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Some Worry Avoided by President Roosevelt Fishing Trip Called Tribute to Poise. BY DAVID LAWRENCE. WHATEVER his critics may think of him otherwise, president floosevelt must certainly be given credit for having the most remarkable poise of any man in the fcountry. Certainly no business man or executive of large responsi bility anywhere compares with him in the ealm attitude and peace of mind which Mr. Roose velt exhibits to ward current problems. For the Presi dent is going fish ing. Every day there comes over the ticker into his office, as it comes into the offices of other David Lawrence. people, a simple little table of ex penses and receipts for the biggest business in the world—the Govern ment of the United States. Many another person would get the jitters looking at these figures. Many another person, if it were a private business, would hesitate to venture two blocks from his office, let alone take a vacation. Many another per son would have deep furrows in his forehead and wouldn't sleep nights. But rot President Roosevelt, wrho is going on a two weeks’ fishing trip. What Is the condition of the "big gest business in the world"? Take April 24 for an example, though each, day is more or less alike. The official Treasury figures say the •xpenses this year are $6,147,024,503, end at this time last year they were $5,874,203,651. The official figures say that the receipts are $4,036,540,530, as com pared with $3,294,674,339. So it might be expected that, with the receipts about $842,000,000 higher than they were last year the Treasury •tight to be that much better off. Present Deficit. But actually the deficit is now 12.110.483.973, as compared with $2,579,529,311 last year, and the reason is that expenses are growing even as receipts grow, too. The most important figure that stares one in the face, however, in studying the daily announcements from the Treasury, is the public debt. East year at this time it was $31,436. 531.536, but now it is $34,877,002,968. If a private business were faced with a growing debt and a big deficit, the executive in charge would be wor rying how to get rid of the debt, or how to make income and outgo bal ance. If Mr. Roosevelt worries about it, nobody ran observe it in his de meanor. He is always buoyant and cheerful as he meets the press. He has faith in*his own ability to see things through and he has the same engaging smile that he has always had before he ever entered the White House. But the condition of the Treasury Is not the only problem Mr. Roosevelt leaves behind as he goes fishing on the Gulf of Mexico for the next two weeks. He leaves behind a contro versy over which millions of his fel low citizens have been bestirred, namely, the change in the relation ship between the judicial and the other branches of the Government. The Senate comfnittee has just fin ished hearings. Mr. Roosevelt’s sup porters are being besought by col leagues of the same party to work cut a compromise. Legislative Program. Then there's the whole legislative program. The President thinks the anti-trust laws ought to be rewritten. He has soft-pedaled action on some bills and left others to hang fire till his return. It cannot be said that he has informed the leadership in Congress exactly what he wants done. They must wait till he comes back Irom his fishing trip. Then there’s the delicate situation with respect to gold. The problem of revaluing the dollar or letting it alone at the present gold price is filling the air with rumors. There may or may not be anything urgent about this, but anyway when Mr. Roosevelt goes fish ing it is a sign that he isn’t prepared to take action in these fields as yet. Tax receipts constitute another problem. The estimates were proved wrong and now the task is to find other taxes or to revise the whole tax structure to bring in more taxes. Mr. Roosevelt has delegated all this to subordinates, but anybody else would be conferring with them and possibly with others to find a way to keep the Government from running along “on the road toward bank ruptcy.” Mr. Roosevelt is different. He prefers to let Congress stew in its legislative juice, so to speak—Supreme Court bill, relief spending, and all— whilst he goes off to the blue waters of the gulf to do battle with the tar pons. Some day Mr. Roosevelt will go away and find that Congress has gone off the track and decided to assert its independence. But with the tremendous leverage that the White House has over members of Congress because the latter have voted lump sums to the Executive for his discre tionary use in their districts, the chances of this happening soon are remote. Causes for Worry. Why doesn't Mr. Roosevelt worry about the condition of the Treasury and the fact that the Government bond market shows a lack of confi dence in his budget balancing predic tions? Maybe it is because Mr. Roose velt has a philosophy of sunshine that doesn’t permit of worry, but one ex planation being advanced is that it Isn't his money—it is other people's money. His position is akin to that of the corporation executives whose bonds have been floated to the public and who do not themselves have any thing invested in their corporation. Borne of these executives do not worry either, unless it is about their salaries, and In the case of a President of the United States, the salary goes on for four years. Mr. Roosevelt likes to travel. He likes to go to sea. He takes frequent trips and vacations. He is physically strong. But if everybody else who had a big deficit to meet in his busi ness went off on a vacation, America Would find herself in the midst of a real “sit-down.” Maybe the thing to do is to forget worries and go fishing and trust to the wonders of nature to reveal the answer to the arithmetical miracle whereby deficits in billions of dollars and growing expenses seem to be a nr-.ttr. rf only incidental concern. A News Behind the News Slight Business Recession Believed Ahead—Specu lators Seen Losing Enthusiasm. BY PAUL MALLON. INDUSTRY is continuing to swell its output even beyond 1829 bounds. You may have noticed the Federal Reserve Board officially announced the other day that industrial production had reached 119 per cent in March, as compared with the 1929 average of 119. Now it is being estimated unofficially but authoritatively here that April will be up 3 points more to about 121 per cent, which is 2 points above 1929. Bigwigs in the stock market generally know about changing trends before outsiders. At least that is their business. From the manner in which the market has been acting lately, it is evident that they sense a re cession. This guess is sanctioned by nearly every economist in the Government, but only in private, of course. The economists seem to agree unanimously that a period of re adjustment is in prospect, that it probably will not be extensive or serious. They disagree about when THESE PANTS. SEEM TO BE SHRINKING^ MIME SEEM TO GET URGE* EVEK.Y PAY it will come; some say now, some say in the Fall. A rather significant hint apparently lies in the fact that prices, which have been going up steadily since last Summer, reached a peak four weeks ago. * * * * This may mean that expanding production has reached a temporary price ceiling, but authorities who value their record for accuracy will wait a few weeks before saying so in print. For one thing, the reversal of the price trend started in a peculiar way. Immediately after President Roosevelt announced that heavy goods prices were too high, some of the heavy goods values started easing ofT. But commodity prices generally failed to follow this trend. The index of all commodities, except farm products and foods, kept going right up from 84 4 on February 27 to 85.2 on March 27 and to 86.5 on April 25. Also going up are textiles, metals, building materials. Until these still-increasing prices decide what they are going to do Ihe general trend will be in doubt. But there are indisputable indications that the sensitive speculators have lost some of their enthusiasm. Their ardor is cooling, both here and abroad. Note—Of course, few of these price decreases have reached the con eumer yet. All cited are wholesale prices * * * * The business chart which follows, shows employment and wages in the factories are still going up beyond the recently announced official figures. It shows the wage earner is in relatively a better position than 1929. with his wages at 102.5 and his prices around 87.4. Earh figure in the chart represents the percentage of 1923-25 as normal for the period stated. ?3 5? S? og SO 283 O Q. 3 t, 9S a. c - 3* 2-= ES “? °-' 5- 2* »2o = * 28 3 ■ ■ »' srS S' s'* S 2 o _-S § s ? ;■?=» Year. r “ £* 1929 average. 119 105.0 109.0 106 111 117 95 3 1936 average. 105 92.0 82 0 72 88 55 80.6 1937 January . 97 89.0 74^1 70 81 61 80 6 1937 February.. 116 99 7 95 8 80 95 62 86 3 1937 March.. 118 100 8 101 2 83 92 55 87 8 (Est.) April .. 121 101.5 102.5 82 91 58 87,4 * * * * What Gen. Franco is trying to do is to clean out Bilbao before turning back again on Madrid. He realizes at last the danger to his communications by the sizable force of Loyalists in the rear. Military men think he had better hurry. Those new .secret Treasury tax revision recommendations were pre pared by Undersecretary Magill, instead of Treasury Counsel Oliphant, although both worked on them. That Anglo-French pact guaranteeing a free Belgium merely made the best of a bad situation for Britain and France. W/icn Belgium announced she mould be neutral in the next European uar, she practically forced her two ex-allies into renewing their fealty. It has not been brought out. but the State Department had a prowl through files for days before establishing the American citizenship of STATE. LOU Helmut Hirsch, who has been sen tenced to death In Hitlerland for high treason. There was some doubt about Helmut and his father, Siegfried, but the department finally decided the grandfather Hirsch had claims to citizenship, which makes Helmut a citizen, but not a very clcee one. Representative Warren of North Carolina keeps in his pocket a constant budget reminder, a clip ping from J. Micawber's recipe for happiness to David Copperfleld: “Annual income, 20 pounds; annual expenditure, 19 pounds. 19 shillings, 6 pence Result: Happiness. Annual Income, 20 pounds; annual expenditures, 20 pounds, 0 shillings, 6 pence. Result: Misery." iCoDTTUht. 1P37.) The Spring Home-Furnishings Trouble Number HOUSE /GARDEN Two Complete Magazines for the Price of One NOW ON SALE AT ALL GOOD NEWSSTANDS Presented at a time when the subject of furnish ing or refurbishing the home is one of almost universal interest, House & Garden’a Spring Home - Furnishings Double Number — with its many special features for brides — makes a most appropriate appearance. SECTION I — equivalent m its size, scope and editorial content to a regular issue of the magazine— offer* the usual wealth of new ideas and practical suggestions on all general phases of the home. It features: GARDENING — with special articles on iris, lilacs, sweet peas, and data regarding new varieties and their culture. Among the other subjects covered are: English Cottage Gardens j Plant Hunting in the Gaspej Gardening with Granite. House Sc Garden's nth flower print in full color is also included. BUILDING — presenting architects* plans for English Colonial and Pennsylvania Dutch Houses and special articles on roofing, house painting and planning. DECORATION — with special reference to new curtain treatments; note* on color trend*, and a collection of Interiors from Palm Beach. SECTION II - which if in the form of a separately-bound, 74-page Port folio—i* devoted to: HOUSES FOR TWO — 3 Cottages (Colonial, Regency and Modern) developed around one basic floor plan. The landscaping, interiors and complete furnishings for each have been worked out and are illustrated and described in detail. SURVEY OF NEW FURNISHINGS- a veritable hand-book for brides, but of equal value to all women who want to keep their homes up-to-date. Included here are outstanding examples of china, silver, glassware, linens, etc., selected from the Spring 1937 market. SPECIAL FEATURES FOR BRIDES - including tips on house*keeping, servant management, wedding trip*, etc. Sold ot the regular magatine price — SSt —at news stands. Or use the coupon below for a special intro ductory subscription! 5 ISSUES FOR $1—TO NEW SUBSCRIBERS ONLY Houae Sc Garden, Greenwich, Connecticut Enclofed find JI for which lend me the neat 5 iuuei, including the Double Numberi for May and September. " Namt- . .. S„,.t G'? - - Ataa CTHE opinions of the writers on this page are their own, not ± necessarily The Star’s. Such opinions are presented in The Star’s effort to give all sides of questions of interest to its readers, although such opinions may be contradictory among themselves and directly opposed to The Star’s. Again Eyes Look West Nations in Berlin-Rome Sphere Seek Help of More Liberal Powers. BY DOROTHY THOMPSON. INTERESTING and somewhat en couraging developments—from the viewpoint of the future or liberal democracy in Europe—are occur ring In the small states which lie be tween Germany and Italy, in the course of what has come to be known as the Berlin-Rome axis. The news papers in the last weeks have re ported numerous developments, the last one being the visit of the Aus trian chancellor, Schuschnigg, to Mussolini. The apparent infer ence to be drawn from the news re ports, and the In ference which is drawn by the controlled G e r Dorothy Thompson. man press, is that Austria, which is one of the most important states in the whole complex, is retreating from its close collaboration with Mussolini’s Italy and is moving toward Germany. But actually what has happened is that Austria, Hungary and Rumania are all finding it extremely uncom fortable to sit on an axis and are modi fying both their internal and external policies with a view of again working together with, and basing their hopes on, the liberal, democratic nations of the West. For the first time since 1933 liberal democracy in this part of the world is beginning to ascend. Nu merous forces are responsible for it. but probably the two most Important are the British rearmament and the evidence that the democratic system in France and the middle-of-the-road policy there are likely to survive. Like Pawns in a Game. Central European states, which cover an important part of Europe from any point of view—considered either economically or strategically— have been divided into two groups: The war-formed alliance of Czecho slovakia, Rumania and Yugoslavia in the Little Entente, and the states of the Rome Protocol—Austria, Hun gary, with Rumania, which regards itself as a ‘'Roman” nation, having a foot in both camps. The intimacy of Austria with Italy was conditioned as far as the Austrians were con cerned by the fear of Nazi Germany. It reached its peak in the Summer of 1934, when Chancellor Dollfuss was assassinated by the Nazis and Musso lini mobilized on the Brenner Pass to prevent the Germans from taking Austria. But as Berlin and Rome draw to gether, if not for purposes of mutual collaboration, at least for purposes of mutual blackmail, these states are coming to realize that a perfectly cynical game is being played with them, which in no way contributes to their inner or outer stability. Some time ago Italy made a treaty with Yugoslavia which is not unlike the one which Hitler, early in his regime, made with Poland. The deal shocked the Little Entente, because in making it Yugoslavia disregarded the distinct wording of the Little Entente protocol, which compels her to consult her allies before making any such agreement with an outside power. An attempt was made to -- smooth things out, but considerable distrust was awakened, particularly in Rumania. Yugoslavia Is the only Little Entente country which has not recognized the Soviet government, and Czechoslovakia, in particular, wishes the members of the Little En tente to be on a decent footing with the Soviets, particularly Rumania, be cause Czechoslovakia depends upon Russian support in case of an at tack from Germany, and can estab lish contact with Russia only via Rumania. Tilelescu’s Star Rising. In Rumania the pro-Nazi party of the Iron Guard has made so much disorder and trouble that a really organized resistance against them is beginning to form as people realize that they are merely the tools of Ger many and Italy. The ousting of Prince Nicholas was an indication j of the collapse of public patience. ! It was preceded by unification, at 1 long last, of the strongly anti-Fascist j Peasants’ party, under the leader ship of Mihalachi. Titelescu, who was the perennial foreign minister of Rumania until he fell afoul of the Nazi Iron Guard and who has clung consistently to collaboration with Great Britain and France, is slowly recovering in St. Moritz, and his star is again in the ascendant. Ru mor had it that Titelescu was pois oned, and rumor now has it that his bills in an expensive sanatorium are being paid by his poisoners—a Bal kanesque story. But at any rate he is being constantly coasulted on for eign policy. Hungary, too, played with fascism until a couple of months ago, when a Nazi putsch was aborted and the government realized that playing with fire was dangerous business. An anti-Fascist government in Rumania, Hungary realizes, would be willing to give more liberal treatment to | Magyar minorities and give Hungary a reason for slowly abandoning ideas | of territorial revision. The Yugoslav j Italian treaty is not popular in Hun gary. As for Austria, a close relation with Italy was never popular. The defeat j of Italian troops on the Spanish front ; reminds the Austrians again that they ! repulsed the Italians in the World ■ War—and the Austrians have no great idea of themselves as soldiers. I Schuschnigg postponed his visit to Italy after the debacle in Spain, and | now it is announced that the Austrian i foreign minister will use the occa i sion of the coronation, not only to : visit England, but also to stop in ; Paris. ! These *mall Central European coun i tries are always a barometer for Europe. That they are beginning to draw away from both Rome and Berlin, approach each other and turn I their eyes toward the west is not with j out significance. (Copyrutit, 1P3T.) This Changing World Nations Flirt With Debt Settlement Idea to Avoid Johnson Act Penalty. BY CONSTANTINE BROWN. SENATOR J. HAMILTON LEWIS’ keen interest in an early settlement of the war debts has produced deep satisfaction among the debtors and somewhat of a surprise among those who want to see this coun try aloof In another international conflagration. For the last four years the principal debtor nations have stubbornly maintained that as long as they have cut down the German reparations to next to nothing they ought to have a debt settlement amounting to the same thing. Great Britain, France and Co. have maintained that there was an interrelation between war debts and reparations. The administra tion refused to accept this point of view. Hence the defaulting. The debtors have announced repeatedly, however, that they are willing to pay something like ten cents on the dollar. Whatever the feeling of the White House and the State Department about this may be, there is no doubt that Congress will not accept such a compromise. It would pay us to lose 10 per cent of $20,000,000,000 and not loan money again to warring and would-be warring nations. Since the possibilities of another international conflagration have become more immediate, the principal debtor countries, hit by the Johnson WALL , ST&trrs MILLIONS act, have begun to flirt with the idea of a "debt settlement." They would like to resume payments in order to avoid the penalties of the Johnson act. Ir> other words, they would not mind paying this country a few hundred million dollars each in order to have access to the billions of "unemployed” dollars in this country. If a debtor government pays, say, $200,000,000 next month, in cash or otherwise, it will be free to go to Wall Street and borrow five or six times that amount. New York bankers are more than willing to open the gates to foreign loans. It's a profitable business for the bankers and promoters, regardless as to how unprofitable it may be for the investor. An agreement to settle debts these days is tantamount to loaning the debtor nations several times the amount they owe as each year and receive back payments from our owm pockets. * * * * Liberty is a great thing, but unfortunately, it is a luxury only rich nations can afford. This is the theory Dr. Schaeht, Hitler's minister of national economy, expounded recently in Brussels. “A nation,” the German economist said, "which has to live in a regime of managed cur rency and mast not only preserve, but create, its raw materials cannot afford the luxury of individual freedom.” * * * Dr. Schacht is now number one traveling salesman of the Reich. He actually sells whatever Germany produces. He is good at it because his father used to be a traveling salesman and had intended to make young Hjalmar Horace Greely follow his profession. Mamma Schacht, the daugh ter of a German nobleman decided that the son should follow the noble profession of arms and sent him to a military preparatory school. But Hjalmar did not like the goose step and studied political economy. His method of work in the Reichsbank and the department of national economy is unique. There are many of his collaborators who have worked with him for the last 15 years who don't even know him by sight. Schacht believes In minute and written reports. If a department head has any thing to say, some suggestion to make, he must put it on paper and the boss answers immediately in the same manner. Thus, he avoids waste of time and quibbling. It's ail in black and white. * * * * All the German war material which has proved in the Spanish civil war unsatisfactory for a campaign against a highly modernized army is being dumped now by the German arms salesmen in the Balkans, at a reduced price. The material, they say, Is not bad, but not efficient enough against the most modem tanks and airplanes. Some of the Balkan states are jumping at the bargain offered by Krupp <te Co. and are sending hogs, wheat and oil In payment for guns, tanks and bombers. The fact that the Balkans are becoming almost exclusively dependent of the German amuni tion market has a capital political TO THE BALKANS - ■ -_ ■ “*« '•> «PW> importance. In 1914 the states whose armies were equipped with the French "75" gun joined the allies because they could not change their armament overnight. Rumania, which was equipped with the German "77," suffered defeat, partly because she did not have time to get her artillery from the allies and had'only a scanty supply of shells. It's a well-known fact that countries which do not possess their own arsenals are politically dependent of the industrial countries which supply them with the necessities of war. And Germany now is making an effort to become the sole purveyor of instruments of death to the Balkans. Headline Folk and What They Do U. S. Sends Pierson to China to Develop New Trade. BY LEMUEL F. PARTOV. IT WAS on April 8 that Warren Lee Pierson, president of the Export Import Bank of the United States, landed In Shanghai. Right on time is the Japanese kick-back. They set up a sharp complaint and chal lenge against ‘‘China's becoming a colonial market of Great Britain and the United States." A market, prof itable if not co lonial. was what Uncle Sam had in mind when he sent Mr. Pierson over there. W. M. Kirkpatrick, agent of Great Britain, also se cret, was a jump or two ahead of him. As the drag on wakes up and W. L. Pierson. scrambles to Its feet, everybody is trying to sell it something. Europeans were ahead of us in supplying rails and other railroad material for China's new and extensive transportation proj ects. Road-building machinery, it is understood here, offers the best sales opportunity. Chances for big deals in this and other machinery are said to have inspired Mr. Pierson’s mission. The bank cannot finance governmental purchases, but it can arrange credit for individual deals. Mr. Pierson, a youngish, energetic man, was a Los Angeles lawyer, with a little sideline of Democratic politics, who became general counsel for the bank in 1934 and its pretident last February*. He is an alumnus of the uni j versity of California and the Harvard Law School, schooled in knowledge of international trade by a specialized law •practice. He succeeded George N. Peek as president of the bank when the lat ter withdrew in an intra-mural New Deal row. The function of the bank \ is to lucubrate foreign trade deals with credit, after assurance of sound se curity. A friend of mine who returned from the Orient last week said China had vast road-building and construction projects under way and that it had undeveloped resources to pay for them. He was bitter about the sloth and in difference of the United States in let | ting Britain, particularly, fudge in i ahead of her in supplying machines and materials—not having heard of Mr. Pierson's secret mission, perhaps. fCopvright, 1937.) Board Names Secretary. ! LA PLATA, Md.. April 28 i>P) — Mrs. William Croft was appointed sec retary to the Charles County Board of County Commissioners. She fills tha vacancy left by the resignation of P. Wills Posey. Headquarters for Materials in Any Quantity Buy Lumber, Millwork, Paints, Hardware, Sand, Gravel, Cement, Etc., at J. Frank Kelly, Inc., and Save Money! Come to J. Frank Kelly for solution to your repair problems. We are not contractors, but can recommend thoroughly responsible men to handle any repairs you want. Phone us, come in or send for our representative to give you a free'estimate 'on the materials. Do it now, before prices go much higher. Make Your Own Screens Complete Stock of _ Materials Screen Moulding for mak ing your own screens. Lin. ft. __ x Bronze Screen Wire. IB Tr mesh. Sq. ft _ 4t Galvanized Screen 03/ Hire. Sq. ft. ° /4C Screen Doors, bronze wire. 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