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Newspaper Page Text
DEMCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL OUTLOOK SIX , '
MONTHS BEFORE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
. By Wm. E. Smythe.-
Washington, -D, C, Pec. 8. It is six months to. the Demq
cratic hational convention, but a present forecast based dn fctfof ma
, tion gathered from many pafts of the county, lddks like this:
Nd 'candidate Will haVe the" riecessary twd-thlrtis ihajority at
the start. It is doubtful If any will have even a bare majorify.
"Woodrow Wilson will lead with a large followingj -JUclsdn Har
1 mon or Champ Clark will be second or-thiTjd, respectively, each with
a large following.' Oscar 3V. Underwoqa and Wi R Hearst will have
delegates and other favorite sons Way have their own state dele--gatiohs.
"The final outcome, will be largely governed bjr the. Republican
nomination, which will' have been previously ,made. If it is a progres
sive nomination, like LaFollette the Democratic problem' will be
this: ' J , ''
"Shall we name a nan who tan hope tovcafry New York Kew
' Jersey, Indiana and the south the Cleveland game of 1884, ,1888
and 1892 -or shall we-play for a union of the south and the west on
a radical basis?" '
" v If the former view 'is accepted -the result will favor Harmon
or. possibly, Underwood -Then theeffort will be to unite the con
servative influences of the country ana! Wall street financial back
ing behind the party. '
If the latter view is taken Wilson will be the hian ahd the
Dempctats will go. to battle on the progressive side bf ,the issues
of the day. ' v - 4
In the 'event of a reactionary Republican nomination, Wilson's
success would be practically asslired, both in the convention and '
at the polls.' , . v
There is another possible situation rmany regard it as not only
possible, but probable. The struggle between conservative and
progressive forces may deadlock the convention so that neither Har
mon nor Wifsdn can win. In tht dase, there wiil be- a call for the
jnaiiwhp can command support i rdm both sides. ,
Spealcer Clark is in ,the most advantageous position td profit,
from such a situation. He is the favorite with the lower hduse of
congress, whose members will be largely in the convention ahd who