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Faft.. for Today.
CRUNDALLS6-rhet Questia.." HIPPODROME-JuMa Dean to "The ARCAD-"The Trail of the Wild Wolf." .MD CIT-'"The Campbell. - Are Coss ing. DIXIE--"The Sons of Satan." DUDLET-"The Springtim. 0f IM.it" AMRICAN-"Gratt." episode No. L OLTMPIC-"Tbe Turmoil." 02 the Screen Tomorrw. CRA.NDA S-"As in a Looking Glass." HIPPODROME-'ad John." episode No. 4. STAR-rh Solution of the Mystery." NAVY-"The Phantom Witness." WZU M Z1--"'rh. Thoroughbre&' EMaPAb-"Demaged Goods." "TE ANSOM" SHOWN AT THE HIPPODROME bere is a gripping story In '"Ib Ran em* with Julia Deane as the star, which is being shown today at the Hippodrome. 3M Dean has a dual role. in each part of which her dramatic ability finds free "Pr6s0i0m. At first she Is a young and rather willful wife, led astray by the glamour Of the stage. and later she to the aged and repentent mother, intent on savig her own daughter from the wiles of the same manager who had wrecked her Own life. She accomplishes this in a thrilling manner, and after seeing her child safe in the arms of the man she lo"A. pay. the ranso of her daughters happines, w"t her ow life. "?- T'ii Of the Tigress." another feature. o te make up the balance of the Program. AT THE LEADER A Paramount program of Interest is the bill for the Leader this week. Today Marguerite Clark will be seen in "Gretna Green." Miss Clark always pleases, but In this picture she Is said to be especially attractive, and has delighted hundreds and hundreds by her clever work. To "norrow, Tuesday and Wednesday -the feature will be Mark Twain's famous story. "Pudd'nhead Wilson." with Theo dore Roberts in the title role. To have this picture exact the producers made Lxhaustive research Into the history of that early period and the exterior scenes were flmed In the little town in Missouri in which the author laid his story. A capable cast supports Mr. Roberts in this Pcture. which is of the usual Lasky ex zellence. Cherub Bushman's lavender-tinted valet is nearly as handsome as his boss. AXMUEMI 100 AR STAMDATES L NNE TODAY PETROVA "ON TUES. 10. 2-BILLIE REEVES is -IN TNE Master Smile Tun , HL 10. 2-i08C0E Ail1 NANCE m ONEIL SAT. 16. 2-CHARLES RIC is L L I F. a. 100 R HELEN TOEA I. 2-I" E MELILLE iP I0.2-CIAELEs MiiRi TYRONE mR.f POWERSAT.[ N0. 2-ETEL TEARE In '-I TODAY-...UN ADW Ia S Gres ADDATI'RACTION-#al Dearges On bhe liD "TE QUETION" AT - CRANDATJ'S TODAY The age-old questidn of whether a woman should avoid the responsibilities of motherhood In order to lead a butter fly life is aptly answered in the Equitable feature, "The Question." which Is being shown at Crandall's today. The scenario was written by Roy I4 McCardell. a well known newspaper man, and Marguerite Leslie, former leading woman with Sir Henry Irving, Sir Beerbohm Tree and Cyril Maude, enacts the principal role. Many of the scenes are laid In the most fashionable Broadway restaurants. To morrow, Tuesday and Wednesday the noted English beauty. Kitty Gordon, will be seen in the World' feature. "As in a Looking Glass." The story provides Miss Gordon with opportunities for remark able emotional acting, as well as for the display of a succession of the most daz zling creations of the modiste's and mil liner's art. The greater portion of the action Is laid in Washington diplomatic circles. Makes Debut as Star. Margaret Gibson. the beautiful lead ing woman with the Horsley organiza tion, will make her stellar debut in the Mutual Masterpicture, do luxe edi tion, "he Souls Cycle." a powerful drama, in five acts. DEN i. THE SOUL MARKET I "EAMLET MADE OVER" -MhR0 EPISODE STRANGE CASE OF MARY PAGE SK L E in "Fil0's FATE" SOULS IN BONDAGE IMANIn"BEANED" ND SECRET LOVE T':.) S"A LEAP TEAR WO0IES" D'ARTAGNAN If ii "HIS *EEEAFTEE" THOU SHALT SNOT COVET 'WEEEI lIBBY F0HOT" JAY-TlODAY DEAN INI at Asta. its ia "Si the Trall ot the Tiges.' -A-L VIOLA ONA' SNAPSHOTS. The movie stars, tiring of yachts and private cars and automobiles, are begin ling to take to aviation. "John Needham's Double" is the title of a new play in which Tyrone Power will appear. Gertrude McCoy has cast her lot with the Gaumont people and is soon to leave for Jacksonville, Fla. There'll be something doing in the movies when Teddy unlimbera before the camera, in his own scenario. Valeska Suratt's first act upon ar riving in London recently was to or ganize a film bazaar for the benefit for wounded soldiers. Carlyle Blackwell will he seen in "The Clarion," a tale of patent medicines and newspaper making, by Samuel Hopkins Adams. In his last three parts William Dun can has been obliged to visit the Mojave Desert. Big Bear Lake. where he was snowed in for several weeks. Will the picture actress who is not "little" or "charming" or "beautiful" or "dandy" please confess the fact and re ceive the immortality which she deserves? Robert Mantell. working in a new pic ture down In Jamales, celebrated his birthday by participating in a perform ance of "Macbeth," staged for the ben efit of the English war sufferers Balboa announces another thrilling series, although the finishing touches have hardly been put on "The Red Circle." Balboa is rapidly becoming known as the house of serials (spelled with an "a," please note). Geraldine Farrar recently received the following note-at least that's what the Morning Telegraph says: "My Dear Miss Farrar-I am not rich enough to see you often on the legitimate stage in opera. Im am so glad that you have gone into the Illegitimate stage so I can see you in the movies." CHAPLIN SIGNS WITH MUTUAL CORPORATION Charlie Chaplin has consented to have his name linked with that of the Mutual Film Corporation in what would appear to be a serious matter for the Mutual at least. The man of the justly celibrated walk has been tentatively signed up to appear exclusively in Mutual pic tures at the merely nominal sum of $10,000 a week and an interest in the business, according to the Mutual Cor poration. These contracts also provide for a bonus of $100,000, to be paid to the star as a reward for displaying his handwriting on a scrap of paper. Chaplin is to have a special company organized for him by the Mutual, and his brother, Sid Chaplijo also an agile screen artist, Will be a member of it. AWUSE TS. JOINT RECITAL. FELIX CARMINE GARZIGLIA FABRIZIO PianisL - Vioixist. NVEW WILLARD BALLROOM, Thursday, Earek 16, at di&g e'Clek. Tiekets. 01A.. At DreeP's, 13th and G Sta. AMUSMENTS CRANC OPEN M 1 A. Today Marguerite L A Brillimat Pc Mon. -rhe.. K IT TW Wed. "AS IN Al Wed Adapted From F. C Thur. HOAR AND Fri.I " _______ Periayig a reat sa-VIOLA DAN The aseet gepalar featare of a ml DA.I/s. After the trials and tribal apsat at ermimesin** idg i semi: Marlget Kamor es-auithor of ,Ti Bed"," ba goe to Palm Beadh with her playwright husband, U4gar Uelwyn. to finish a new comsedy of social lfe. Kiaw & Mianger have acuired a ow miodrama by Bayard Veller, au thor of "Within the Law." It deals with New York lif, is in three act and twen ty-four soae and the story i said to be developed upom novel lines, August Bermeister. the character ac tress, with Louis Mann in "The Bubble," which will be the attraction at the Be lasco Theater this - week.. was -brought to this country by Henrick Conreld some ten year &go. Mildred Barrett. who plays the young musical cotnedy lady in support of Ethel Barrymore in "Our Mrs. 3cChesney," 3oming to the National Theater this week. is a niece of Billie Burke and the wife of P. C. McCoy, the latter one of the best known stage managers of the P'rohman forces. . William A. Bradys production of "The White Feather" is playing to big busi ness in Western Canada. Eva Tanguay, the whirling dervish of vaudeville, has invaded New York asi the star of a musical comedy. "The Girl Who Smiles," staged on Brqadway early in the season, has been revised for her purposes, and is now serving rier as a vehicle. She intends to take the piece on tour. Al Jolson is scoring the most pro nounced hit of his great career at the New York Winter Garden in a new musical extravaganza, entitled "Robinson Crusoe, Jr." Andreas Dippel, whom Washington has -ome to look upon as the leading pro ulucer of operetta in America, promises a singing chorus of seevnty for his "Princess Tra-la-la" production at the National. next week. Edgar Allen Woolf is responsible for this sketch which Mrs. Thomas Whiffen is playing in Keith vaudeville. Mrs. Whiffen has been fifty years an actress. Frederick Ross has closed his tour in Horace Annesley Bachell's "Quinneys." Stella Mayhew has terminated a starring venture in the Marie Dressler cast-off. "A Mix Up." "King, Queen and Jack" Is the name of a new play by Willard Mack. which will be produced by A. H. Woods next season, and for this pioduction Edward H. Robins, now with Mrs. Fiske in "Erstwhile Susan," has been engaged to play a leading role. "Princess Tra-la-la" is known in the original Viennese version as "Hoheit Tamzt Walser." which literally trans lated means "Her Highness Dances the Waltz." Viola Allen has played no fewer than eight of the %omen of Shakespeare. Tyrone Power will organize a testimo nial for William Winter in Los Angeles. to take place on the same day the per formance is held at the Century The ater, New York. All the well-known ac tors posing in the movies there will take part. The Dolly Sisters are to be made into actresses by Lawrence Rising, and A. H. Woods wilt produce "The Stolen Honey moon." in which they are to be thus transformed. - William Pruete, the Washington singer, now in Keith vaudeville heading his own production, is supported by Charles Orr. Etta Hagey and Lillian Van Arsdale. The book and lyrics were written by Jean Havez, the music by George Bots ford, while Ben Teal staged it all. George Wellington. who will be seen, as the newspaper reporter in "The Bub-I ble" at the Belasco this week, is in real ity a newspaper scribe, having been as soclated with the Chicago Inter-Ocean and with the Milwaukee Sentinel. Orrin Johnson has been engaded for the part of Mr. Ford. and Fuller Mel lish for Mr. Page, in James K. Hackett's forthcoming production of "The Merry Wives of Windsor." Mr. Hackett is to act Sir John Falstaff for the first time; Viola Allen will be Mistress Ford, and Henrietta Crosman, Mistress Page. William H. Crane will not travel away from New York after the present sea son. He will make his home in that city, and will take part only In special performances of p)lays to be given there. Charles Dillingham is to be the man ger next teason of three theaters in New York devoted to musical perform ances. The Century Theater will be add ed to the Dillingham circuit, which al ready includes the Hippodrome and the Globe. Musical shows will be the pro gram at all three theaters. "The Case of Lady Camber" has passed its 1-.0th representation at the London Savoy Theater. Maude Adams will appear in a new comedy by J. M. Barrie next season. Molly McIntyre Is to play the title role in the London production of Kitty Mac Kay. James O'Neill has left the cast of "The Melody of Youth." Thomas J. McGrane has succeeded him. Not Really Married. Maude Gilbert and William H. Took er, stars of "The Fool's Revenge." pro duced by William Fox, have issued a statement denying that they are man and wife in real life. AMSEMFMTS BALL'S .O 1 P. U. .oveflest Leading Woman eslie in "The Question" graryal of a Delicate Theme gies Queen of Beauty GORDON Drama of Diplomatic Intigue .OOKING GLASS" . Philips' Famous Novel and Play. I Feather Photoplay "BOSWORT H he Target" Character Worthy of His Gens. iisn Features Present I "The Innocence of Rath" meppag teer is the visit to CRAN-. Stoas of shoppiag, ma hour or so hal ad refrehiag. Great German Ofi By Depletiot Kaiser Teutonic Allince Now Estunat Entente, But Has Only 1,71 derston, English Militar ticle Wri By JOHN L. ALDERSTON. lNoto--Mr. Balderstoa's article was receied in this ouatry befor the reat battle of Verin wa. begun by the Germanal (Copyrigt, Mg.6, by McClre NeWater Sydkate i London, Feb. 1.-In the lull before the commencement of the great struggles! that will rage throughout spring, suT mer and autumn, in all human proba bility involving more men and more bloodshed than any previous campaigns In the history of the world, it will be useful to outline the nature of the milI tary problems confronting the higher commands. A broad view of the situ.a tion on all fronts. excluding economic I and financial considerations, may dispoce of certain prevalent fallacIes and help to make clear the wider meaning of earth shaking events which probably will take place in March, and hardly can be posl poned beyond April. It will he poelible to undertake this survey without Indulg ing in prophecy that such and such a campaign will or will not take plase. a pastime indulged in with conspih uousi lack of success by all classes f the population over here, including general staff officers. At the close of the winter the antago nistis face each other, roughly, as fol lows: On the west front four Britilih armies of perhaps 1.(A0,000 men and tell French armies compirising possibly 1,wo, 000 men are opposed to about 107 German divisions, ninety divisions representing the normal garrison of the trench ines from Flanders to Switzerland, and o ven teen divisions having been recently trane ferred from the Eastern front. If each division were at full strength, which is most Improbable. there would be on the west front 2,140,000 Germans against 2.00,000 French and British. On the east front, from the Gulf.of Riga to the Roumanian border, eighty-thr-e divisi.ons or something less than 1,4I0.000 G..rman, are fighting by the side of about 1,2'.rs Austrians, making a total force of, say. 2.WtOA.0 Teutonic allies against possih 1.15.000 Russians. This last figure I- Ies i certain, but It is not far from the truth if the Russian establishments are up to strength, and the Slav war minister Poliveanoff said this week that Russia has 1,500A40 trained recriitd in reser, %.aiting the all to fil the gaps. iine-up in Other Fields. Taking the ils important fields of operations, thex. are at Saloniki. rouich ly, :0." French and British troops i der Gen. Sarrail. and massed against them on the Greek border are 7 i Bulgarians. Something like ten dli sions of Germans took part in th S.rhian campaign, it the best information is that most of them have returned to the main fronts, althoiuch some of these 3 ((to vettrans of Mackensen undoubtedly remain in the Balkans. England. accord ing to the Germans. is massing 3,k010 men in Egypt to defend the Suez Canal. and re-enforcements from Australia. In dia and South Africa continue to arrive. This figure is prohably too high. A Turk Ish host estimated at 30,000 is gathering in Syria to march across the Ilesert of Sinai as son as Meisener Pasha has com pleted his light railway, which is essen tial for the eo-ration. On the Italian front. Gen. I'adorna estimates that twelve Austrian corps. of something un der 4W).0,1 men, are combating hiim. andt 9W0,00 is the cr-rint estimate of the Ital Ian armyv, with abundant reserves to call upon when ieeded. In the Caucasus, Grand Iluke Nicholas. with perhaps 3e. 000 men, is tighting not more than '40) Turks, and Von der Goltz Pasha is es timated to ha-e under him in the Mess potamian campaign not less than lour corps. or ).0 men, against p, rhaps A000 British under Ge. Townslinl and A lmer. These last figures are not worth nu-h le ause both is arcush Ing re-enforcemente to the Asian thea ters. The fighting in the ('ameroons and East Africa Is beino conducted A I forces whose size is insignificant meas ured by the scale on which this nar is conducted. The numhring of the rival bots, which in all .s, s toist he understd.,,s as only ar1-mxim i . i,,s not take i . l!) count a fact or mati as iinlort:mtt as manl power; prob -iy, cn the main 'rit more so. That is tire rower. No ,eiinsc of th. niumber of 'annon and clwi available -an he, made, bit the g.teri indications are that, on the west fronT. the allies are far superior in both re spects, unless the German munition fir tories have far sirpassed their miral-s of last winit. on tie east front. it is ertain that Ih, Austro-Germans will re tain th ir ii r sujperi-rit\ this i-a1, whai ever improienii iia\ ha-e tak.n Iia, in the Ira; Russian citlation. tI Saloniki, ioppotunities f, r mnitionment are about rqial; itn Ei-g pt. ith, Fritieh have an overwhelmitg advant hle cause Turkish cannon and project les must be brought across t des- hy a single field railroal. li tle 'auca-ts andt in MNlesopotamia stiItniius diffical tics exist for tie artillery offl-ir of both sides. and only the cv.nt can. show which li-ae proveid more enlrpriin;. 14,230,000 in War. The whole lineup I tave given indi cates that on the tighting fronts, t-t far short of 4.000.0M Germans. 1..n Austrians, -,W. Turks aril '.X Hul-t gars are opposing 3,300.i19 Rassi-ans. 100 Italians. This would give f..'a ol diers of the central powers against 7,(R'0,000 allies, and without laiming any special authority for these totals I wtould wager that neither Is moore than 1~> Icr cent off. When it comies to thte vitld questiont of reserves, the situatiotn of the central powers is not so good. Germany, count ing all the more or less (it nmen up to the age of 54, cannot muster more than 900,000 additional reserves, and in the heavier (ighting to come she is not likely to be able to keep her permanetit wastage down to its normal figure of -.'00,000 titn a mnonth. The situatiotn in Aiustria Is more obscure, but Franz-Josef talled tup. his older muen early in the winter, and t10A00i more res-erves obtained by this method and by re-examining the untit are a liberal estimate. Bulgatla has muobil Ized all her fightIng men, while so great Is the economic crisis in Turkey that the Germans will do well to add 300,000 more Turks to the 700,000 now fighting for the Kaiser and the prophet. This estImate would show 1,700,000 reserves remaining for the central powers. Far different Is the situatIon of the allies. France nas no reserv'es, hut this seeming1,y alarming fact is explained by the fact that she has not considered it necessary to call out men above the normal age of 45 years. nor to replace her munition workers to the extent to which this has been done in Germany. I am fairly familiar with the military situation in Great Britain. and can flatly state that Kitchener and Sir William Robertaon can put wIthin a year at least 2.500.000 more men at the front, Including those now being traIned, pro-. vidIng the outcry of the commercial In terests against wvithdrawing more men from industry Is allowed to pass un heeded, and married men are conscripited. Italy has' at least 1,54,000 more men availlable, and Russia's war minister aimLma 1Waua ====.. ma.m .. Fensive Made Nece i of Ranks by W Forced to Stake A ed to Have 6,580,000 Men to )0,000 Final Reserves Agains y Authority, Foresees Attacks ten Before Start of Verdun B arms, with countless more at hand if needed and if arms can be provided for them. I have accounted for ki.0to al lied reserves against 1,70.00 Germanic. but the disparity is probably far greater. for I have deliberately allowed the Ger mans the last possible man and kept the allikd estimate down to a more reasonn ble figure. Numbers New Vital Factor. It has been necessary to cover this round bciause the problem of numbers, reserve- and fire power as I have slated it. allowing as liberal a margin as you please- for my errirr. is that which face-e the highrr o.mmand- of loth sides and ai!l dijtate the Ptratey and ta-tics of this yearn camrpain. Ther ar' ive main m--hois of military tho.:ght i Eu ro, tody. ne holds that the war wil; Ie decided by a 'i-aking of the existing deadlock in the West and a re suti:l1; debaele for one sid- or the other. all t: at all other o.p--rations in chiding th t:u-ian, are -sordinate. A -onI b.-- -, tih- Wester trit to be so 't ron"il1 ,ntr-,ent hed and hel that vic tory for eith-r jisi-Pwhinmeurable ie is im;orild .. ....t that on the nan E 'rt rit a wei-i an I reached rd l, trum. in both England and Germany, tainki, both main fronts can he broken. and the war dilded on -ither front. Tii German adherents of thus vi. w contend that Giermany should b-rak the Russiai front. because :t Is the -amer of the tw, end that by so doing Russia iould be foned into a ;earat teace an.h! hI u cVli ipelle d to yield. Thir British corad's hold that a br-ak If the Ge-rman eric Eat or Ven wo:d iIrng about instant -ollapse. The common characteristtc of tie three schoiP men tirend Is that they all depudiat- the dis persion of energy ou'side the two thea ters of war whrbee alone a decision can be found. Mlajor- mtoraht of Berlin belong, to the sir'oad hiol, Cloinel lRetrn of Iondon mi th- firt. 'ol I Shumiky of P'etrogrId ti tIe third. The 'atter two critics inve-igh without eeasrng against the -oncnlration in Galhrpoli. M-sopo tamia. the Caucasus, Saloniki and Egypt. -.Ihile Iajor Milohraht, who dare not be ci frr-e in his utterances. obviously dis appro-i-s as strongly. on the same grounide. of tIe German adventure in Se'lIda andt the Ahole Eastern drift Of Teutonic potlw. Beliese Draw Only Resuit. The fourth school of th..rht believes botI the Weet-ri and Eastern fronts to b irmprcgiiat-le against attack by either ide, but contenuds that the war csn be dr"id V fighting in the East. where m *iity has not b-cn destro. id. The ;ftih " hool. which includes many arin offiers of high rank. lit which natural% kerap its thoughts pretty much ti itself. I, 4arris the war as a Iopeless draw. It apts the theory of the fourth shool that the main fronts are impregnable and rejects the belkef t rat a decision can be re-ched anywhere else. (-On^ of the most interesting tasks of the future historinn aill be the study of thee tire waII as of Iooking at the saim. tiriblem ar'd how tirst one vlew ani Ienr another captivatid one or the other of the hvir co:rnands To r terr.pt t.. arOsze thiiw s or the a~hed i<omm-ar - at .i-es, nt would Irig me Into %I, l I , cois;ron ith the dcfenc of th ni-lm act. and mnust not be atte-rpte rut it i, obvious to any one that Wi:.stor Churchill a year auo persuaded the go% - ernment to ad, pt the fourth point of Ilew and to att k tire DardanilOs. and it is alIo olb miou that whpn : rmies sere lour'ri I ii t st 1 r- t a utu nn the pt ii u p :: n t. !, O - e- 1 1l. n a nd > h1k \t thi- lin e it a la -rI-I in li-h ci. that sr! a . -- ui IIrI I- Il I e \arrda' from SaIloniki ro- th ' :nuh .nrl s!r:k- i;r', w n the he. art hy ,rushing Austri-na 'romi hi un;uarded -i-th front, that I onistantl nople -rild Ih -aptured by a!mrm c - landd smiriultaneouslv In Thrace and As.s 'Minor, and that oI. r -Ambihitiou ir-rtF , bei-rr dr out %.rih t1- Aid oft eI : B :,'I 'I" that a i to I rt ill n-- - altu-e H~arad a.i~. LieRusi a" r rn vi' .n I '-xiii i idvnI tirigh. th- . - a-il- the miuniam pw is'l 'The foirth -ch-1 w.hn tell thr O-ei ars. r. mi. to the out, Ii- the. Ta--st I a sonri of 1! 1i-, :.i hIis rI-.,i id tin uto<rt tromr th- informd til ic h ;aerri-e Its tia Ial A Itoi t th. i-, of "Sa e Serbia and tI i' rh iI' b, lundcring. Blander In Orient. th l-u-th h. d I- It iI - .r cr Turkl vi Ii . u if h, 'hme Ther- a- ;. .- : Fte:Ih troopis etmplr i-e n th 10 rt against Turks and Iu.rs at pr- Pt, with %ery few Germi- I- tie ranrAr, their < rin , t I" trooi''. id eer cent rout. lI ? the Ieitr?,,,. of th. first , hooi . they in ht t.e- tIr - --I the si n. w ,r.i.ihi, 11.- 1 miti could in.e Ira-i i, ' i :7 allies to transt r th - IrI, P n 1 ti w, T fron11 t a d :!tt f >:0 n m-in nothing to them To the re itni ho hr n ro1t rid that only In the East front ,In itory he woln, iel onrg tho- BriIon who v at this -ountry tn t p sitiniog mPrenI t th war atnd to c-ornentrate onr -sr sirinal ixpirrt trade, s> asO to bei ..ile toi continur to tiirnnc- thre wear amr-ItIi our int. Rusia tihe output of hi r noi.nitiotn fac torie.. Thir ariuenil-~ t: seem i nor. have atro I mra h nl-fer- atI nrc sounrd if ir he granted tha.t all ! forls on the wet front iri doomerd hr forlui*r. for It is tnt f-acrt~cb oa Bsritishi troops to re-infeioe the Russimins. It Is believed in the luest-Informed cit eles in England that ertmny is p-re paring an attakn tun ani unparalleled scale. to strike a tlosw that 'hail bring one onf her enemuies to tin, ground anrd break up thre coamlitin against her. The Turkish i ntpa.ignr- ini Mr'n-rt-rmiat atnd Egypt wilt be cirrie-I --ui, under G. rnman ofloeen ir i a d itih soeriie rmn artiiler. meely as iversionre to hoeep allied troop, away fromt the w' stern front, is tihe ii - lef of those wiho thlink the bilow isill tail in thf west. The reason wiry It is held that Germany must stake all on a great thrust is to be found in the analysis of remainIng numbers. Unless a fasorable decision can he reached during the campaigning weather this i-ear. German armies nib. begin to waste away anid before the b~e ginning of tihe third winter they may Ibe too weak to withstand thrir enemties. West Front Place for Dasb. The west front is tredlsputably the place where a decision could be reached more quickly If victory be won. The German lines at Noynon are obly fifty miles frotm Paris. "'But," said a prominent easterner na dispute with a still more prominent westerner during lunch at the Carlton yesterdasy. "it is absurd to suppose they will attniek us now, when for eighteen months ise have been gettIng read.- for them. wheni with a numrrecal supseriority of six toi 0ne they e--irld not break throuigh our acrat-hedmuit shrehter trenches at Ypres and Arras in I1&H" 'You forget," saM4 his opptonent. "that in 1114 drum bie had met bee. aemass. x9s Ravages; 1l Upon Big Drive Oppose 7,650,000 Soldiers of 5,500,000 Allies-BaI on West Front in Ar We employed it at Neuve califn- mad we carried all the ground our guns Prep erly covered. The Germane studied that battle, and the similar tactic of Me French in Champagne, and uming dun fire tenfold more intense than ours they broke the Russian line in Geli& Thes. after, at critical moments during the great drive, they aiways eraced the. em's line by drum dre." Drum fire Is so called from the i semblanoe the hurricane bonbardists from thousands of cannon bear to the beating of a drum, a drum about as big as Pike's Peak. "You must remnsmbwr, broke In the Easterner, 'that the Rug sians were crushed because they had no guns.'" "Do you know." said the Westeimer impreasvely. -that the Germans have never employed drum fire against our f-ont, and that wherever It has been ern ployed by either side it has carried all the ground properly prepared We used it in Artois. at Loos and In Champagne but the Gernans kept in Russia all their guns they were not using for defensi a pu'poees against us. Now they are bring ing them west, and we &hall soon have to fa, e the biggest smash the world has ,,,-r known, a smash as much bigger than Champagne as Champagne was big Per than Neuve Chapelle." Even sO." the other retorted. "such an attack would fail. and you know it. But against RussIa-that's dlfferent ].misingen and the Austrians will demon strate in the south. fight a great battle against Ivanov, and then In the north Hindenburg will break loose for Petro grad, count:ng on the Russian pac'e party to un over the Czar if be gets there." Gives Two Impertant Views. That coniersation fairly gives the %-h, ws of two important currents of opin Ion. and the importarnt point Is that both are tLrmir vensin-d tfat the Germans w-ill strike for a deis-on, either east or west. just as soon as thev- posr:by can, because time is Inexorabls against them Nothing has been said about the Its Ian front. eince it Is believed everywbe that Italy I- fighting for Trieste and the Trentino, not T-r her Allies. and thst. , view of he- sttItide. she will not h- a, tacked Iv Germany nor will she persist In her -aip n after her oje't. hale been gained ltcr one usefu:nes, to the entent-end a most Important one I, is-is that she keeps ,lway from the Rut Flan front between 0 aM P 'n'- Au triane. Hler signature to the no-SeparatC peac- rant is generally reported to ha been titorted by Britaln In return for large advances of money and suppliee Whle Germany- is preparing he-r grit blow. hhelr in east or weot. ,hj..t as the all-s doing' Why do not they strl.k firet' These are fair questuons. and the cannot be answered as franky as I 'hould :Ike, The supply of guns and shells heaped up by the allies on the wetern front is enormous. and Mr. Lloyd-George told a caJer the other day. "If I told you we had ten tirne. as imamy eens now as We Lad a year ago today. I should be guIlty of a ridiculous "samJtement w- never have been able to catich up Wtllh the French output" Peh 'ans the al'ies 'sl stike fist In th' west terhaps the!t great of'cnAc.v wI m-ite wIth a forward abm'e by t-c Rust. 'o , arA wth a freh storm - alor the Isonzo If, under the supreme direc tion of Joffre. Alex.!ff and tobertson. ;en Paig and the leaders of his three spear-heads-Gene Monro. of Gallipoli fame, Gourh and RIawinson-etrtke to gethee "ItV Ger. 'teina-p a-rmes un dC'- 1 o. I shafl ard other atnous lead I get'e- n5th Cnr-- a. togethe with Irnrin 'laN Ewa- in the centra, *ar-hes and Ruedy- in the Ra:tIc prov. ir-, the GermnE ma, Ie i:rabe sir -ess'-- to meet their enemle. i'er snhe-e at oree This seerns I.. obvious t-te~g It I" n- ' pos!ble I attauc '00- er on the 'ame front b it I. ther-e'ira-' prihie ,- ' i:e at or..........f-,e tA E.nd Hesson for Wattlg. t)-'- ila a-' ' '- mgiod n rca n a" i - mh-aaea' S ti- fe ing onmte a' et the i;ermnos atta-k t1,-t. I wa. to I -1 1 F-er *oii, 7 -Iregard a. ore o1 i t t criterstt r Enga d - i it j c w . to" c-1 :,;' - - ener it. u ~ Prat and then " Ithe '.a ,-' 1'i k. ou Che k I' a'd mInIe-here else ard I I-mn ise - , t s '-, Is- Ilwn ciAt The - te war. =it' Is-lat --i av b to ou" a-Iantage 1 i then rrtain it f'r the moment. It it-tie i-a' ii.e Tinan'eta. strain ujpon I5 tsen hit sic know our enemiles a - at t we can afford '. pla' i- ne~ ame I an nrot teling yo It c' om--- barrrien. he- a s- I c- r". - think-' w n to ,i- . T. Th-- e >ite--on7 have besid urzr' agin-t an al!:ed .' fensive on All f'rti, hifore the -er mian shock is met anrd broken It i, bas,,d oi buaRItrian groindi 'We could breek the i;ermans up by a gen cial natsault ev-erywhere, hut it milg't -nit us trote than two million men. East and West alike, because c-f th-c .1trenth I of the ti;errnan line, at d th edsantlace cnf erred by the defereive tie 'lnrmar a'cault that must come. for we know ia can break It. and it will be enormtously expensive to thec enemv. Then we should ctart kmling Germnane a ith our shells and econo mize the live, of our soldier," The theory embodied in the last men tence- is drawn from the experIence of ill the great battles In the West sin-c drum fire was firnt used at Neuve Cha - pelle, just a year ago In every cat the German advanced trenche arsur '-I which the tr-ne'pal art'llery stta' k was dinetled were lIterally bloswnr to pIeces and occupied practically wIth out lose. but in eac'- case the Irlfant' - as it advanced farther was swept away by machIne fire from concealed redoubts not destroyed by artillerv,. and suffered loss far greater than thec enemy In the concluding stage, of the battle. The new strategy advocated as a re-. cult of these experiences might he i-a -led by Joffre's famous phraae "n i L~lnig "- It is favored by Colonet Rep' ngton because that expert claims i-n attempt to- -reak- clear through the German tBres can eucced. and by others who believe it will result Ia caving thousands of lIves. "Concen trate your guns on the first line or two of Germans, blow them off the map, and advance your Infantrv just so far as you have destroyed all op poaltion. Then begin, and so on un til you have killed all the Germans or they hav'e surrendered." Is the formula. Its adherent- admot it would take more t ime than the tiormal nmet .-d of attack,. but comiend that It is better to pro'ons the- war and spend more money if such a course wrill emne tfa