Evening star. [volume], May 27, 1946, Page B-10, Image 27

About Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972

Image provided by: Library of Congress, Washington, DC

                
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IUS STOP AT THE DOOR
Capital Will Have Hot Summer
Student of Weather Predicts
It will be a hot summer in Wash
ington.
J. B. Kincer, a former division
chief with the Weather Bureau, to
day offered the American Geophys
ical Union figures giving little rea
son to hope for less than the quota
of sweltering days endured here in
recent years.
In a paper entitled "Our Chang
ing Climate,” prepared for delivery
at the union's annual meeting today
in the George Washington Univer
sity School of Government Building,
Mr. Kincer brought up to date a
survey made under his supervision
in 1933. It showed that the world
had been experiencing increasingly
warm weather in both summer and
winter.
Mr. Kincer found the trend con
tinued up to 1940, at which time
hints of a possible reversal ap
peared. With the customary cau
tiousness of an appraiser of trends,
he said recent figures ‘‘suggest that
the upward trend has probably
reached its maximum with the pros
pect of a return to colder winters
and cooler summers in future years,
but it is too early as yet to predict
with confidence that such is the
case.”
"These temperature trends are of
long duration,” Mr. Kincer ex
plained, ‘‘and the transition pe
riods from one extreme to the other
cover a number of years. Additional
records will be required to deter
mine whether the more recent indi
cations are significant of a general
trend reversal or merely incidental.”
The "man in the street” here con
siders temperatures in the 90s hot,
Mr. Kincer decided. On that basis,
the Capital lias been experiencing
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an average of nearly twice as many
hot days in summer during the
last 20 years as in a similar period
about 40 years ago, he reported.
Now retired, Mr. Kincer is con
tinuing his interest in climatic
trends w'hich developed the survey
made while he headed the Weather
Bureau Division of Climate and
Crop Weather.
His current opinion is that this
summer in Washington will be as
hot as last, or, possibly, slightly
cooler—if it is not hotter.
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