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i ' Weather forecast. Fair 'to-day and to-morrow; moderate northwest to west -winds. Highest temperature yesterday, 59; lowest, 48. Detailed weather irtportt on Ust peg. L ' .. IT SHINES FOP, ALL VOL. LXXXVI. NO. 52. NEW 1 YORK, TUESDAY, OCTOBER 22, 1918. Copyright, U18, by the Bun rrtntinff and Putllthlnp AttodatUtn. PRICE TWO I . I ' j m GERMAN REPLY PROMISES RULE OF PEOPLE; U-BOATS WON'T ATTACK PASSENGER SHIPS; LET FOCH ANSWER, STAND IN WASHINGTON; WAR'S END NO NEARER, OPINION IN LONDON BRITISH ACROSS MINDING ME0 TED BUS TROUT Are Within Two Miles of Valenciennes and Fast Encircling the City.. GHENT NEARLY FLANKED Enemy Resistance Is- Much Sfrongcr Except Whcip Ho FIcos From Flanders. Loxno.v, Oct. 21. Bad weather, a .Iinrtcncd enemy lino, high ground fa 'ornlile to tho dofende-rs and a greatly tlffe-ned opposition ailed to-day to -'alt tlio advance of the Allies In .orthern France and Belgium. From h" Dutcli border southward to tho OIe the Belgians, British and French r-ontlnued to push eastward. The so-called founding Line, before r.Iilch tho great' allied advance was expected to halt, at least temporarily, has been crossed on a ten mile front In the region where It parallels the Scheldt canal and river. In tho north the city of Gnent Is the immediate objective of the British and Belgians. This "city Is being vigor ously defended, but the Allies are avoiding a frontal attack. In conform ity with their general' plan to drlvo the enemy 'out by flankfrig moverhents, with the result that' wedges are helnR driven Into the German lines to tho north and south, particularly on the northern side of the, city. Rapid nc(rrt In North. Having redeemed the Belgian coast the Britlfh and Belgians are now driv ing eastward along the boundary line between Belgium and Holland. Aviators rt ported to-day that a general retirement rr.-i taUm? Tilaee alone tho border. Re- portioned tbeIg suartls had left the vicinity of tne village"! or Sas-van-Ghcnt. on tho Dutch border flltcen miles due north ot Ghent- and seen miles east of the point, on the.bor dtr but mentioned In despatches frorc the front as having been occupied by Belgian troops. In the neighborhood of Toumal the Germans have grouped considerable num bers of heavy guns, and British artillery is wing brought up to silence them. The Allies, since tho' Germans adopted the policy of sending civilians westward In stead of driving them toward Germany, now havo a double task -driving out the e.nrmy and caring for the tens of thou sand ot liberated French and Belgian Inlmbltanu. To Mllm From Valenciennes. The British are-meetlng Increased op pntltion. around Valenciennes, but despite 'his they have pushed their lines to within two miles of that city. The rail road line between lllrson and Valen cltnres, which has been of great service to 'lit Germans, Is now under the British K'in. aud no .ittempt has been made by tii enemy to operato trains on the road tor several days. North of Valenciennes tn British have captured nnd passed b oml Amirval. In the fighting In this ri'S.on the British captured 3,000 prls ovr Field Marshal Haig reports. Tne French War Otllce reports that no infantry engajenntfits of note transpired on ibo French front during the day and vi" but that there was artillery ac tH It Is known, however, that Gen. ; Vuf.v is marching toward Hlrson with h- i iientlon of attacking the Huhdlng lp In llin rear. I' Is the general imprewlon that the v.. ,ire of th. enemy everywhere Is rt ft-ning Apparentl)- the rapidity of the u 'vli drive In Flanders nnd northern Yi in.-e his enured the enemy tp,reallze t...x' the allied forces aro approaching. f-ilierlnnd at a" rate that. If not cb -itel. might before; long llnd their ; rsiiR guns pitching shells" across ' Uhliio. Therefore the enemy Is pu'iins himself together with a view' to del . tug to the utmost the allied td vu n-e A despat.-h from Slulj, Holland, dated f l'lav riyn heavy cannoadlng was I .a Hie direction of Kecloo, whore 1 -re Irtrrler, rendered harmless )6y '.r-rn.inp .Saturday night, ha been 'i r dfftrovod bv the Belgians. norm troone with heavy artillery b-eii observed In this neighbor i Thouout la ald to havo been damaged. ALLIES SWEEPING ON TO CLEAR FLANDERS Enemy Desperately Resists Great Pivoting Movement, Hti the AmoHaled Pre ft. tic tiik A i.i.i kd Anwir.H in Khanck bkiiium, Oct. 2t. The great battle i"Undri hii.1 northern Kranco passed " ' M.-orfd phao to-day. The first r-rf wan completed when the Llllo nt aa cUmln-ted tiu tlio Germans C'cmifiiucti oil 'iktrU Paw. anothertrick; london's view, OF PEACE NOTE Not One Straightforward Acceptance of Terms Lajd Down by President. NO PROMISE TO DISARM German Military Chiefs IIopo to Have Hand in Armis tice Arrangements. Special Cable Detpotch to To Sc.v. Copyright, ISIS; oil righu reserved. London, Tuesdny, October 22. "The German reply won't do." "It Is obviously unacceptable." "Wilson will not make n proposal to the Allies until lie Is convinced there la a real change In Germany." "Let Germany go to Foch." These sentences are taken from editorials In the morning London pa pers, all of which comment on the German reply to President Wilson's note. "Wo want something more tangi ble than the unshnkable determina tion of the present servile Reichstag," says the Chronicle. "Its weather cock majority cannot convince us that the great gulf between democ racy and Hohenzollcfnlsm has been bridged."' Says the bailu liail: "As for nrranvtng for evacuation of stolen territory, Foch and Halg are al ready attending to tlmMo the entire satisfaction of the Allies. The nl lied peoples will dismiss this lot leclle suggestion, knowing that only military action aud not negotiation will obtain peace. The Allies will now turn their whole atteutlou to linlshlng the war. Da , Micun Self's r suggestion for an armistice conference based ou estimated of rival force". "The fact-sit supreme military' Impor tance," says the paper, "Is that Ger many must grow weaker day by day while the Allies grow stronger. She is beaten now. Next year hhc will le overwhelmed. By July America will have nu army of 5,000,000 men In France. If Germany can obtain an armistice on Solfs easy numerical terms Germany's army can rest and re cuperate while transports lie Idle. It Is clear therefore that an unqualified triumph must be ours." Too Many Qualification. Corvrtaht, till; oil riahtt reterved. Special Cable Deepateh to Toe Sen. LoxDoff., Oct. 21. Germany's reply to I're.'Ident Wilson's note docs not bring penw, or even nu armlhtlcc, nny nearer, according to opinion exprefsed in Loudon to-nJglit. It Is pointed out by officials here that there Is not one straightforward, direct acceptance of the terms laid down In the President's note of Octo ber 14. On every paint Germany In- Iterposes qualifications, nnd n clear effort Is seen to extend the talk In the hope of entangling the Allien In pro longed negotiations. Back of the Continued on Second Page. Anzacs Share in Yankee)'' Tobacco rpiIOMAS F. BAILEY (1272), Fourth Australian Division, writes to a SUN Tobacco Fund donor: "You'll be surprised to hear that your welcome gift of cigar ettes was given to the Fourth Australian hy thsir American comrades who have fought side by side during the past few months. I am now a military policeman and have been over hero four years; tho war isn't over, but I'm going to return to Australia on furlough Miortly. Passing through New York I shall stop nnd tell you what a fine work THE SUN Tobacco Fund has done." On Saturday night occurs the great Oriental feto for the fund's beneAt in Chinatown. Rend of it on page 5, and make your plans to go. No admission fee to this gorgeous flowery republic show. WARNING! THE SUN TO BACCO FUND has no connection with nny other fund, organiza tion or publication. II employs no agents or solicitors. Text; of , LONDON, Oct. '.21. "In accepting the proposal for an evacuation of occupied territories the German Government has started from the as sumption that the procedure of this evacuation and of the conditions of an armistice should he left to the judgment of the military advisers and that the actual standard of power on both sides in the field has to form the basis for arrangements safe guarding and guaranteeing this standard. 'The German Government suggests to the President that an opportunity should be brought about for fixing the details. It trusts that the President of the United States will approve of no demand which would be irreconcilable with the honor of the German people and with' opening a way to a peace of justice. "The German Government protests against -4he reproach of illegal and inhumane actions made against the German land and sea forces and thereby against the German People. For the covering of a retreat destructions will always be necessary, and thej are carried out in so far as is permitted by international law. The German troops are under the most strict instruction topare private property and to exercise care for the popula tion to the best of their ability. Where transgrcssionsoccur in spite of these instructions the guilty arc being punished. "The German Government further denies that the German Navy in sinking ships has .ever purposely destroyed lifeboats with their passengers. The German Government proposes with regard to all those charges that the facts be cleared up by neutral commissions. "In order to avoid anything that might hamper the work of peace the German Government has caused orders to be des patched to all submarine commanders precluding the torpedo ing of passenger strips, without, however, for technical reasons, being able to guarantee that' these orders will reach every single submarine at sea before its return. "As a fundamental condition for peace the President pre scribes the destruction of every arbitrary power that can sepa REPLY MERELY NEW-PROMISES French Official Calls German Peace Note L'nhefittln"; Defeated Enemy. Special Cable Detpntcli to Tn Sc. Copyright. WIS; all righli referred PARlb, Oct. 21. Parts heard late to day of tho new German note. Parlia mentarians who were Interviewed by Tiik Bun said that the changes were nothing but German promises, and were ; i nett in hn n..ntArl rltrrrn!lv from the t German nromlses of vesterday. One member of the Government dc- Iclared that the Germans used language , unbefitting a defeated enemy, nnd us sumcd a tone of willingness to treat on an equal level with the victors ..Unofficial circles were not surprised by tho text of the note, as It bad been foreseen here. As Is usual here In an Interchange i of notes between the United states and Germany the answer of President I wuson always attracts the greater j Wc ,,,,. ghouicicr the consequences of tho step taken October C. There laeuow,ngtl,ther"altletn German!" " ame in accepting the consequences of acts which one has com-i answer. Tho reply of President Wil- j mittcd. , son Is awaited and the reports that ho . "We must make sacrifices.. The Emperor also must make sacrifices, may answer Germany with tho words j irc must nrat ndnr,t himself to the new Germany nnd content himself to I that H armlad. I, ..nnMtiilari m, M.k. ILi til- min. desman of the Allies naturauj atcs satisfaction. Of courre Marchal I'och Is ono of tho heroes of Prance and of all the Allles and It Is regarded as certain that ihe conditions he win impose will to the extreme. A..tln . I 1 . 1 1 1 . I . . . .1.. advance of thV allied armies and the rapid . clearing of Belgium lias been taken under discussion by the Germans. No one holds tho Idea that the evacu ation of Belgium Is a peace mamcuvro by tho Kaiser, but on the other hand the opinion is bem widely that the Germans nio evacuating Belgium be- caue of the powerful blows delivered i.0N1)0,v oet. 21. A state of rovolu byJlY. r"?"i.""?1iI,y".haL1',.c.''-., , tlon has broken out In otla and street tlf feat was, hure, with tho possible and . probable cutting off of a largo por tion cf her armies, ono military critic explained attcr reading tlio nolo. YANKS BLAST FOE'S PLANS FOR RETREAT Hold "Worst Blood Letting Sector on Whole Front." ny NOUI.H HAM,. Special cable Dttpotch to The Sen front tht j Washington. Oet. 21. Three mlll London Timet Service. ' tants of the Woman's Party were ar With the Amkhican Amur NortTH wbst of Verdun, Oct, 21. German pris oners say that the Americans are hold ing the "worst h'ood letting sector on the wbolo front," where It wbh the purpose of the Germans to dlspnt-every foot of the advance and Inflict the heaviest pos sible losses whllo they readjusted the line between Verdun and tlio sea. Germany's Reply to President The text of the German note, as HARDEN CALLS ON KAISER TO GIVE UP THE STRUGGLE No Dishonor for Defeated Editor Says, and Berlin Appeal to AMSTERDAM, Oct. 21. "We longer hold it is no dishonor if the must take up his cross of concluding ing whatever is hard. Let the Kaiser nt himself with new Germany ns her This utterance by Maximilian Harden, addressed to several thousand people in Berlin on Sunday, was loudlv applauded. Hcrr Harden, whose plain spoken language in Die Zukuaft. of which .... , . ,..-. is editor, hns caused a suspension of that journal on several occasions, !he was permitted, n'ecordinc to the reports of his address, to speak freely 1 nn(j wjthout hindrance. His remarkable declaration respecting surrender! nnd the "Kaiser's cross" followed a review of the situation in which he pointed out that Bulgaria wns occupied, Turkey's fate was sealed and Austria-Hungary was out of the fight. The meeting ended in a riotous demonstration. "It is one of the most cruel ironies that this war, which was begun to maintain an impossible Austria, that selfsame Austria that it cannot exist," continued Herr Harden. ' - ' represent the nation. He must remove from his successors all pos- .iblMty that they will be harmful to the nation. Then he must bear hi. i own pnrt of the cross and conclude rapidly the necessary peace and take . upon himself the task of accepting the onerous conditions involved in LiT that ; "We must withdraw the German troops to the empire's frontiers and He must , . - - -- Kt. V UL.U 1 IV SUr In i 3,000 SLAIN, REPORT nnl.U-,,;u; ; trf-t Fierht ?ol .,. n i? S 1 Wlin roiicc. fUhts arc occurring between Bolshevik luborers and the troopB and police. It Is reported that more than 8,000 poisons have been killed. Tills Information Is contained In des patches from Vienna and Itussla re ceived by tho (Tupenhugju correspondent ot the Kxchnnge Telegrmih Company, THREE MILITANT SUFFS SEIZED WnnhltiKtnu Crowds Also Drstruy Moat of Their 11 il nil era. i rested to-dny when they undertook to stage a demonstration In front of the Capitol, As the Senate was In (cssion only n few minutes tlicy were released and with ntlier banner tiearers they spent .!t'irnl hours In front of the Kenatu oftlce building, There, crowds destroyed jmost of the banners. received here by wireless, follows: rately, secretly and of its own single choice disturb the peace of the world. To this the German Government replies: "Hitherto the representation of the people in thc German Empire has not been endowed with an influence on the forma tion of the Government. f "The constitution did not provide for a concurrence of representation of thc people in decisions of peace and war. These conditions have just now undergone a fundamental change. ,.A new government has been formed in complete accordance with the wishes principle? of the representation of the people, ! based on equal, universal, secret, direct franchise. "The leaders of the great parties of the Reichstag arc members of this Government. In the future no Government can take or continue in office without possessing the confidence of a majority of the Reichstag. "The responsibility of the Chancellor of the empire to the representation of the people is being legally developed and safeguarded. The first act of the new Government has been to lay before the Reichstag a bill to alter the constitution of the "empire so that the consent of the representation of the people is required for decisions on war and peace. "The permanence of the new system is, however, guar anteed not only by constitutional safeguards but also by the unshakable determination of the German people, whose vast majority stands behind these reforms and demands their energetic continuance. "The question of the President with whom he and, the Governments associated against Germany are dealing is therefore answered in a clear, unequivocal manner by the statement that the offer of peace and an armistice has pome from a Government which is free from any arbitrary and irre sponsible influence, is supported by the approval of an over whelming majority of the German people. "SOLF." Dr. W. S. Solf is the State Secretary of the Foreign Office. Commandei1 to Surrender, Throng Applauds His End War. nre alone. When a fortress can no commander surrenders. The Kaiser quickly necessary peace and accept declare himself ready and let him first citizen. should ue ended by tne declaration 01 ... remove from his successors nil pos- LfCDM. I G I CU GERMANY'S REPLY Last Moment Difficulties Re ported. IUbf.l, Oct. 21. Advices from Berlin Fbow that It was really on account of dlfllcultlcs arising at the last moment that the defjatcb of the German reply to President Wilson was delayed. The reply wib submitted llrst to a committee of the Federal Council, then to a meet ing nt which tho leader or one Influential member of every group In the llelchstag except the Polcb was present. A discussion lasting an hour followed tho reading of the text by I'rledrlch von Payer, tho Vlce-Chnncellor. The War Cabinet met again In the evening to re vise the text. German military experts, especially Gon, Ludendorff and Admiral von Scheer, chief of tho Admiralty Staff, took a largo part in the deliberations. Thy argued that the German military situa tion, In consequence of tho withdrawal and shortening of the front, was consid erably ameliorated, and added tlint tlu German army was not In tho least de moralised, - Wilson. WILSON NOTES AREDISTORTED German People Deceived as to Heal Purport of Discussion. fcul Oifrlr lHtpatch to Till Sui trout Me London Timti Service. Copyright, 1918; all right) reterved. London, Oct. 21. Tho rime says ed- itorlally that the German Government (deliberately deceived the Gorman people i "rc.r,enc" lQ 1 " ifllfrs to the German j ,nass of ., woni0 with reference to President Wilson's re notes aud that the mass ot tne people In Germany as a result have not vet a correct conccntlon of President Wilson's position. 'The second German note to President Wilson," says the Timet, "mid that Ger many accepted the President's "thesis satie.' whereas the President had nsled If Germany accepted his terms In the cne he meant. "It can be stated definitely that the use of the words 'thenia satzo' was a subterfuge definitely intended to avoid conveying the idea that tile terms had been ucccpte-d la the sense ' President Wilson meant. This Is proved by the fact that tho German translation of the first Amerlcah reply contains' not the ivitril 'tiiljV tint fli. .i-Ai-il l...llnn.t... I . . . V " ' vu u "ft-1'. wnicn. accurately translated, means ' &- iir'ZIruiuJtnmng tho President's question, deliberately sa.c..a crookciJ answer, " hen "? ,ur"H to G"'"" newsra- I Hers of October 13, H nnd 15 It I found ( that iln,r- I seiiBo mcuiu ny i-resincni wuson. The German Govemmcnt'b wording f thn correspondence wns taken by everybody to mean only acceptance as tho basis of negotiations, and tho wholo German press continued gayly to continue Its asseverations that Germany would not surrender either Alsace-Lorraine or Bus slan Poland, "Bven tho liberal IJerllner Tagcllatt speaks throughout of conciliation being the iraldlng principle In the discissions between Oic German Government and 1 President Wilson, and says the wholo ilerman concession consists of admitting that Alsace-Lorraine and Poland arc In ternational questions. It goes on to say there can be no harm In discussing thene questions, and broadly hints that there Is abundance of means so that If 'It comes to a showdown Germany can rely on a manipulated plebiscite to keep Al-Kace-Loiralne. ' "The whole Gernnu preMi, far from thinking in terms of surrender, Is basing calculations on trapping the Allies Into peace negotiations, and then, In spite of all 'acceptances.' counts on playing one of the Kntcnto Powers against tho other." m:iOO, 000,000 More to Allies. Washington. Oct. 21, New credits of J20O.000.O0O for Italy and 1100,000,000 for Fiance were efctablUhed to-day by the Treasury, making the total loans to Italy 11.060,000,000. and to France :, 16t.,0D0,O00. For all the Allies Ameri can loans now amount to 7, 020,470, 66C, SENATORS FIND NO BASIS FOR PEACE INNOTE Germany. Offers Answer With "Liein Month," Say Congressmen. CRUSH POWER, THEY URGE Allies to Decide on Wrongs and Retribution, Foch on Truce, Is View. ipecial Deipatch to Tns Sc.v. WASinsnTox, Oct. 21. Almost without exception Senators received the Germnn note as being entirely un satisfactory nnd scorned the Idea of further negotiations on the note ns u basis. They held the view that Germany delivered the message with "a lie In her mouth" the denial of the years of piracy and the devasta tion wrought In Belgium nnd north ern France. The Senators seen to-night by The Su.v correspondent were practically unanimous In seeing the principal hope from the present situation In what is believed will be the next development. It Is the belief of some Senators that the President will send the German nolo to the Governments of France, Great Britain, Italy and Belgium, and tlint their nnswew to Ihe President will contain whntever terms they believe to he essential In addition to the "fourteen points" voiced hy the President nnd now vir tually nt'ccpted by Germany on' the i fnco of Its note. This will give Ene- j land ami particularly Franco the op portunity to end once and for nil the ItHW.IIUin VI .1 III iI'lltlllTII JP.ll.t.. "I nroiidltlounl Surrender." "Unconditional surrender"' wns the dominant note of the mnjorlty of the views expressed to-night. Strong sen- ! timent against further negotiations of ' any kind was expressed "also, the Idea jupiiermost in many of the Senatorial minds Iwlng that Fi-nnce. Kngland nnd Italy, after the privations and sacri fices they havo undergone In tho Inst four years and more, would never for a moment consider a negotiated pence, but would Insist on breaking the mili tary power of Germany and dictating peace terms. Senator Hitchcock (Neb.), chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee, to-night said: "Of course the denial of Germany of having perpetrated the atrocities which have been proved was to bo expected. Any nation receiving tho rebuff given Germany by the Presi dent's last noto would have to try to save Ha face by a denial. The -Important part of the noto dealing with sub marine warfare is the statement that all of tho U-boats have been recalled by wireless. "The note Is not such a ono that It requires nn answer from tho President now. The next move I believe will bo to submit tho note, which appears on Its face to be compliance with the fourteen conditions laid down by tho President to tho Governments of Kngland, France, Italv and Belgium. The President Is acting now not only as the head ot ono of the belligerent nations but as an In termediary between the Allies and the Central Powers. In reply to this sub mission of the German noto tb.i allied governments will add to tho fourteen : points raised by the President whatever additional conditions- they desire. Thciv conditions will then be mhmltted to Germany through tho President la a neutral channel. Demand of Primer, "Franco Is certain to demand full restoration of the territory devastated by tho German armies In their years of lawle possession of the northern prov- I nces Kugland will back France uu In this demand, nnd the same demand udN ill lie made for Belgium. "The question of an armistice of courso will bo referied to the commander of the allied armies In the Held, Marshal Foch. Under a Hag of truce the Ger man commanders may approach him und begin ncgotlutloiif. It Is probable that Marshal Foch will Insist on such strin gent guarantees that tho nrmlstlco will not be broken and that Germany will hesitate a long time beforo accepting them. Meanwhile the lighting will go on. I do not believe an armistice will ac tually bo entered upon until all of the terms of all of the Allies havo been agreed j to and compiled with, As to terms of the armistice, l-och will probably demand the occupation of such.,- tdrongholds as Mow, Coblchz and 8trntburg and also allied possession of a considerable part o tho German navy," Senator Bmoot (Utah), Republican: Continued on Second Page. President' Is Expected to Bring Peace Discus sions to an End. liESENT TONE OF NOTE Republicans and Democrats ' Unanimous in Con demnation. EXPECT QUICK ANSWER Believe Germany .Will Bo 'Re ferred to Marihal Foch for Armistice. Special Detpatch to Taa Sox. Washington, Oct. 21.-r-Presldent Wilson, with the unofficial text of th Germnn reply before him, Is expected to mnke nn end once nnd for all to Um peace discussions. With an avalanche of opinion fa voring the course the President Is ex lected to refer the German Govern ment to Mnrshul Foch for such future Iencc communications ns It wishes to make. This does not mcau that tho Ger man reply Is not regarded as In n wiwe nn acceptance of the Tresldenfa terms In fact, the President Is repre sented ns looking upon it as such but the questions it raises nre now purely military ones, nnd they must be set tled with the allied nnd Americas commanders on the field. It will b for Marshal Foch to lay down tho terms regarding thtLeracuatlon which Germany nays she is ready "to make and for the following armistice. It la believed here that the only terms which the commanders In the Held ' would accept would le for the Gr mans to lay down their arm?. Itearntment Is Aronied. The note while It nppenrs to be an acceptance of the conditions laid down by the President In his Inst communication plulnly has aroused a feeling of resentment here. From nil sldw comes tho demand that the negotiations cease nt once and that Gerninny be given to under stand that unconditional surrender nlone will satisfy the nntlons arrayed iignlnst her. It Is seldom that such unanimity of opinion has been seen here. Democratic nnd Republican loaders alike seem to resent the tone of the note, particularly the deninl. made by (Jermnny of the crimes of which she stnnd already convicted In the eyes of the world. No one Is willing lo admit that the cause of real twice has been ndvnnced In the slightest by this latest German maiuL'iivre. Expert Lnrly Actloh,- An the situation Is seen here to night Germany Is still working for a negotiated peace. Sentiment on all sides seems to bo unanimously ngatiwt nccedlng to her wish. Tills Is reflected In the demand heard on nil sides for Insistence on unconditional surrender expressed through the mc-v dlllin of Marshal I'lich. Naturally nil eyes have again been turned on the President. Never be fore hitH bis next tnoe been nwnlted with so much Interest nnd universal anxiety. One fact nlono seems to bt based on reliable authority. Thnt Is that tho President's next niovo will not he long In coming. He cannot nn fwrr until he 1ms the oiiiclnl text, which Is momentarily expected. With the niiofflcal text before him, however, the President Is believed al ready to have framed hU reply, nnd II would cause little surprise here If tho I next move win made with the mm promptness that characterized the reply to the original Austrian pica. Mr Ilrfrr rirrmnns to Pooh. It Is predicted hy some Renntorn tn-nlcht that the President nmy refer the Germans to Marshal Foeh In tho matter of nn arijilstlce and will then submit the German pence promises to the allied Governments without In any f way Indorsing tho German stand. This Is predicated on tho theory thnt while the Germans have seemingly compiled with President Wilson's fourteen terms n n Ir.iols of pence the other Governments nre HKely to havo their own terms to Iiuprfse. All this, however, would concern the peace negotiations nnd not tho ar mistice. Ucgardlug an armistice, ona 9 fact that stands clar to-night is that future negotiation on this subject, must be with tho allied und American 1 i il