ss race the
i Republicans expect a net gain of two
Newberry to Beat Ford
_ Lieutenant Commander Truman II.
i Newberry's election is quite generally
conceded in Michigan, although the
| President has gone out of his way to
! support Henry Ford. There is a brisk
light on to make the Michigan delega?
tion solidly Republican. The Demo
i crats now have two out of the thirteen
In Missouri the Republicans believe
they have a real chance to elect Seidon
| P. Spencer as successor to William J.
i Stone, deceased. Joseph Folk is the
In Montana Representative Jeannette
Rankin is the National party's candi
: date for United States Senator, having
> been beaten in the Republican primar?
ies by Oscar M. Lanstrum. The Demo?
cratic candidate is Senator Thomas J.
In Nevada the Republicans have nom?
inated E. E. Roberts against Senator
Charles B. Henderson.
New Hampshire Republicans are con?
fident of electing b,oth their candidates
for Senator, Governor Henry W. Keyes
and George H. Moses. The Democrats
are making a hard fight against Keyes.
Governor Edge is regarded as a sure
winner in the New Jersey battle.
Senator Baird, ad interim appointee
candidate to succeed himself for the
short term, is bitterly opposed by
Seeks Revenge on Fall
The fight this year for Senator in
New Mexico is sure to be remembered,
because President Wilson, in order to
beat Senator A. B. Fall, Republican,
who bitterly attacked him on his Mex?
ican war policy, has indorsed bis op?
ponent, W. B. Watton, who. Colonel
Roosevelt is informed, is a Socialist.
New York is placed in the Repub?
lican column by the campaign man?
agers. The normal Republican mar
gi nis close to 2&0.000 with the women
voting, and State Chairman Glynn says
Governor Whitman will carry the state
by 200,000. The campaign managers
believe they will gain four Congres?
districts.the 3d, where John McCrate
has the nomination of both the Repub?
licans and Democrats; the 21st, where
John A. Bolles is running against Rep?
resentative Donovan; the Schenectadj
district, where Dr. Frank Crowther h
tho Republican candidate against
George R. Lunn, and in the 41st, in
the city of Buffalo, where the Repub?
licans arc backing Clarence MacGregot
against Representative Charles B
In Ohio the Republicans assert thej
will make a gain of three or four seats
No changes are looked for either ii
North Dakota, Oklahoma or Oregon
Whitman Still a? 8/5
Favorite Over Smith
MORE Smith money was in
evidence yesterday in Wall
Street and Whitman supporters
found takers of bets at odds of
8 to 5. It was reported that
Ambrose A. O'Neill, uptown Re?
publican leader, placed $8,000 to
$5,000 Mr. Whitman will be re
elected Governor. C. W. Star
buck was said to have bet $900
to $500 the same way.
i On the Broad Street curb it
was estimated between $20,000
and $25,000 was placed at the
prevailing odds. Percy Guard,
| stakeholder, offered for P. G.
j Stamm $10,000 even money that
I Governor Whitman will carry the
state by 75,000. One thousand
. dollars even was bet that the next
; House will be Democratic.
iln Pennsylvania the Republicans hope
! to gain oneor two representatives.
The freinds of Senator Le Baron
Bradford Colt are confident of return?
ing him to tht Upper House , rom
Rhode Island. His opponent is George
Opposes Non-Partisan League
! Senator Thomas Sterling, Republican,
i is up for reelection in South Dakota.
| He probably will win. The tight here
j is made uncertain by a combination of
! the Democrats and the Non-Partisan
? In Tennessee the Republicans are
making a hard fight for J. Will Taylor
in the 3d District.
In the State of Washington interest
centres bn the race that Judge J. Stan
! ley Webster is making in the 5th
Congressional District against the in?
cumbent, C. C. Dill.
David Elkins, jr., who comes of the
well known Republican family, is mak
, ing a brisk canvass in West Virginia
to defeat Senator C. W. Watson, who
' has been indorsed by President Wilson.
In Wyoming Senator Francis Emory
j Warren, one of the veterans of the
j upper house, is a candidate to succeed
' himself, his Democratic opponent being
ex-Governor John E. Osborne.
I The Democrats in desperation have
used the office of the Postmaster Gen?
eral for electioneering purposes, and
Federal office holders all along the line
have been urged to contribute.
It is said that the President is trying
to bring about a general armistice,
sanctioned by all the Allies, and that it
will be announced not later than to?
morrow morning. Members of the Re?
publican National Committee expect
that the President will issue a second
call for the election of Democratic can?
didates for the Senate and the House.
Relatives Push Inquiry
Into Epileptic's Death
P?TERSON, N, J.. Nov. 2.?Further
inquiry will be made into the recent
death of TJrban Hasser at the State
Home for Epileptics at killman, N. J.
His relatives are not satisfied with a
report David F. Weeks, superintendent
of the home, said was made by the
County Physician that bruises on Has
ser's body wore the result of falling
when attacked by epilepsy.
It was found that Hasser's left
shoulder, several ribs and bones of his
right hand had been fractured.
Army, Navy, Marines
and all men and women
in overseas service.
Call or write for special offef
C-^IJ/^r-T C 19-23 WEST 44TH STREET
Ov^nvJv/JUaJ -*R-3T0 WEST 59TH STREET
; Fuel Order Permits
Election Bulletins I
A DISPATCH from Washington
announcing a modification of
the lightless night order-will be made
on Tuesday night to permit the dis?
playing of election returns was re?
ceived here last night, just when the
city was preparing i'tself for the first
election night of years without the
iishing bulletins at the most fre?
Officials of the local fuel adminis?
tration were surprised at the modi?
fication order, as they already had
I announced that the time-honored cus
, torn must give way to conservation
It is understood no other illumi- ;
nation, including the ashing of red
or white lights to denote partisan fl
victory, will be permitted.
I Asked if the showing of motion
I pictures during the intervals between
the flashing of returns would be per?
mitted, Mr. Schley said:
"I do not believe that we will pro?
hibit this, provided no current is
was'ted. If two machines are neces?
sary both should not be burning at
i any one time."
Smith Dodges Talk
On Suffrage Views
i Alfred E. Smith at the Lyceum The?
atre yesterday discussed minimum
wage for women, equal pay for men
and women for equal work, and the
problem of food distribution, but failed
to mention the Federal suffrage amend?
ment and his attitude toward its adop?
tion. Although his audience was made
up of enthusiastic Democratic women,
much disappointment was expressed
afterward that suffrage was not men?
The meeting was called by the
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Some Most Attractive Bargains In th-,
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Body Dept., "Blue Sign*," 317 W. 69th,
Women's Bureau of the Citizens' Com?
mittee, and was presided over by Mrs.
Mark K. Simkovitch. Other speakers
were Mrs. Henry Moskowitz, Miss Eliz?
abeth Marbury, Mrs. Jennie Davis and
Joseph M. Proskauer.
Our Operating Force Is Still
Reduced Because of
While a few operators have returned to their du?
ties, others are absent for the first time because
THERE IS NO MATERIAL IMPROVEMENT IN
It is still impossible for those operators remaining
at their posts to handle promptly ALL the calls that
are being made in certain sections of the city.
Will you, therefore, p ease avoid making all
unnecessary calls and thereby help the operators to
handle those calls that are indispensable.
THINK Before You Telephone :
"Is This a Necessary Call?"
NEW YORK TELEPHONE COMPANY