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Odds Now Give Court Bill Edge Informal Polls Taken, However, Held Not Satisfactory. BY DAVID LAWRENCE. NO QUESTION is more frequent ly or more persistently asked of Washington correspondents than this: "Will the Presi dent's bill to reorganize the Supreme Court pass, and if so, when?” Informal polls have been taken and several of them published, bpt they ao not. sausiy. , The .reason Is j that many Sena- ; tom are non- j committal, and as i for the House the j understanding Is ' that members i there will not line ; up till they see | the form In which ? the bill is pre- | sen ted to the Sen- ; ate for discussion, i Why are so : many Senators i non - committal? Some of them feel David Lawrence. iney neea not antagonize me aamm Istration unnecessarily and that a compromise bill will come out of the Senate committee, and thus spare them all the grief that comes from a fight against them, engineered by the Farley political machine. The vote probably is close today— not more than five to 10 votes either way. But the general expectation is that the bill transmitted by the Pres ident with his message to Congress on February 5 will be materially al tered. The debate has brought out several defects which the administra tion Itself will want to correct. Present Status of Bill. Thus, as the measure stands today, Mr. Roosevelt or a future President could appoint a man at the age of 69 and he would be eligible to serve for 10 years—namely, till he is 79. That would not be infusing “young blood,” and six old men can be appointed if the proposed bill written at the White House were passed. Some amendment insisting that no body shall be appointed who is over 60 years of age would seem to be likely, though this might cut off some of the candidates for the Supreme Court bench who have been active in behalf of the President's plan. Talk of “compromise" is heard on •very side. But what is “compro mise"? Certaintly, in a close fight, it is a mistake for either side to con cede at this stage of the game that any compromise will be accepted. If President Roosevelt really wanted to compromise, he would not say so at this time. He could wait till the bill came out of the Senate commit tee or he could stand pat till the bill passed the Senate and wait and see what changes the House might make and then try to work out a compro mise in conference. The Senate Judiciary Committee will rewrite the bill. The committee will not ask Mr. Roosevelt's views be cause a majority there is opposed to his plan anyhow. Yet an effort to meet the public sentiment which wants some sort of change will be made. Limit of 75 Indicated. Thus, for instance, the reporting out of constitutional amendments requir ing retirement at 75 may be looked for. This might be adopted by the com mittee Irrespective of the President's bill. As for the basic issue—whether when a President of the United States wants the decisions of the Supreme Court changed, he need only ask Con gress to increase the size of the cour^— this is something that doesn’t permit of a middle ground. If Mr. Roosevelt Is right, then two or six justices added makes the scheme objectionable from the viewpoint of those who are taking their stand on principle. Just one germ of a contagious disease injected Into the human constitutional system Is as bad as a great many germs. From the standpoint of the Presi dent's supporters, they, too, will want six justices because they think Mr. Roosevelt needs at least six more to balance the four who have been con sistently Invalidating New Deal laws and the one who has done it occasion ally. There’s another kind of a com promise possible. If the debate is prolonged and the Senators opposed to the President's plan succeed in arous ing by their speeches a considerable sentiment against action for some time to come, the present session of the Supreme Court may when it ends in June see two resignations. This would completely transform the issue for the time being. Opponents would say they want to learn what type of justices Mr. Roosevelt plans to appoint. Sup porters might be disposed to wait till the nominations are announced and thus an agreement might be reached to defer action until after confirma tion by a majority of the Senate. But how do the votes stand now? The answer is that from the very beginning it has been apparent that solely on personal conviction and on a secret ballot, the proposal of Mr. Roosevelt to pack the court would be overwhelmingly beaten in both houses. Says Farley Machine Active. But since the administration keeps tabs on every member of Congress and the Farley machine already is -'•Jtive in building a backfire against meThbers of the Senate who have de clared themselves publicly against the President's plan, many Senators have to choose between allowing some Par ley-chosen Democrats to come to the Senate in their places or standing by and trusting to future developments to enable them to modify the 111 eflects which they believe will flow from a packing of the court. The chances of passing the Presi dent's bill with a few amendments, but not altering the basic principle he has in mind, grow better every day that the Parley political machine Is at work. Many persons have pro tested by letter to their Senators against the Supreme Court bill but not enough of them have said In so many words that they will not vote next time for a member of Congress who approves by his vote the Presi dent’s bill. Nor have enough Republican vot ers written their pledges of support of Democratic Senators who might be wavering and who would like to know now whether they can count gains from the conservative group to offset the votes being mobilized by the so-called ‘‘Non-Partison Labor League” and other New Deal mechan isms for lining up votes. As it is, the chances of the Presi dent’s winning the fight are better than even. (Copmtbt, IBS?.) News Behind the News Confusion Obtains in Government as Roosevelt Plans Are Checked. BY PAUL MALLON. THE Government Is moving along daily with a dull Spring air of assurance, but underneath there has rarely been such lack of order. Nearly everything seems to be Involved In confusion. Price policy, budget, sit-downs, taxes, Government finances, Government re organisation, new N. R. A., new Supreme Court, hours and wages, arma ments and nearly anything you can mention. Some or these conditions may clear up shortly; others may become serious. But, for the present, there is little clarity of thought about action or detailed purposes in con nection with anything. # For instance, there is no legis lative program and has been none since Congress started in January. Old hands cannot remember when a legislative program was lacking after three and a half months of congressional debate. The reason is obvious. congress cannot formulate a program wnen n aoes not Know what legislation is to be marked "must.” President Roosevelt has been blocked and. delayed for one reason or another in working out his objectives. What he does In the next 30 days may tell the tale for the next three years. * * * * Tax BUI Talk—at Financing Time. A very definite semi-official assurance Is abroad In certain financial quarters that there will not be a tax bill. The explanation jor all this talk about one, they say, is Treasury financing strategy. Experienced bond market men have noticed that, whenever the Treasury is confronted with a financing problem, as at present, a flurry of unofficial tax increase stories appear. After the financing is complete, the talk sometimes dies down. Thus evidence, however, is not conclusive. There may or may not be a tax bill. You will know definitely in mid-May. * * * * Reorganization Plan Acquires Scars. The President's Government reorganization plan is being severely cuffed around backstage. The joint congressional committee which is supposed to be formulating the legislation Is so mixed up It has not held a meeting for the last two weeks. In the end. the President probably will get his six new secre taries. Committeemen seem to feel that, if Mr. Roosevelt says he needs these new jobs, they cannot go behind his request. They are nowhere near as enthusiastic about creating the two new Gov ernment departments (welfare for fckes and public works for Hopkins> as their published words would indicate. They are already determined not to give the President control over the budgets of several independent commissions. Sentiment appears crystallizing against placing the Interstate Com merce Commission and the Federal Communications Commission under departmental control. At * * * Disarmament Just a Dream. The new ordainers have practically given up on disarmament. No public word has been spoken on the subject, but the various things which have been tried out on the inside are said to have been filed away. * * * * Relief and Budget Message Due. What they will do about the budget spending and the related subject of the Government bond market is up to Mr. Roosevelt’s message this <■ % r* week on relief and budget revision. Evidence is available that he tore up his original message, or at least abandoned his original idea. The new one may be more to the liking of the Eccles-Morgenthau school of curtailment and budget balancing, ^ not merely on paper, but in fact. The only really dangerous factor In the situation is prices. On this he still has his unan nounced “plan,” but no one knows wnat he will do with It. There will be legislation on this subject, and probably also on the new N. R. A. and hours-wages, again no one know* what. # * * * Sit-Down Legislation Unlikely. There will be no sit-down legislation, unless the current spread of small strikes breaks into big ones. The President himself gave an indica tion on this by amplifying his silence on the subject at his last two press conferences. * * * * Problems Crowd Around. Few authorities can recall a time when a President of the United States was beset with so many confusing problems in peace times. Even in the early days of the New Deal there were only one or two subjects hanging fire at a time, and the only problem was to work them out. Now there are dozens of problems pressing for solution and few acceptable solutions being suggested—that is, solutions acceptable from a presidential standpoint. (Copyright, 1H37.) J'HE opinions of the writers on this page are their own, not necessarily The Star’s. Such opinions are presented in The Star’s effort to give all sides of questions of interest to its readers, although such opinions may he contradictory among themselves and directly opposed to The Star’s. Spanish War’s Lessons Cash Declared to Have Thrown White Light on World’s Class Struggle. BY DOROTHY THOMPSON. THE lessons of Spain are numer ous. No situation since 1S33 has thrown into clearer light the forces moving Europe and the western world, or dispelled more idols of the market place, military, so cial and political. First of all, military. For years the idea of the slash ing, elemental of- : fensive, the sur prise a 11 a c k which would overcome all re sistance and re sult In victory in three days’ or three weeks’, time, has dominated the thinking of war offices and of journalists and commentators on military affairs. The undeclared war launched Dorothy Thompson. against civilians witn an uie man la ments of modern technology, re sulting In Immediate moral collapse and surrender, has seemed the perfect weapon for nations with formidable military machines, but without the capability of long endurance in a for eign war. Thus Gen. Goering i,s un derstood to have told a citizen of a neighboring neutral country six or eight months ago that the next war would be immediate and elemental in its fury and whoever struck first with the most completely mobilized forces would certainly win it. On that theory strategies have been planned. The Spanish experience casts se rious doubts upon this thesis, Gen. Franco’s was certainly a surprise at tack, against a government which was innerly divided and extremely weak. Gen. Franco himself disintegrated the Spanish army by his rebellion, taking with him the largest part of its staff officers. Franco had, from the begin ning, the financial and other support of interested parties outside Spain. He had voluntary support in some of the democratic countries—in England, for instance—and definite and official support from nations which do not have to consult their people. Either he, personally, or his supporters had certainly consulted the highest in stances in Germany and been assured of support months before the coup broke. This column has definite and reliable sources for believing this to be true. And if it was, one may cer tainly infer that Italy was also a party to the plot. Errors by Franco. One can speculate now whether errors which Franco made in the first week of the campaign were not re sponsible for his failure to win im mediately. But the fact is that nine months have passed. Franco has not taken the capital, he has lost positions which he gained, and it is now quite clear that he cannot possibly win unless Germany and Italy are pre pared to undertake an outright con quest of Spain with all the men and arms necessary. Franco has had from the beginning officers, trained Moroccan, Italian and FOR EACH GARMENT VALUED UP TO *300. THIS year PLAY SAFE with your lovely furs and Winter garments. Store them AT THE LOWEST PRICE for THE GREATEST PROTECTION you can get anywhere. Noth ing can harm them in our MOTHPROOF, FIREPROOF, DUSTPROOF Storage Vaults! EACH GARMENT fULLY INSURED AGAINST THEFT •LOSS • MOTHS DUST AMD FIRE FUR REMODELING AND REPAIR ESTIMATES IN YOUR OWN HOME We offer you the convenience of sending a fur ex pert to your home to give you an estimate on remodeling and repairing any garments. I „ HOTHIMG TO PAY It Returned. 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As in the United States in 1776, the social revolutionary forces and the national will are both, appar ently, on the same side. That means an alliance with history. The most dynamic spirit in Spain is with the loyalists. For that spirit recognizes the urgent, inexorable need for a better material life for the impover ished long-suffering Spanish people. And that means a realignment in society, the sweeping away of such special interests as prevent the appli cation of more scientific methods to social, technical, agrarian organiza tion. And the people of Spain, who are proud, intellectual, logical and fierce, as well as profoundly patriotic, know quite well that no junta of gen erals can solve Spain’s pressing problems. Poet’* Words Revelatory. Nor can patriotism, nationalism, win by means of an invasion of for eign troops, or establish its moral prestige by high treason. The words of the dying Spanish poet Unamuno are revelatory. He had supported Franco against the government, yet he is reported to have said before his death: “When I see the Germans in the streets of Salamanca I know my country has been betrayed.’’ And he was right. For the soldiers were mercenaries- They were not fighting for Spain, but for foreign imperial ist interests. What have they to do with Spanish nationalism? Just as the invasions into revolutionary Rus slo of Yudenitch, Denikin and Wran gel, backed and financed by foreign powers anxious to recapture their lost economic Interests, finally consoli dated the Russian people behind the Red Army, so the invasion into Spain of Italians, Germans and, above all, of Moors, tore open the eyes of the people of Spain and pulled the na tional feeling into alliance with the social revolution. So that to be a good Spaniard, to be a lover of Spain, to be a patriot, meant for thousands to stand shoulder to shoulder with the "rabble”—as once it meant in this country, before there ever was a United States. CCopVUht. 193? J This Changing World Row Over Former Prince Nicholas Susceptible of Serious Consequences in Rumania. BY CONSTANTINE BROWN. THE row between Brother Carol and Brother Nicholas of Rumania, regarding the right of the latter to lead his own life, might create serious troubles In the Danubian kingdom. Carol, as King, objects strenuously to his younger brother and former regent having married the lady of his choice. * a * a Carol Is acting like a fox who has gone on a vegeterian diet. He wants the family of which he is the head to lead a highly regal life. The row might be of little Inter national consequence if It were not for the Rumanian Nazis, the Iron Guards, who have taken sides with the prince. Nicholas' wife is a Ru manian and a Christian. Mme. Lupescu is a Jewess. The prince does not play a political role in his country hence his wife cannot pull any strings behind the scenes. Mme. Lupescu has managed to surround Carol with a court camarilla, which keeps out of office all those who might oppose the unofficial wife of King Carol. * * * * The Iron Guards have been looking for a chance to start a campaign against the King. They are still smarting because the Rumanian govern ment is unwilling to side with the dictators of Central Europe—Mussolini and Hitler. They consider tha Carol-Nlcholas incident as a godsend which will enable the Iron Guard leaders to let loose a flood of oratory and thus gain more partisans. * * * * President Quezon has finished his Mexican visit. Officially, he went over to rest and pay a call on the Mexican President. The real scope of the visit, however, is that Quezon is endeavoring to get the Latin American republics to accept the new Philippine Re public in the Pan-American concert. President Roosevelt is not opposed to withdrawing all political immix ture of the United States in the new reupblic some time in 1938 or 1939. Whether the other Latin-American nations would want to bring the new state into their family is another matter. The American continents are practically safe; there is no real danger of their being invaded by any Asiatic or European power or / group of powers. This is not the case with the Philippines. Although for the time being the danger of a Japanese invasion has subsided, that danger will always remain a possibility. They are too close to the wolf. * * * * Another Lawrence of Arabia haa appeared on the political horizon of the Middle East in the person of Sir John Philby, the political advisor of King Ibn Saud, the master of Arabia, Sir John is a Britisher who has been converted to Islamism, partly because he prefers that religion to Christianity and partly because he wants to be close to Ibn Saud at Mecca. As a Christian, it does not matter how friendly the head of the Arab kingdom may be to him, he could not enter the holy city. Philby is suspected by many as an agent of the British government. This may be so, although for the time being he acts more as an enemy than a friend of his government. * * * * Ambassador Luther’s outburst at the Bierabend he gave for the Washington newspaper men was, to say the least, unusual. German Ambassadors from the time of Von Prittwitz have followed the custom of giving a yearly entertainment of the most informal nature. .Beer, sausages and scrambled eggs are served at small tables. But in the past political discussions were strictly taboo. Neither Von Prittwitz nor Luther in the last eight years mentioned politics. If ever international problems were discussed by some individual newsman with either the Ambassador or any member of the staff, it was purely a personal affair. a * * * Ambassador Luther’s “speech" is being interpreted here as a personal gesture, before his departure for Germany. Dr. Luther is a converted Nazi. That is to say, he started by being an opponent of the present regime; then, realizing the hold Hitler got on the country and the re markable restoration of the Reich as one of the most powerful nations in Europe, he became a super-Nazi. Luther is going back to Germany. His unhesitating Nazi policy in this country is not generally known in the Reich because it has never received much publicity. The attacks he has been subjected to in this country from various anti-Nazi groups and in the House of Representatives, were not sufficient to show what a good fighter for the cause he was. He needed just before his return to Berlin some real outburst. And the otherwise pleasant and uneventful Bierabend offered the retiring Am bassador the occasion to make the front page, both in this country and in Germany. (Copyright, 1937.) Headline Folk and What They Do Hunt for George Rice, Parole Breaker, Re calls Old Days. BY LEMUEL F. PART0N. WHEN George Graham Rice broke his parole last No vember Federal authorities made a rather desultory search. It was learned today that they and State authorities, too, have, for some reason or other, become in tensely interested and there is a real hunt on. Man and boy, this writer has ob served Mr. Rice as on- of the most interesting of our illustrious pica roons, as dependable as the old faith ful geyser, in always erupting again after a spell of quiesence. It is 47 years now since he first went to jaiL He emerged in 1933 from Atlanta, where he had gone in 1928 after typical stock operations which had fleeced victims of several millions. I unintentionally gypped him of $1,150 once, but failed to get my cut and didn't know until years after ward what had happened. It was in the hell-roaring days of Goldfield. Rife and Larry Sullivan, the famous crimp, were selling blue sky to all comers and popping champagne corks all around town. In the absence of the boss, I was running the Goldfield Tribune. A story came 'n which It was made clear that one of the mo6t fabulous Sullivan-Rice promotions was an eight-foot prospect hole without a trace of color in it. I was unable to verify it and threw it away. That evening I had a visit from a ratty curb broker, quite rich and powerful now, who, in those days, was doing minor assignments of dirty work for Sullivan and Rice. He asked how wt were going to play that "blue bird” story. I told him I had thrown it away. Goldfield went to pot and Rice went to jail and the world wagged on about 15 years. One day, on Market street, San Francisco, a stranger began thumping me on the back and in sisting he had been looking for me for years to buy me a drink. We had the drink, and I finally identified him as Rice’s one-time scavenger and fixer. He had been working in gun running and filibustering deals in South America. "You remember that night I came in and asked you about the blue bird story?” "Yes.” "Well, I'll tell you what happened. Rice slipped me $200 and said, 'Go down to the Tribune office and grease that big tramp. Don’t let that story get into the paper.’ I went back to the office, talked to you and went back to Rice. 'He's a tough ombre,' I said. 'He laughed at me when I flashed that $200.’ Rice handed me another $200 and told me to try again. | X made five or six trips down past | your office, going back to Rice’s office I each time for more money. Finally, j when I had run it up to $1,150, I called it a night's work and knocked off. 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