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DITORIAL. DRAMA M U SIC. rs^ ,.-*Av *\4 SOCIETY, FINANCIAL, REAI [.STATE, AUTOMOBILES PAKT m rWBaVl PAGES SrXDAY, OCTOBER .24, I913. PAW III TWELVE PACK UNDEFENDED CARIBBEAN CHIEF WEAKNESS OF LJ. S. NIE \\\N TO PEACK AT \\Y PRICE IS ABSOLUTE PREPAREDNESS Through It Europe Would Strike for the World Pr.ze, the Panama Canal. Bv PROF W-1. LF.DYARD CATHCART, ' e ot the aavj smous American naval authority. 7,, /.. muta'? preaeatattaa at ;>n ade* quHte ? i W I* a bt ?tir ht;niiig entitled than '<? Ptotettor Cat hear ft. 4s a former nin.tr .?* i tir _B_H > _?. baa VM?nt inn .i-- ea emlaent am. thon'* la naval atattert. T .. : resent wealth of neany s I 00.000. o ?ent ' ...... *? ! . a Canal it ? | | ? .. ? an?-Alaska, Hawaii. Guam. Samoa and the Philippines? ire i- - ? rs the lands of an empire. In the Caribbean Sea and the North Pacific we j,0*cj ? '?.irions which dominate those water? It the Monroe Doctrine ire assert a po'jcv M ^ren Stigmatised as an "in ?.rediilr _npet-ill?*IH_. tc the European world. !. the Open Door?now dosing fast?we .r.ge not only Japan hut every nation which - ?*- a ioothold territorially on Chinese soil. ]n tfa - etfa century?wit':-. i*s tlagrant ? neutrality treaties, of Hague con? virti?: sad - nciplcs of In? ? .tional law?what should be an adequate lavy ior a country holding I -t pos? . - ? ,h world-wide doc? >H0U1 D WE RIVAL ENGLAND'S NAVY" rtant questions as to the amount and ter of our nav, ' not tv_ as the ad? ? and the people ?rl . . . rs adequate ?ion ? -'-i'h menace to the .tut- ? tance, these pi ? both our trade neutrals snd ti:e great increase in our irry en that trade, which rould brint;. Should we ? ? apable of disputing ? __ y.i making; this ? IT? I .aval force I ?east, to guard fully every foot of iw hold in both oceans? ??? ? trong that it can be di .Ite] t | ermanently in Or. letting tht - Hawaii and '.as.. ? ..ces of capture in sudden 7 a ' Oriental power, should we main? te fleet, trusting to its su!_i ei to protect the Pi '.cast il leed? Ar. , ?? compete with Great K: saava would be financially extrava ?_ ?a. .litically i - ? ? at 'his time. The cost 11 ?;er Reel h s hern t;reat. D l __ last decadtj .0.000.000 has been t?and vei a ?esults have ?esra. As I national relations?for s nun? r'.x do menace -. rand of the si . I-'-,;.r times dur "S ?ha? : -? v. : sen the two nations '??as ihreati <? i the crisi was ??'tTte. mc and skilful diplomacy. Tr.rou-h ut thi ex stance Monroe Doc f ? ind has tacitly acqu.rsce.. in its ? ? ? en it ?ion. In '<?' a ir like th? pr< must r tup f- .' open "? ***_ 7orthern i ?rele;'. Am), I otcnt reasons. _U, social ?7r.tr.eu 1- ?? | C -. ? cx ? ? make future sr I ? Brean t?:rrn ? at this time. The e -istin ; con ' - I bave Ott-ers :n UM The ?7 en Isl ps ol nations, hi srteer, are like "ttr anmiti? ? . .r time t > ?r ke ,:r*n_i?-.]'-.. r ?.er old foe. RttS la; and a >*lr*ri- ' ..rn her by the Euro tin '?*'?' - .-??"? | v _ rt| to wre .t ?W hefen ny of the Far Last from her ally, tam h: ? . While, therefore, both hit. ?v ?!"* tO! e teach that it would be un ever to the continued friend *P 0! tie century ol s ln ksi ' : that at thie tiim - uld not t prol Irm of the strate h a enemy." Hence, her naval ?tngth need not now be a prime facto: in own, although a!w ys it ould be boi c ?*i mind that as matters rtiih B 1er? * ?? ;'.". : e -.< i . e_ best ?I the ***** State | iejt nav I "" Il continu' ' i ? ? Iky ol *" and e . ? , topa f-dist. ?? . ?at) lai ,JR *?'*' OF BOUTHBRM COAST BASES FOR THE FLEET g r ??'"I ! te*n cota-* Ol on the 4 'ma C. i ,.:??,, enemy extep Great Brit ^***d ' oiivrmr ?*c?it base for his fighting ships and trans ^ aWh s naval - fully developed .'' " r* ' ? .' ,eP*? ! 6l?" h sho Id be a ? ?iir.tr.. n trat? What, end it Oiould be i fofrisoncd as to be self : since t^*'?? ti r fleet will have to watt? it* force "?'ding h From a navaI base shi| _ trikc to - .l?stame limite I only \?m tbr ti tr-ey carry. Halifax ind Bermuda are tiir only near Btrategi? positions in foreign contiol win are a possible menace to our Atlantic Coa These ports can be made naval bases of t tirst rank, and. ttom cither or both, continuo naval operations ag.inst us would be possib the ? which would depend en the re tive strength of the two feel:.. Minor stra' gic positions, subject to seizure by a supcri enemy and? p-esent condition-.-'., are Provin: town and Nr.rragansett and Delaware bay! In New York Harbor, with its uniivall facilities, and in Chesapeake Bay. with t' :? rtii.cations now projected, the United Stai has. or ?Brill have, northern and mid-coast nav bases unexcelled in position, strength and r sources. South of the Che-apeake, ho\.ev< there is no Atlantic nort which meets the d mands of a large fiet?t, although the little ba rcn island of Key Vest would be ol rs value not only in the daily supply of the shi] (as in the Civil War), b'Jt as a base for d * vers ar.d submarines. As to the Gulf Coast: With the Strait i Florida guarded by an effective force at Kt West and the Yucatan Channel domin:tcd I a fleet based on Guantannmo. in Cuba, whit we control, the Gulf of Mexico becomes mil tarily an inland sea which, with a powerfi ?? in ?he Atlantic and the Caribhe n. is ur likely to meet the stress of war. WHERE OUR CHIEF DANGER LIES. V. ith a reasonably powerful fleet our .V lantic Coast would be. BS a whole, easil i.ucide<i from any enemy but England. Ba as nav.?l mi legista have ; ointci OUI nivea* y for years, "ur chiei danger d?-e;> n< t 1: ? e. lui in the Caribbean Sea. Captain Joh Hood. U. S. N.. says: "Then ? . le and slmoal certain nse? theatre 01 ai tion in .;.y war t.iat v.e may ha with ?tan nation will fx in the Carib bean Sea o- waters adjacen? thereto, sime i i- there we r ? weakesl and most vulnerable with OU? present loi ; u-defended l.ne of com mtmicationa from Hatteras v,a the-Windwan nd other passages to the Panama Canal. "It BfOuld be .- bold natior? that would maki a direcl ir nt.il Bttack on our Atlantic sea boar,"., where we arc stro- ?.et. and who e ad , jaaCi.t waters are within the radius of our homi . v. lei.s o r f.cet h d been annihilated 01 i*.ri\e*! irom the ocean." A glance at the map will show our responsi 1 ilr.irs in ibis possil le wer arei. The Carib 1 e ei Lei is Ik -.ir.ded on the north by Cuba whose independence we a:e pledged to defend I ci mpri in ? the Haytian anc Dominican republics, over which we now excr use virtual protector tes, and by Porto I.ico which we Own. Mexico and Central America 1 ound it m the west, and these, like the con? tinent to the south, .nc covered by the Monroe Doctrine. A thousand mile;; southwest ol Poi o K* o lies Ci 1 ?n. the entrance to the Panama Canal, which, as the !??-.teway to the i nd the Pai E st. will make of the Caribbean Sea a new Mcd terranean. with all its stirs liva'ries in tr.-.de and war. Of these t o e: /. !:-:it. I ?'..ahan said: I.t.i COM kUOUa ch; ra? teristic; now are t en political and military importance, i.i the b re p a de 11 sense, as concernin, not only the i o ?tries that border them, but the world at lar?.,.*.' 1', r fifty years and more the history of the Caribbean has l:ccn marlicd by European in ?riki-ie. Were it not lor ihe European war we i-rotrd now have -4live ?ieinoi'.sira'.ion of this e-ie in Hayii end Mexico r-ocAA With ? : ? 1 ? loomi Ian ,e n the near B rhi it e--The Panama . the chiei take il hkely ti7?*-. s ?rv m a military and 1 val sen.-e so weak ours will be all. wed to hold for Ion?; its proeenl pred .?...iai.ee 01 its coettad pos BS 1.. this sunlit sea" , PROFESSOR WILLIAM LEDYARD CATUCART. hu Brown Uriither.. It i- true that in Qcantanamo we hold strategic position which. OW?H to .t.-. loc tio or. the island of Cu:>._, is dominating, but thi natural itronghi 1:1 is as e* undeveloped in it fortifications and its equipment Puithcr, ther are in this possible B_U arc a i It nine othe strategic positions new ov.'.ci : y c ght .?ifier rnt t ountries. Witl .;-. Break .set n 1 its un developed ba-es Amcric. ;*ivec, sc nt 10 icen t'- it . commercial and military future in th Catiblean Sea. THE PANAMA CANAL AS A liK't.EDEl OF WAK. The chief advantage of the Panama Ca.ia in the event of existing or threatened w r seil be tiiat?like the strategic railways of Ccr many in land operations?it will enable nava ?enforcements to he transferred rapidly on in tcrior lines from ocean to ocean. It t'iu* shortens the passage to the Pacific by s.xty days?time eno gh to win a deusive action or our far-flung; military frontier there, cr, by th.? presence of superi'-r force, to _vert war. Further, in th event of attack on both coa-ts it is ju..t possible ti*at a sufficiently powerful American fleet rright defeat one enemy on the Atlantic and then sweeping through the car.al. destroy the other on the Pacific. This con? ception seems more pleasing than 5>robable. Another advantage of |-rirr-.r importance is th.t the canal ?limin?tes the per taps unsolv able pr.bl.m of fuel supply I y South American neutrals in the pas ag* t ? _ possible war area in the Pacific. As to this Captain ?i. S. Knapp. U. S. N.. says: "It (the canal) means the posribility of sending ships from the Atlantic to almost ny place where they will be needed in the Pacific by a route that has fuel Stations under our flag al?n,* thr entire distan?a, no t o of whi:h are further apart than the fue! e_durance of cur ccpital 'hip.; This is in SCO mous dvantagC." To estimate the magnitude cf this advan? tage one need but recall th.: t sum-: years ago, when our battle fleet steamed .round the world, it was attended by more than forty mer? chant vessels Csnyiag fuel and supplies and all flying foreign Hags. If su.den war h-*r\ come d'.:rin_ that glo te-girdling cruise these transports would have I een transformed auto tvi'tically into enemies or neutrals. In the lat'er event -hey would have vanished at once. leaving cur dmiral hard pressed to get his 'hip- hon e It is impi?-'bable that ?hre.t naval attack will ever be made on the canal. The heavy gun and mortar I atteries at the entrances and sub? marines and mine Balda in the sea approaches a vc ill prevent t'-at. The Canal Zone is, however nearly fifty r_.il_s long and is only ten mile aride, to that invaaion by land forces will b< ? if the zone is not very strongly fortifiet and garrison! L "Advanced national outposts like Maita and Gibrah r, must be (in strength] ra'tars," says Mahan. But, a: with f.ur home coasts, the canal's Brat line o defence is the navy, and our ?leet should al N ys i c strorg enough to keep an enemy iron eve, get! ' ; nc_: enough for invasion. With re 'an' to the future of the ranal then are two ?acts v. rich canr.ot be ernhastzed toe I '.o- ?1 . Pirat??iarrinc; the Monroe Doctrine t'ere is no policy or possession of the United State, "hi h is more iike'y ta breed war fot its retention tl.an the world prize, the anal Secondly?Should we be too v.e.k to defend il in war. all of its military advantages wculd pata to the enemy which took it. In that event its construction will simply have weak? ered m Buncaaarabty, for through it we shall have opened a gateway for the nat ens of Europe to I ur Pacific Coast and our overseas possession* htyond That these forecasts have sound baaes in historv *he story ct the Suez Canal proves. It uas -iiilt fcr Eeypt by France; it has passed, seerr.irg'y for al! time, to Engl_n<l. The vitil necessity for a British highway to India pre? determined its ultimate ownership. Be^innmt; with Gibraltar, Engl nd slowly throu h long yc.rs acquired Malta, Cyprus, Perim and Ader. The misiir? link was tue ca**al. ind Disraeli secretly Lou-;ht a lar^e. almost a cor.tr 11 ng, interest ifl its shares. Then, in 1832. England entered Egypt "to resto c order" Now. in 19 .*. after uninterrurted accup ton. she pro cl.ims a pr tec'.orate over that Ian 1 and sand, and holds the canal in a grip that will never -en. OL'K HIGHEST PACIFIC . EK'.'TOKY MOST t XPOSED TO INVA_ ? I] Our Pacific state-, that is, the terri-ory de perdent on that ocean for commercial cutlet, comprise? s James G. Blame once said?"an area of nearly 800,000 square miles larger in extent than the German Empire and the four Latin countries ? f Europe combined." Fur? ther, ?n.lud ng Alaska, cur outl/ir.?; possessions in the Pacific have an aggrcate rrea which is more than one-fourth th t of the United St ?tes proper and more than one-fifth that f t! I w^o'r . minent of Europe. The actual and potential wealth oi this vast territory defies computation. On January li, 1915, the Legislature of the State of Washing? ton forwarded a petitfm for coast defences to the President and Congress, showing that th appraised value of the taxable property in th states of Washington and Oregon alone e* ceeded $4.100,000.000. Alaska is now yieldirt annually about six times its purchase price 1 $7,250,000, and its enormous resources hav been but scratched. As to the Philippir.es that "military blunder" of their critics?the fotni. with their population of 8.000,000, the tratle possibilities, their hardwoods, their a^r cultural resources and their command of Soutl en* China and the r_ast Indies, a rich territor for which most great powers would gladly g to war. Incomprehensible America, on th contrary, intermittently proposes to leave th group to its own feeble devices or to thos of any grasping nation which may seize ii This is "national self-abnegation" raised t the limit. The richest portion of our continental Pacifi territory is that which is most exposed to bom bardment, blockade and invasion. So far a adequate defences go, it is the weakest part o the whole frontier of this Republic. On the en t re CO st we have but one great naval base that on Pu^et Sound, whose incomplete t'acili ties are growing slowly. In the eastern Nortl Pacific Ocean we own every strategic point bu* three, and the development of but one, Pear Harbor, near Honolulu, is proceeding. In th< Philippine- the only position which could hole (or a time Bgainat attach is the little i.land o! Ccrrefiiuur ? Manila B iy- The destiny of na tiers has given the United States comrr.erciai and military opportunities without parallel or I and in the North Pacific Ocean. Thua far tlies? o: portunities and their attendant dangers hav? ? had but l.ttie consideration by Congress. OUR "?LOCK OF SHEEP" ON THI PACIFIC. In considering our possible dangers in the Pacific Ocean the Russ^-Japanese War tea.hes j inttructive lessons. The fundamental rcsom? for Russia, defeat in that conflict were: L ck of preparation of her fleet for war, inade? quate equiprret.t of her naval base, Port Ar? thur and the failure to concentrate her naval strengt11 in t'.ic Par I-at, so that it w a whipped in detail?firrt the Port Arthur fleet, and then that which under Rojestvensky steamed cut from the Baltic. /'?Il of these conditions exist to day with re? gard to our navy and its probable enemies. It is gravely unprepared for war. lacKin? net only Brat line ships, but many auxiliaries; it is short of officers and men to a perilous degree; its chief naval bases have had little or no de? velopment, and the fleet is divided, with a naval strcrgth in the Pacific which is inconsiderable. The Pacific fleet, active and reserve, and the A.i tic licet are composed of one old battle? ship, the famous Oregon: two obsolete rr.oni i? rs, Sevan armored cruisers, ten cruisers, eleven uuncoats, fourteen destrcyers and twenty submarines. This array items im ?'e-si.e, but tor facing a modern battle fleet it is "paper strength"?simply fit only to "s'.-.ow the Bag" with dignity in peace, and in war, vhen theltered in safe har.ors. to soothe the fea. .f some t mil. uncomprehending layrrcn. In vid_ Ky each ol the e vessels is excel? lent for ;ts day and kind, but tuc efle_-iv_ day of the ItrOfl e-t of .hen? was long agi 2nd, e:-:- e- : some of the destroyers and submarines, not-.e o' them coull engage modem battlesh.ps. . | most f rrr.ida. le ot t.aem are the six 12,..0-tcn armored cruisers, but they are of an o'asolescent type, with a m.xed battery of four 8-i:.ch (model 1S99) and fourteen 6-inch guns, thin .-inch belt armor _nd a speed of only twet-.ty two knots. Hybrids tactically, they are t- o -ve-ir- ?,. ? I t-foehipa and too slow to t The r characteristics com? pare sry y ifavorably with tho e of the dread? nought i- ttls cruisers now serving i" the British, German and J panese navic-:. For ex? ample, the io'_: ve se'.s of Japan'- Kon. o class each have a _ ?.;*\.i. emetu of tlJsmW I ... a speed of twenty seven knots, eight 14 inch and F'ee! for l?ic Coati ?Equal to Defeating \n\ Foe Is the Prim r> Need of Adequate Defence? . sixteen d-inch guns sad l?-imh armer on belt and turrets. A single battle cruiser like this with its qu-ir tet o' attendant destroyers BfOttjId Rive short shrirt to our combined P .eets. if they ?*ere massed in the open Ocean?unless, indeed, one ol oar de?troye- OS cot in a lucky hit, which expericn e ahoars is more than ? hundred t one :hunce. Out of rar.*je -- '1- ,ht- crttisei Pik each foe at r ire, That our I ild be fought id skilfully < ? ?> it saying?for that is the immemorial way of Amen, an naval men. H.*t that brief action would be a massa ? re?like a tiger turned loose on a Mock of sheep And yet this is our naval "strength" on the Pacific! -SOME PROBABLE "IPS' OF THE FU TURF. With regard to timely reinforcements from Tlie Atlantic Coast there are several things worth considering. In the nrst place, a ?lee' starting from Guantanam?), passing through the ca.ial and steaming at twelve knots M hour would take fourteen days to reach S I Francisco, nineteen days to Honolulu and thirty-live to Manila. The last period, it not the two latter, gives ample time fur a dci-ii-e action to be fought?and lost by our BssssJl naval force. A?;ain. there is no assurance that the canal ' be open throughout at a critical tine Owing to slides m the ?.uts it will be an unce: tain waterway for years?perhaps always. Re? cent press report^ ..t?te that owing to ft] I the canal will be cJC4tad to trathc until No.en her ! at the e r!ie->t. Ptnther, nothing during the present WM been more ??artiing ihan the e? ecive wo. the soies, who made the concre.e emplacements ?or great Oerman ??uns in France before war broke, and who. if cur rent rumor be credible, blew up the Bli battleship Bulwark and the auxiliary cruiser Princess Irene in their home harbors. Wouhi men ?...pable of t.hese things find great difficult?, ir. blocking the Panama Canal at a critical tirr.? by exploding a land mine to make a slide, bj sinking one of their own merchantmen with s clockwork bomb hidden in her coal bunkers, or by wrecking a pair of locks by explosive?* dropped from the air? If the c nal were thus blocked for a consid ?rable period, it would take?according to C n tain J. S. McKean, U. S. N. late of the NaVal War Colle.c?sixty days to get a fleet of for ty-eight battleships from Culebra, Porto Rico, around South America to Panama; the voy;e would cost $6,000,000 in fuel, and I r tl.e car riege of fuel and stores it would require 100 merchant vessels of 5 000 tons each, casting 550.000,000 total. With our present srif SBsTt*. ficial policy toward our transoceanic merchatv marine, it would be interecting to know jfSSt where in the sudden stress of war any such fleet of transports could be found. I-'inaliy the closure of the European war un questionably will bring new groupings of the great po-ves. Japan, in her present aim for lcidcr.h.ip in the Far East, wdl find Grejt Brit ain'iojvast interests there opposing hes at every s'.ep For many years there has been in Japan an influential pro-German and anti-British fac? tion, said to have been led by the late Prince I;o and composed mainly of men educated in Germany. This par*y ?ccms to be gaining, and some o! server.; already find indications that Japan is coquet! ng with Germany in preparalio:i for eventualities. If the German battle flc?t shall pursue to the end its present co'irse of, !et us say, "strict neutrality" the close o? the war will find that great fleet in? tact. !s it impossible to imagine that then, or soon after, Germany and Japan as allies might make a smultaneoas atta?k on the United States?one on the east coast, the other on the v/est? From what source then will come those vital Pacific reinforcements? Less for defensive conflict than to avert wat by the presence of superior force, it seems clea?- that the United States should maintain in, or within easy steaming range of, the Car ibbcan Sea a fleet equal at least to that of any probable European enemy except Engla.i'. Less than this would he inadequate for the full protection of our eastern coast and of the Panama Canal and to meet the demands which, more and more, the Monroe Doct.ine will im pose for the display or use of strong naval force. Similarly, if there were no Panama Canal, we should keep aiways in the North Pacific Osean a fleet not of obsolete or obsolescent vessels, but of modern battleships equal to that o: any Oriental nation. The opening of the cam. may have lessened the urgency foi th.s BsMnewhat As to this naval suthoiities differ. 7-.ut. owing to the great distances, the possibility that the canal may be blocked and the further possibility of simultaneous attack on both coasts, it is evident that full security can be assured only by a Pacific fleet able, un? aided, to meet any probable foe there. This does not mean that the Panama Canal lias not incrc.se 1 the e!ie?tivcness of our navy. On the contrary, an overwhelming force swung swiftly through that shott iut may some day preven?, a WBf who.-e .ost would be many t h s . that oi the canal. Ail 4 t i's : cans a great t'.vy. the second largest m tue world; but better this?whatevei be its ?.st?and peace than the dark ocean ol olo'jd whuh singe? over desolate Europe to ?Jhy ?