Fair Tonight and
Yesterday's Circulation, 44,200
WASHINGTON, SATUHDAY EVENING, NOVEMBER 2, 1912.
PRICE ONE CENT.
Col. Roosevelt's Election
Predicted by Mr. Munsey
r The campaign practically ends tonight. Tho fight is
over. Tho voto is tho finish. What will tho vote be 1 This
is what everyone is asking of everyone.
My prediction is that Roosevelt will bo elected. 1
don't know that this will happen. Nobody knows that it
This isn 't a sure-thing campaign, except as it concerns
Taft. That ho will not bo elected is ono thing we do know,
bb wo likewise know ho will run a very bad third.
,1 may be wrong in my conclusion that Roosevelt will
be elected, but I don't believe I am.
This is a condition that cannot be measured by any
known standards, cannot be measured by any known prece
dents. The problem is largely a psychological one. Any de
duction worth whilo must be, in considerable degree, intui
tive. Intuition is not a thing to bank on. But supported
by innumerable soundings and the political sweep, it is a
heap better than cold mathematics, when mathematics
hasn't a thing to get a grip on. There has never been a
campaign so full of cross-currents and misleading elements
as this one.
The silent vote, on which no man has any line, will cut
a tremendous figure in this election. So, too, will the voto
of tho man who "hasn't yet made up his mind," nnd this
typo of man is very numerous.
In reaching a conclusion, the historic strength and the
organization strength of the old parties, and tho spon
taneity and zeal of tho new party, must be taken into ac
count. So, too, must the principles of tho three partieB
and the relative force of appeal each will make to tho vot
ers of tho country.
Another way of gettingsomething of a side light on
tho situation is by classifying the voters by their occupa
tions and estimating their probable attitude in this contest.
Here aro some figures in this connection nnd they are bnt
tressed by many facts and by many things:
Farmer' rot 60 per cent for I nserelt
Industrial Wage Workers 70 per cent for Ilooicielt
Traveling salesmen 80 per cent for Hooierelt
Newspaper and periodical writer 80 per cent for Itnotcvelt
Clerks, accountants, and salesmen In bnslncss
houses, In banks 05 per cent for RooseYcIt
Educators 7.1 per cent for Roosflrelt
IUUroad men !. 00 per cent for KoosotcH
Other transportation men 70 per cent for RooseTelt
Miscellaneous occuputlons f0 per cent tor RooseTelt
Clergymen and doctors 7S per cent for Koosorclt
Railroad presidents, trust presidents, bankers,
heads of business concerns, lawyers, and
retired capitalist 10 per cent for Roosexelt
These figures are impression figures, not known fig
ures. It is impossible to know them. They may be very
wild, and they may be surprisingly accurate. They will
stand a shrinkage of a good deal more than 25 per cent and
still elect Roosevelt.
Indeed, a 40 per cent vote even would elect him unless
Taft 'a vote goes utterly to pieces. The Socialist and Pro
hibition vote together will equal about 6 per cent of tho
total vote enst. Deduct this from 60 per cent and we have
54 por cent to divide between Taft and Wilson. If Taft
were to get 20 per cent of this balance it would leave Wil
on 34 per cent, or fi per cent short of Roosevelt's vote.
There aro ten thousand things that have a bearing on
this election, but at this juncture the most convincing
thing is the undoubted and tremendous sweep to Roosevelt,
a sweep that has all the indications of a landslide, a sweep
as from the hand of destiny.
PRANK A. MUNSEY.
TQ DESTROY TOWN
Underwood, W. Va., Burning.
Seven Buildings Gone and
GRAFTON, W Va . Nov. 2 Fire
starting from a gas explosion In a big
general more eorlj today destroyed the
place, a score of business and resldcnto
buildings and portions of the I'nder
wood Hotel, In Nnderwood, this State.
Assistance nun sent from Ciruftun and
Fairmont, but without adequate water
supply the buildings In the business
section Here at the mercy of the flumes.
Twenty guestH In the hotel awakened
after the llrut alarm, lied to the streets
In their sleeping garments and -n III lose
everything. Becn buildings bad been
burned when all wlie communication
was cut olT, and at that time tlfty
others seemed doomed Tho lire loss
had reached close to J100.WI0, and may
be several times that. Ho far us learn
ed there was no loss of life.
MEN WERE TOO WEAK
TO CATCH LIFE LINE
Schooner Driven Ashore During
Gale Is Breaking Up.
NORFOLK. Va , Nov. 2,-Drlven
ashore by last night's not-Vaster, a
three-masted schooner Is breaking up
near the New Inlet life-saving station.
A telephone message said that two
of the new had been lost, being too
weak to catch a line from the llfe
suvers. The vessel's name has not been
Oregon Society Plans.
Plans for the winter season will be
discussed at a meeting; tonight at 8
oolock of tho Society of the Oregon
Country at the home of Mr. and Mrs.
.?' ,' I.,or'a"1 In tho Newbcrne,
Twelfth street and Massachusetts ave.
mie northwest, j w. Robinson, vice
president, will preside.
SIX INJURED IN
Victims Caught Like Rats in
Trap in Boiler Room
BEFORE AID COMES
Transferred to Hospital Ship
Solace and Brought to Norfolk.
One May Die.
M. C. liarnu, t'ual passer, Uauvtr
ousljr Injured una may die.
C. A. HutellniCi cual passer, serious
II. Va Cramer, coal passer, crlous-
ly Injured. I
J. W. Aeitberr), Oreman, Oral rla,
It. 31. Wanner, n reman, aerund rlasit,
M. . (,'reen, fireman, first class,
NOUKOLK, Va., Nov. 2. Tho vic
tims of another explosion aboard a
United States man-of-war, six
wounded men, one ot them scalded
so badly that ho proabbly will die,
wero brought to tho Norfolk Hospital
today from tho battleship Vermont,
on which a terrific boiler explosion
occurred oarly today.
Tho explosion occurred while tho
Vermont was at anchor off tho south-'
em drill grounds whero tho annual
target practice began today. Tho
great force of tho explosion shook
tho entire ship, and within a few
seconds tho entire engine room was
filled with steam and scalding water.
Tho sit men were caught like rats'
In a trap and thrown to the floor of
the boiler room when tho shock
camo. Four of them groped their
way blindly toward tho doorways
and meanwhile aid from the decks
above was rushed toward tho
wounded shut-Ins. I
Victims Horribly Burned.
Incomplete details of the sea tragedy
Indicate that It was several minutes be
fore the six men could bo located In
the steamy atmosphere of tho boiler
room, and. In the meantime they were
Tho men nearest the boiler were maid
ed from head to foot, and when re
moved to the open air were In a near
unconscious condition. Their shipmates,
stationed In varloui parts of tho en
gine room, wero also seveirly hurt by
the escaping steam and water.
Immediately following tho explosion,
which came In the early morning hours,
Captain Hughes sent a wireless message
to the hospital ship Solace, which stood
near by. Tho men were transferred at
sea shortly before daybreak, and wero
brought to Norfolk during tho morning.
Borne of thu Injured men are so seri
ously hurt that they were removed on
stretchers from tho steam-tilled engine
Confusion Followed Crash.
Early reports from the Vermont say
great confusion existed aboard
when tho boiler burst, sending a shiver
through the shlD and awaking tho sleep.
Ing officers and men above. Everyone
aboard, from captain to bluejackets,
was at once out of his sleeping quart
ers, and tho shouted commands of tho
officers se.nt rescue parties below,
Tho full effect of the explosion was
not known for several moments, and,
for a time. It was bellevid that every,
one In the Immidlate vicinity of the
boilers had perished.
It was also difficult to ascertain at
first the exact extent of the explo
sion, and In every breast thero lurkid
the haunting fear that the forco of the
Impact might have hit the man-of-war
In a vulnerable part of Its hull, prob
ably endangering the ship Itself. A
modified sigh of relief went up when
It was learned that onl one boiler,
No. 6, had had Its head blown out.
Tho wireless message for aid was Bent
shortly after 2 o'clock this morning,
within a few minutes after the explo
sion had uroused every one about d.
The hospital ship responded promptly
and physicians wero aoon relieving tho
sufferings of tho scalded men, whoso
groans might b.i heard nbovo tho hur
ried directions ot the commanding altl
rero of tho two ships.
TIMES FOOTBALL EXTRA
A complete and detailed story of the Princeton-Harvard football game
at Cambridge will be sent to The Times over a wire direct from the field of
play, and will be printed in an extra to be issued
AS SOON AS THE GAME IS ENDED
HALF MILLION ARE FIGHTING
AT TURKS' LAST STAND NEAR
GATES OF CONSTANTINOPLE
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GENERAL SAVOFF, Commander-in-Chief of Ctar Frederick's Forces, and Map
Their Last Desperate Stand At Constantinople Menaced By
TO BEST IN UTICA
Taft and Other Statesmen
Attend Vice President's
UTICA, N. V., Nov. 2.-In the pres
ence of tho President of the United
States, members of the Cabinet, tha
Senate, nnd House of Representatives,
of the Diplomatic Corps, and men and
women of every walk in life, final hon
ors were paid today to James School
craft Sherman, Vice President of the
In deference to the wishes of Mrs.
Sherman, the funeral was without dis
play. Simple, unostentatious services
wero held In tho First Presbyterian
Church, and the offer of the President
of a guard of regulars to escort the
body from the church to tho cemetery
was refused. As far as possible the
funeral was as simple as tho dead man
would have liked, and tho public serv
ices were made as brief as possible un
der the circumstances.
President Taft and party, the mem-
bera of the Henate and of the House
nnd tho distinguished 41 arty from
Washington reached this city at 1
(Continued on Sixth Page.)
and Scene of Rout
BECKER GETS NEW
FOB HIS APPEAL
J. A. Shay Succeeds Hart in
Case of Murder
NEW TOIIK. Nov. I-Attorney Joseph
A. Shay, 25 nrood street, has succeeded
John w Hart, as attorney- of record
in the case of Charles Becker, convict
ed of the murder of Herman Rosenthal,
and now In the deuthbouse at Sing Slntr
awaiting electrocution set for the week
btglnnlng December 9.
Attorney Khav today denied the re
port that chief counsel for necker. John
!'. Mclntyro had deseited his client and
would have nothing -to do with tho pre
paration of the appeal He said that
Jlclnlvre would remain us chief coun
sel and would tnke the lead In prepar
ing for the nppciil nroeeedings which,
hi said, would be made at once.
It wns further announced that Attor
ney Shay would go to Sing Sing for a
conference with the condemned former
lieutenant of police this afternoon and
that final conversation will bo held look
ing toward the appeal
District Attorney Whitman. It Is said,
has consulted four of the leading at
torneys in the State as to the outcome
of tho Rocker appeal It was said their
opinion was unanimous that Becker
need not entertain any great amount of
hope for redress In the court of appeals.
BATTLE IS BEINC
Bulgarian Troops Forcing
Way Toward Sultan's
many, Not. 2. Turkey has naked the
Ilalkan allies for an armistice, ac
cording to an unconfirmed report
Photo b) Underwood T'nderwotvi
Showing How Turks Are Making
telegraphed today from Belprude to
BUDAPEST, Nov. 2. A battle
comparable with any in the world's
history was drawing to Its close be
foro the gates of Constantinople to
day. On both sides Bulgarian and
Turkish nearly 500,000 men are en
gaged. Fighting began ten days ago
and has raged almost continuously
Tho battle front was about thirty
miles long at first. Then It stretched
to nearly one hundred. Todny It had
narrowed again to about thirty, ns
tho sea hemmed the combatants in
on either side.
Of the losses In killed and wounded
only the vaguest estimates could be
made. Military men hero surmlsrd
however, from the little thoy have
learned definitely that on both sides
the figure will approximate 750,000
Fall Expected Any Time.
Beyond tho fact that fighting ai still
Pin progress within twenty-five or thirty
miles of Constantinople today, accurate
Information was lacking of develop
ments later than Thursday night.
Ten days ago It would huo been
taken for granted here that tho Turks,
realizing that their last line of defenses
had ben reached, that their capital Itself
was besieged, and that one more defeat
would bo their last, would fight to tho
last man. Rut this was not the opinion
of the best Judges toduy. The pei
slstency with which they havu been
beaten has shattered tho general faith
In the Ottoman troops' prowess. Nows
that the Bulgarians had entered Con
stantinople was expected at any time.
Hopeful Bulletins Issued.
The Turkish war office continued, It
was true, to Issue hopeful bulletins.
Tho urnlj's oast wing, It was ussertid,
was winning; tho west was holding Its
own. Thu known facts mado It certain
that the bulletins wero false.
The Turko-Uulgarlan wai, thus far,
has been ono hugo buttle. Sklimlshlag
began as soon aa thu Bulgarians creiss
ed the frontlet at Mustapiia Pasha and
grew hotter as they approached Kirk
(Continued on Sixth Page.)
Canadian Steamer Goes fo
Pieces on Rocks in Lake
ONLY FOUR MEN ARE
SAVED FROM DEATH
Women and Children Among Vic
tims of Tragedy Caused by
MONTREAL. Quebec, Nov. 2.
Word has reached here that during
tho tremendous storm of last night
the steamer Cecelle, a little boat
which piles bctwsen Montreal and
Vallcyfield, sank at Isle Perrot, In
Lake St. Louis, ten miles west of
As far as can be learned, at least
sixteen people have boen drowned,
men, women, and children. Only
four passengers were saved all
Soon after leaving the Lachlne
canal and entering the lake, the
storm caught the frail little craft
which only weighed 125 tons. The
violence ot the storm Increased, and
the Cecelle got out of control com
pletely. Ship's Hull Shattered.
With tho force of tho flfty-flve-mll-n
hour gale behind her, she rusl"d
tcwriil tho southshore and struck thr
roth' Islo Perrot with a force th.
cmashed her thin wooden hull o frag
mtntr and threw passengers and crcv,
Intr the water.
Tic shrieks of th people li the whi
or attracUd the attention ct n Uimf
AlrwJider Leonard, vho heiolcslly in
out in a boct. He found f, ur men cling
lint to wreckage. These he took safel,
f -hore but could discover no more.
Tut survivors arc Lionel LM c,,son
of Capt. Jean I edi.e. Vallevtleldj A
Ocsslln, Valleyfleld: K. II llallargeo.i.
iil,eflehl: Killx Couslneiu St. Col
Tr' morning sections of ths debris
drifted ashore along the borders of the
lek... The names of the missing have
not yet been learned.
ETTOR DEFENSE TO
TAKE TWO WEEKS
First Witness Takes Stand in Sup
port of Labor Leaders'
8ALI:M, Mass, Nov. 2 -The first
witness for the defense, lid ward Rllej,
of Lawrence, took the stand when
court opened today In the Etlor-Glovan-nlttl-Caruso
That the testimony of the defense's
witnesses will take at least two weeks
longer as practically assured because
of the court's ruling that only twelve
witnesses a day win be subpoenaed.
It was announced today that tha pres
ent plan Is to hold court next Tuesdaj.
PLANS LONG FLIGHT
Will Leave Omaha For 1,200-Mile
OMAHA, Neb., Nov. 2 Tony Jaiiuus.
dare devil of the recent Chicago avia
tion meet, will loave Omaha. Wednes
day, November 6, for a hydroaeroplane
flight to New Orleans, In an effort to
establish a new speed record for long
distance According to plans announced
todav he will fl) a llcnolst 80
horsepowcr biplane nnd expects to
truvel via the Missouri und Mississippi
rivers, covering a dlstonce of 1.2W
Pennsylvanians to Meet.
The leguhir monthlEy meeting of the
Pennsvlvanla Society, of Washington
will bo held In the Pjthtan Tcmplo to
night at 8 o'clock. Samuel It. Strattan,
P'esident, will preside Notices of the
meeting have been mailed to several
hundred Pcnnsvlvanlans In Washing
ton, asking that they attend.
POHKCABl FOIt TIIU UIUTjllC'l
Fair tonight and Sunduy; colder to
night, with freezing tempcruture.
U. S HUIIDAU. I AFFLECK'S
8 a. in 10 8 a. in. .
9 a. m i 9 a. m
10 a. m 41 10 n. m
11 a m 41 I 11 a m
M. noon 61 I 12 noon
1 p. m 51 1 p. m ...
t p. in 5.' 1 . p m
Today High tide, 1 07 u m and 1 lv
p. in., low tldo, k 01 a in and S 20 p 111
Tomorrow High tide, ; 1G am. and
2 OS n m , low tide, U X, a m, nnd S i
Sun rises 6:2 Sun seta 4.U
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