WILL THE FLU RETURN?
(Authoritative Statement issued by The U. S. Public Health Service.)
ROBABLY, bnt by no means certain, there will be a re
currence of the influenza epidemic this year.
Indications are, that should it occur, it will not be as
severe as the pandemic of the previous winter.
)fficials, state and city boards of health, should be pre
pared in the event of a recurrence.
The fact that a previous attack brings immunity in a certain
percentage of cases should allay fear on the part of those afflicted
in the previous epidemic.
Influenza is spread by direct and indirect contact.
It is not yet certain that the germ has been isolated, or dis
covered, and as a consequence there is yet no positive, preventive,
except the enforcement of rigid rules of sanitation and the avoidance
of personal contact.
A close relation between the influenza pandemic and the con
stantly increasing pneumonia mortality rate prior to the Fall of 1918
It is now believed that the disease was pretty widely dissemina
ted throughout the country before it was recognized in its epidemic
state. This failure to recognize the early cases appears to have large
ly been due to the fact that every interest was then centered on the
Above are the important facts developed by the United States
Public Health Service after a careful survey and investigation of the
influenza pandemic of 1918-19, carried on in every State and import
ant city, and even in foreign countries.
No one of the many experts of the Service would make a more
positive forecast of the all-important question, will there be a
recurrence? All agreed, however, that a recurrence was not nn
likely, and in the face of the known facts, that it would be wise to
be prepared, more with a view of being on the safe side than actu
ally anticipating danger.
The following excerpts from the Government report are pu
blished for the benefit of the public and health officers in the hope
that this will serve to set at rest the daily publication in the news-
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