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Outlook Is Promising For Farmer in 1940 By the Associated Pres*. NEW YORK, Dec. 21.—Improved prices of farm products and a gen eral Increase In industrial pay rolls are expected to help the fanners materially in 1940. Cash farm income in 1939 is esti mated at about $8,300,000,000, an increase of r.bout 4 per cent over 1938. However, if prices hold up in the new year, analysts estimate that farm income may rise as much as 10 per cent. British Admiralty Adopts Offensive as 'Deadwood' Goes Escape of Nazi Fleet Indicates Heavy Ships Of England Scattered By MAJ. GEORGE FIELDING ELIOT. They are throwing out the dead wood at the admiralty. They are finding a new spirit and a new tempo. It has happened before. It always seems to be necessary in Britain's admiralty when a war begins. In the last World War, it was dynamic ‘‘Jac.ky’’ Fisher in the post of first sea lord, backed up by the same energetic and imaginative cabinet minister who now heads the board of admiralty, Winston Churchill, who brought about the change. Today Mr. Churchill, after a three-month tenure of office, has as his right hand admiral of the fleet Sir Dudley Pound to fill Fish er's place, a different type in many ways than Fisher, but no less force ful and no less clear-sighted—not as likely to fly to extremes, in fact a most excellent complement to Mr. Churchill. Pound has scarcely been longer at the admiralty than Churchill. On neither is to be placed the blame for the rather sorry state of affairs which they inherited, and which they have barely had the time to begin cor recting. ueiensive roiicy Loosened. Not the least of their handicaps was the defensive policy forced upon them by the government, of which Mr. Churchill was but a single member. This shackle ap pears to be loosening its grip We find British submarines and British airplanes taking the offensive in the North Sea, and not without success as far as the submarines, at least, are concerned. One of them, the Salmon, reports having seen the major part of the Ger man fleet at sea—the two new bat tleships Scharnhorst and Gueise nau, a pocket battleship (presuma bly the Deutschland!, the heavy cruisers Hipper and Bluecher, a light cruiser and a destroyer flo tilla. This confirms our previous con jecture that Vice Admiral Marsehall, commanding the battleship squad ron. went out to cover the Deutsch land into port—and perhaps also the Bremen, which the Salmon also sighted but did not attack. She was not so careful of the warships. She reports having torpedoed at least one heavy cruiser, perhaps two cruisers, though she could not stay to see what results her torpedoes obtained. Naturally not, for the destroyers must have been upon her like hungry wolves. But the very fact that Marsehall was out indi cates how much the British armored ships must now be scattered in search fop German raiders, or on convoy protection duty. Canadian Division Escorted. One very important phase of this would be the escorting to Britain of the just-arrived Canadian di vision. It will be recalled that in the last war the battle cruiser Prin cess Royal was detached to cover the crossing of the first Canadian contingent at a time when Sturdee’s two battle cruisers were away in the South Atlantic chasing the squadron of Admiral Count Spee. Just at this time, also, the battleship King George V had to go into dockyard for the retubing of her condensers, and a collision between the battle ships Conqueror and Monarch put them both temporarily out of ac tion. This net withdrawal of six capital ships left Admiral Jellicoe with little if any numerical su periority over the Germans, a fact* which, he writes with relief in his memoirs, the Germans did not grasp in time to be of any use to them. Now that German •armored raid ers are known to be at sea, a single capital ship would not be enough for the escort. No chances of an attack on the Canadian troopships could be taken. Perhaps Marschall was out for this very purpose and found it impracticable. More likely he did not know of the Candian troop movement in time to deliver an attack. As we have previously suggested, it may be that the British dispersal may afford some opportunity to the Germans for attempting to avenge the loss of the Graf Spee. It may be that the activities of British submarines in the North Sea are for the very purpose of preventing such a German enterprise. Or it may be that they mark the open ing phase of a new series of offen sive operations intended to confine the German fleet to the vicinity of its coasts in order to cover the crossing of supplies and perhaps re inforcements to Scandinavian ports en route to Finland. rinnisn Angle Enters. The decisibn to support Finland “as far as possible” having been taken, the first prerequisite is an assured line of communications by which this may be done. The direct route by sea is, of course, through the Skagerrak, the Kattegat and the Baltic. But this route is com manded at one point by German coast artillery, at many by German submarines, light craft and air planes. One has to envisage the Germans standing quietly by and watch their enemies pour in sup plies to be used against their quasi ally. It does not seem likely. It is certainly not safe to count upon it, especially as German policy in the Russo-Finnish affair is as yet unclarified. The other route is via Norwegian ports, then rail into Fin land, or transshipment at a Swedish port on the Gulf of Bothnia, into which the Russian fleet has not yet penetrated. This seems to be safer and the more likely choice. But in the last war the British found that from Scapa Flow they could not always assure the safety of convoys proceeding to Bergen. They may now be starting a cam paign to tie up German naval activi ties in the Bight of Helgoland, which is the only way they can be reason ably sure of safe traffic farther north. It cannot be repeated too often that Britain cannot stand by and see the Norwegian coast line fall into hostile hands. If Finland falls, Sweden and Norway are gravely imperiled. We get back, of course, as always in discussing these north ern strategical problems, to Ger many's intentions—still obscure. Germans Experiment at Sea. Of course, the British have plenty of troubles of their own. The sink ings of merchant ships by mine and I torpedo are being supplemented by air attack directed not only against merchant shipping, but against the small craft carrying on mine sweep-, lng and patrol activities in the North See. These attacks appear so far to have had some measure of success. They are, of course, ex perimental. Indeed, the whole of the German activities in this area may be so described—experiments to de termine whether a grand, full-out attack on British sea communica tions would pay, airplanes bombing ships and patrol craft and attack ing ports and dockyards, submarines working at full strength on the ship ping lanes, surface, subsurface and aerial mine layers also going full blast. In such an attack Germany would throw on the table many of her best cards—her air force, or a great part of it; most of her reserve of gasoline, her submarines, backed and covered as they would have to be by the rest of her navy. There are hints coming from Germany that such an attack is planned for the spring wphen the new submarines will be ready, when the German air strength may be expected to reach its peak. What is happening now is but the preliminary feeling-out operations, the weighing of chances, the reduction of those chances to the mathematical equations so dear and so necessary to the German military mind. (Copyright. 1939, New York Tribune. Inc ) French Warned Hitler Of Communist Victory, 'Yellow Book'Reveals Told Trotsky Doctrines Alone Would Benefit by War By the Associated Press. PARIS, Dec. 21.—Publication of a French “Yellow Book” on origin of the w’ar disclosed today that the last French Ambassador to Berlin, Robert Coulondre, had told Reichs fuehrer Hitler he feared the only real victor of a new war would be “Trotsky Communism.’’ M. Coulondre’s fears were ex pressed to Hitler in an interview last August 25, when the Fuehrer gave him a personal message for Prime Minister Daladier expressing the hope that France would not go to war against Germany. The Ambassador, in a report which he wrote immediately after the in terview and which is published in the "Yellow Book," said he had giv en Hitler "my word as a soldier that I have not the slightest doubt that if Poland should be attacked, France would be with Its forces at the side of Poland.” Then M. Coulondre added: "Al though I think really that we would be victorious, I ilso have the fesr that at the end of a war there would be only one real victor—M. Trotsky.” It was significant that M. Coulon dre used the name of Leon Trotsky, leader of Communists working for world revolution, rather than that of Josef Stalin, whose form of com munism is considered by the French national rather than international. The "Yellow Book” consists of 350 diplomatic documents recording de velopments from the Munich con ference of September, 1938, to the start of the war. In form its fol lows closely a similar publication by the British government. Journalists Sentenced By Military Court By the Associated Press. PARIS, Dec. 21.—A military tri bunal today sentenced a writer, Henri Jeanson, and a newspaper director, Rene Freaudets, to five years in prison and fined them 1,000 francs ($22) each for “provoking military disobedience and insubordi nation.” The action resulted from an article by Jeanson in Freaudets* Anarchist newspaper, “Ofgane de la Solidarite Internationale Antl-Fasciste." F. A. Silcox Funeral To Be Held Tomorrow Private funeral services for F. A. Silcox, who died yesterday of a heart attack at his Alexandria, Va., home, will be held at 3 p.m. tomorrow in the Wheatley funeral home in Alex andria. Burial also will be private. Chief of the Forest Service of the Department of Agriculture since 1933, Mr. Silcox had been in ap parent good health since he under went treatment for coronary throm bosis last year. A native of Columbus, Ga., he was educated at Yale University where he received his forestry degree. In 1905 he entered the Forest Service and worked up to the post of the Nation’s chief forester. He would have been 57 years old Christmas I. - -! Day. He Is survived by his widow, Mrs. Marie Thatcher Silcox, who was with him at the time of his death. Rossheim to Retire From Exchange Firm By the Associated Press. PHILADELPHIA, Dec. 21.—Ir ving D. Rossheim announced he would retire January 1 from New burger, Loeb & Co., a brokerage firm in which he has been a general partner for 10 years. Before that t he was president of First National Pictures Corp. and the Stanley Co. of America. i For the Convenience of ! Last-Minute Shoppers We Will Be OPEN SUNDAY Dec. 24, 1 P.M, to 9 P.M. 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