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Balkan Talks Seen Affecting Effort of Allies for New Front Determined Yugoslav and Italian Stand May Bar Attack Upon Rumania By MAJ. GEORGE , FIELDING ELIOT. This is certainly too early for any predictions as to the outcome of the Balkan entente conference at Belgrade. The mere mention of the fact there are 200 assorted cor respondents of varying nationality and competence present (and 10 times that number of agents, spies, “observers" and whatnot) must give * pause to those who seek to glean grains of knowledge from advance reports, guesses and supposition. Even when the official com munique at the close of the confer ence has been made public, it will still remain likely that the really important decisions have been reached behind closed doors, and will be learned, if at all, only when their results become apparent. Yet therr are certain basic mili tary considerations which it may be well to examine now, which may aid in interpreting the news from Belgrade, and the subsequent course of events in the Balkans. First, it must recalled that as a true Balkan conference, the Bel grade meeting is incomplete. Neither Bulgaria nor Hungary are members of the entente. Both are "irre dentist” nations, both fostering ter ritorial claims against Rumania in particular. Both have been re armed by Germany. In Bulgaria, Russian influence is also very strong; Italian diplomacy has been active In both countries. Neither, however, has any really vital dispute with Yugoslavia. Two Key Nations. Hungary’s geographical position covers Rumania frpm a German approach, Bulgaria’s prevents allied Turklsh aid from coming overland to that country. The attitude of both is important; the attitude of either might be decisive in a future Balkan crisis. Neftt, the importance of Italy’s viewpoint must be taken into ac count. With the completion (prob ably this spring) of four additional battleships, the Italian Navy be comes a factor which, even more seriously than before, must weigh with all powers interested in Medit teranean affairs. Its presence squarely athwart the line of com munications between Great Britain and France and their Middle East forces and allies (Turkey and Egypt) may well prove disturbing, to say the least, considering that already the activities of German raiders have caused the withdrawal to the Atlantic of capital units of the British Mediterranean fleet. , Certainly this Italian Navy will lend great weight to Italy’s policy— and bargaining power. Italian policy may be considered as anti Russian, as definitely hostile to any extension of Russian influence into the Balkan area. But it is not ipso > facto anti-German; indeed, the re port that Germany, in return for economic favors, is prepared to guarantee Rumania against Russian attack may. if true, be partially due to Italian influence or a desire to placate Italian opinion. Italian in fluence is particularly strong in Yugoslavia, whose coast line is com manded by the Italian fleet and which has two land frontiers with Italy, though both are mountainous and difficult. It has been reported that Italy. Yugoslavia and Hungary have a common military "under standing." Yugoslavia has an army excellent In quality and human material, well trained and well commanded, though deficient in modem equipment. Its terrain is much more difficult than Poland's or thai^much of Rumania's. It would not be an easy or a safe country for Germany to attack. Yugoslavia Might Aid Allies. On the other hand it could not Itself attack Germany unless as sured of immediate help and sup port. Consulting only public senti ment, Yugoslavia would probably be ready to fight for the allies; but there are many other considerations to be taken into account. Certainly, of all the Balkan na tions, the most immediately dan gerous position is that of Rumania. If Rumania were to be invaded by Germany (through or with Hun gary or Russia or both) she might resist for a time, but could not hope to do so successfully for very long, unless helped from the outside. Turkish and allied help might reach Rumania either overland, through Bulgaria or by sea or by air. It is possible that sufficient pres sure might be put on Bulgaria by Turkey to induce the Bulgarians to Jet such aid go through, since it is hard to see how Germany could help Bulgaria immediately, and since the Bulgarian Army is in no pres ent condition to fight Turkey. As for Russian help to Bulgaria, that must come either through Rumania (a matter again of time and un certainty) or by sea, which would be impossible in face of the Turkish fleet with even modest allied re inforcement. The Russian Black Sea fleet is probably, all factors considered, in ferior to that of Turkey alone in fighting strength. It could neither assure the movement by sea of Russian reinforcements to Bulgaria, nor prevent the movement by sea of allied or Turkish aid to Ru mania. It takes time, however, to load troops on transports (presuming the latter to be available in sufficient numbers) and to move them across the water and disembark them at ports of such limited capacity as those of Rumania—especially under air attack. This time factor, in the problem under consideration, is of vital im portance. It may well be deter minative of Germany’s course. For it may be definitely assumed that Germany will not become involved in any military adventure in the Balkan; which she cannot be cer tain of bringing to a swift and vic torious conclusion with decidedly limited forces. It would be on* thing to quickly overrun Rumania with 20 or 30 divisions. It would b* another to become involved in a long, desperate struggle with a Turko - Rumanian combination backed by reinforcements from th« allies’ middle-eastern armies. Th* latter result might well prove such a drain on German strength as fatally to weaken her position in the west. Germany took great care—and some risk—to make sure of avoid ing such a lengthy involvement in Poland. She is hardly likely delib erately to invite, under more diftl cult conditions, a similar involve ment in Rumania. But it may b< well to note that just as Russia pro vided the “reinsurance” which mad* doubly certain the result of the Polish campaign, so Russia is in s position to do likewise in Rumania A joint German-Russian attack on that country would have every chance of establishing Itself firmly mmriTir i. along the Danube before Turkey and the allies could land any appreci able forces on Rumanian soil or overcome % Bulgarian resistance which might, if thus assured of early and powerful aid, put up a desperate fight. What neither na tion could perhaps safely attempt alone, both together would have a far better chance of accomplish ing. The one situation which might check such an attempt—might not only defeat it. but would be likely to overawe the Bulgarians—would be a determined stand on the part of Yugoslavia, backed by Italy, against it. In collaborating with Russia in an invasion of Rumania, Germany would have to run the risk of In viting active Italian hostility. Thus the Balkan situation remains con fused and uncertain, subject to the interplay of many forces and many interests, with the military factors largely dependent on political ad justments. Rumania’s position, in particular, is not a happy one, but then neither is Bulgaria’s. Of one thing we can be certain— both at Belgrade and at Rome, the allies and the Germans are striving desperately for advantage. The de cisions to be taken at Belgrade, and their results, may well determine whether the allies will succeed in opening up a new eastern front giving scope for offensive operations against Germany, as they undoubt edly desire to do. If they accom plish this, they have taken a long stride forward toward victory. (Coprrlsht. 1840. New York Tribune, Ine.) Girl Students Amiss On Economic Terms Mi the Associated Preu. ROCKFORD, 111.. Feb. 3.—Prof. Meno Lovenstein of the Rockford College faculty asked students to de fine a number of economic terms. Some of the girls came up with: Fixed capital — stationary city where the Governor lives. Cumulative stock—100,000 guinea pigs. Elasticity of demand — woman's prerogative. Latent competition—lying down on the Job. Mary Carolyn Davies, Poet, Found Sick and Destitute By the Associated Press. NEW YORK, Feb. 3—A dozer years ago Mary Carolyn Davies wrote poems that heaped gold upon her, and she drank the wine of pub lic praise. Today she was too 111 to write. Her purse was empty and she had no food. The poet-novelist was found sick and emaciated In a bleak little hall bedroom, packed with manuscripts and little else. Almost hysterical because her plight had become public knowledge, she said she still had poems In her heart but not quite the strength just now—to make them come out. "I thought I’d say nothing,” she said. "I wanted to keep going—to fight it out by myself. I've licked other things. I can beat this.” Doctors said the poet is suffering from anemia. Her neighbors say she has too little food. Illness of her mother several years ago followed by her own Illness gnawed her resources away and slowed her facile pen—she once turned out enough verse to keep six stenographers busy—until now she depends on home relief for $3.65 a week rent and $250 weekly for food and medicine. She said she would fight back, and those who thumbed through her poems today believed her, be cause, they found this: “I am alive and I am young, There is gladness on my tongue, And my lips are red.” First-Aid Corps to Meet The Emergency First-Aid Corps of the Arlington County Chapter, American Red Gross, will meet at 8 pm. Tuesday at 2606 South Lynn street, Arlington, Va. ADVERTISEMENT. Joint-Esse For RHEUMATIC PAIN When rheumatism-arthritis settles In your Joints and causes throbbing, pain or misery, Just remember that Joint Ease is one remedy that brings quick relief In accessible localities from Just such torture. Even in persistent cases. Just try rubbing on Joint-Ease for quick relief. Joint-Ease is a clean, penetrating preparation. Always remember tnat when Joint-Ease starts to work. Joint misery starts out — quick! Ask for Joint-Ease and take notning else. NOTE — For free sample writ* Joint-Ease, tt-C St, HaUoweU, Malm* IEttablithtJ 1898 OUIS ABRAHAMS OHS ON JEWELRY _ S2*a K. L At*. N.B. Jk Cash for Your Old Gold ■■_711 O gt N.W. ALL MAHOGANY Colonial Reproductions from which you may make up your own bed room suite ALL SPECIALLY REDUCED NOW There are more than fifty pieces in this Colonial Bedroom Group from which you may choose only the pieces you need to make up your own individual bedroom suite. Buy a single piece, if you like, or a roomful. Every piece is specially lowered in price for the February Sale. You will love these mahogany reproductions and enjoy making up your own room ensemble. Prices of pieces illustrated follow below. (a) HIGH BOY—34 inches* wide;74 inches tall; all mahogany; solid mahogany cabriole legs; sale price -$79.50 (b) NIGHT TABLE —two drawers,sol id mahogany pedestal base, glass drawer pulls; a charming piece; sale price-$26.75 (e) POWDER TABLE—36* inches wide; solid mahogany legs and in laid; mirror and lid drops down to make table top-$49.95 (d) SALEM CHEST—37 inches wide; four drawers; all mahogany; solid mahogany cabriole legs; sale price-$57.25 (•) DRESSER COMPLETE—all mahogany with mirror; (base only $49.50), (mirror only $26.75); complete-$76.25 (f) POSTER BED—all mahogany; a lovely bed with quaint Colonial turnings; sale price-$42.75 (g) DRESSER AND MIRROR—serpentine front; all mahogany; ball and claw legs (base only $62.50) (mirror $22.25); complete, $84.75 (h) HIGH BOY—all mahogany; 59 Vi inches tall; 35 inches wide overall; sale price- _$69.75 (i) VANITY COMPLETE—full vanity dresser of all mahogany; 48 inches wide; with mirror; sale price-$79.75 (j) CHEST-ON-CHEST—34 inches wide; 573A inches tall; a spacious | piece; all mahogany; sale price -$79.50 (k) DOUBLE BED—tall reeded solid mahogany posts; a charmingly designed bed; sale price-$42.75 (l) NIGHT STAND—all mahogany; quaint spiral turned legs; one ^ drawer; sale price_$19.25 * • A - . M. MAYER & CO.j Seventh Street Between D and E I A HOUSE OF LIFETIME FURNITURE I _