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* • ■ .. .. ■* 0. • ' ^-'vsrr^-. - i*. * ^ - f Editorials—Features—Music _ . Books—Theaters—Radio £ . EIGHT PAGES . WASHINGTON, D. C„ APGUST 17, 1917 ! ' ' India’s Rule Facing Test New Governments Inherit Numerous Problems ' By Phillips Talbot KARACHI.—The India that the world has known for generations has passed into history. A patchwork quilt even under, British suzerainty of constitutional provinces and princely states, the teeming subcontinent now becomes an even more complicated political design. First, the bulk of the country— where the government of India rather than the maharajas exer cised direct authority—has been ripped apart to from two separate nations. « Each of these will have its own government, its own currency, its awn foreign representatives, and its owm trade policy. Instead of one am bassador, the United States will send two envoys to this land. The smaller'of the new countries, Pakistan, comes to life as a mainly Moslem nation. Awkardlv, it will be cut into two pieces separated by 1.000 miles of non-Pakistan terri tory. This is because Moslems are »most numerous only in the north western and far eastern parts of India. w:n But Pakistan will be the largest Islamic country in the world. The other newborn self-governing nation, three times as populous as Pakistan and correspondingly richer, will continue to call itself India. Its territory is the heartland of the country. Its borders will stretch from Bombay to Calcutta and from above Hew Delhi to the southern tip of the peninsula at Cape Com orin. . Although truncated and residual, the new India is claimed by its leaders, including M. K. Gandhi, Jawaharlal Nehru, and Vallabh bhai Patel, to be the true heir and successor to the India of the past. “Our motherland is torn apart, but sh£ will be reunited,” they say. Both of these new countries will, for at least a while, remain within the British commonwealth of na tions as dominions, like Australia or Canada. * At first they will need to retain the British link, because their own constitutions are not yet ready. Later they may, or may not, decide it is to their advantage to sta# in the Brirtish commonwealth. The Princely States Both Indians and British agreed.! however, that from August 15 In dians and Pakistanis were free to govern themselves "and do what they wish without any control from London. The second political complication added in the new order is the posi tion of the 500-odd autocratic princedoms that are splattered across the map of the whole sub continent. Some are large and rich, others small and weak. But a common feature is that Maharajas and Nawabs who reigned in those territories during the British period W'ere semi-autonomous rulers in the midst of the larger nation. Only a handful of. these royal domains lie within or alongside Pakistan. Kashmir thp famprl Himalayan resort country is the largest. Gov. Gen. M. A. Jinnah has said that Pakistan would make individual arrangements for future relations with these states. The vast number of principalities, however, are situated within and around the borders of the truncated Indian dominion. Where do they fit into the new pattern? A great many Indians think that the princely states are outmoded relics, of India's medieval age, and must disappear so that their people can join the rest of the country as a single whole. For the time being, however, agreement has been reached be tween the new government and a greet majority of the Maharajas for the states to “accede” to the new dominion. Bow to Central Rule In Pakistan, almost the only Initially important political party will be the Moslem League. This is the political organization that Jin nah built up from almost nothing to a force capable of demanding and eventually winning a separate coun try. Pakistan will be a largely agri cultural country. In the northwest, the Northwest Frontier Province and Baluchistan are mostly barren territories while in many parts of the Punjab and Sind the desert has blossomed, thanks to some of the biggest irrigation works in the world. But, aDart from Lahore and Kara chi, there are no large cities. Nor is there much industry. Eastern Pakistan covers the east ern part of Bengal Province and a slice of Assam. Here mo6t'of In dia’s jute supply—a world monopoly . still very important to the United "States—is gfown. 7 Jute may be a source of great wealth to Pakistan. But if the ' jute trade is to continue, there -must be close co-operation between the two dominions. <„ "Hie new. abbreviated India is _ fortunate in starting out with most ‘ of the old India's industries and i much of its economic strength. But . the infant dominion will have se ' vere problems ranging from food j shortage to dangerously growing , public corruption. Inflation has the t country in its grip, and both labor ~ era and peasants are disturbed and restless. As they seem ready to C strike against employers and land lords, they are now a fruitful field c for fomenting disruption. (Copyritbt. 1947, Chieito D»Ur S(wij 4 I The Steel Industry East i — ■ —-——-t__ I » By Robert N. Cool A big change in American steel economy is in prospect as a conse quence of the predicted depletion of the Lake Superior open-pit mines. Though experts say that such vast and accessible irop ore deposits as Minnesota’s fabulous Mesabi range will not be played out for from five to 30 years, and still may be an important factor even after that, the steelmakers of the East-Central States already are looking toward the St. Lawrence River region for the.ir next ore bonanza. Research, under way since 1946, indicates that undeveloped ore fields in Labrador may rival even the Mesabi., About 18,000 square miles of land in Labrador are marked for eventual mining. Like the Superior hemaftite. which has supplied more than three-quarters of United States needs for half a century, that found in Labrador seems to be of high quality, readily mined and plentiful. ♦ Adirondacks Are Re-examined As exploration continues, a railway is planned to connect the Quebec Labrador ore region with the St. Lawrence River. Another area where Midwestern steel companies are becoming active is New y^rk State’s Adirondack Mountain section. Here are still, found the overgrown pits and ruined structures of old-time mining operations. Much of the armament for the Revolution and the Civil War came from Adirondack furnaces. For several years steel companies have been quietly re-examining this region, believed to contain a reserve of 800, 000,000 long tons of high-grade ore. It could not compete with the open pit hemattite of the Mesabi, but it may come back into large-scale mining when the more accessible fine ore in the Lake Superior range has been exhausted. As long ago as 1938 one large Midwestern steel corporation announced that it had leased an old Adirondack mining property, and the next year World War II brought helicopter-riding prospectors into the mountains. Their airborne instruments showed thpt a lot pf iron remained in these hills- . * . . . .. .T---- ‘ V" -" ■ ’ The possibility of increasing import* of foreign iron ore, now running at only 3 per cent, has also been suggested by steelmen. Annually the United States uses more than 100,000,000 tons of iron ore. Ever since the beginning of the century most of this huge traffic has been carried in long freighters from Lake Superior to the "industrial Riviera” behind the southern shores of Lake Michigan and Lake Erie. The St. Lawrence Seaway project, now awaiting action by Congress, would open a channel for large ships from the river to the lakes—and this would reduce the cost of moving subside ore to the inland* steel .plants. Lake-carried ore would then converge from both East and West. Of World Importance ~ Recently C. M. White, president of the Republic Steel Corp., told the American Institute of Mining and Metallurgical Engineers: "The Northeastern ores, high in quality after concentration, can reach some parts, but not all, of the lake-based steel industry, in com petition with lake ores. The Southeastern ores do not have this possi bility. As long, therefore, as the steel industry continues to cluster about the lower Great Lakes, its ore supply should come by lake from the Lake Superior district (or by lake from Labrador, Newfoundland or else-1 whers, if that be possible), and to a lesser degree from the Northeastern district. This is the future of about 80 per cent of our present steel industry.” Some iron ore is found in most States. A steel industry is -based upon ore, coal and limestone. For years Birmingham, Ala., has been the leading rival to the flakes-based steel pattern, and lately the West has developed a new’ steel industry. Much of the world’s reconstruction hopes are pinned on American steel. With the high quality Lake Superior ore passing its peak, author ities say that an almost inexhaustible supply of inferior iron ore may keep that region on the map even after new se^ions have overtaken it in the steel picture. ■-j(Distributed by th« Am>cl»te4.'PrMjM Industrialized Axis Policy Makers Visualize Little Chance for International Economic and Political Stability Until Germany and Japan Produce and Stop Leaning on U. S. By Constantine Brow# So long as Germany and Japan, two highly industrialized nations with a total population of more than 150,000,000 persons, remain un productive and dependent on the United States for their minimum daily ration, there is little chance for world-wide economic and politi cal recovery. The situation is seen clearly by all American policymakers. But considerations of high politics have prevented their taking a definite stand on this all-important ques tion, which transgresses all the world plans of the administration. The Morgenthau plan, which was adopted by the American Govern ment at a time when resentment against Nazi crimes was running high, proved absolutely unworkable and devastatingly detrimental to world economy—particularly that of the United States. Shortsighted Plan Henry Morgenthau and those who inspired his plan to convert Ger many into a pastoral state paid little attention to what the post war picture would be like. They imagined, like the vast majority of the public and most members of the administration, that the end of the shooting war would see Big Three harmony continuing and projected into the future. The fact that Allied unity existed only in name and was preserved, even during the most difficult days of struggle, by a continuous yield vrti MIC pull Ul MIC UIIII^U OMHC3 and Britain was completely ig nored. Liberal political philosophers felt certain that the postwar policy of the United States necessarily would be one of "political isolation ism and economic interventionism.” Benjamin Cohen defined this cryptic statement in 1944 when he was counsel for James F. Byrnes in the Office of War Mobilization. At a private dinner in Washington he explained that politically Eu rope would adopt some form or another of neo-Marxism and thus would be far ahead of our political system. Regardless of what we might say or do, Europe—and for that matter the rest of the cold world—no longer would follow our political doctrines of antiquated liberalism and capitalism. But after the war there would be a long pe riod of dire poverty in all countries which had suffered destruction. We would be the only nation capable of helping the otHfers out and would be compelled to siphon nioney and materials into the poverty stricken world. This was the meaning of the expression, "eco nomic interventionism.” No one in the highest quarter of the Government conceived that there would be an early breakdown of "harmony” between the Big Three, although those who did not shut their eyes to facts could easily ' <r 1 - see that the U, 5- S. _R. was going to insist that she alone obtain the chief benefits of Allied victory. It was obvious to all those who had attended the Teheran. Yalta and Potsdam Conferences that Russia was going to " take everything she wanted and give little in return. U. S. Foots the Bill In spite of all these clear signs, which far-seeing politicians should have taken as a warning, the ad ministration adopted and applied the Morgenthau plan, which pro vided for the destruction of all German industry and the trans formation of the Reich into a purely agricultural state. The Morgenthau plan was put into effect with a vengeance. But it overlooked the fact that the main German agricultural areas—which were insufficient to feed the popula tion .even in peacetime—had been taken over by the Russians, who, immediately after the Nazi sur render, pulled down the iron shut ters between the eastern lmd west ern zones of the Reich. Whatever land is tilled in the eastern zone is tilled for the benefit of Russia and her statellites alone. The result of that Russian policy has been to force the Allies to feed the German population west of the Elbe River from their own stocks. America has footed the bill. Britain is too poor to do much for the Ger mans in her own occupation zone and France is not much better off. a r>_• 17__ nil ▼ uvuuui The various impartial investiga tions by former President Hoover, certain congressional committees and more recently by Gen. Lucius D. Clay, the American commander in Germany*made it clear that we must put Germany back on her feet industrially. This was necessary 1 not only to unburden American' tax 1 payers, wh<> will have to pay more than $1,000,000,000 oyer the next three'years for the support of their former enemies, but also to assist recovery in Europe. Germajf coal and German manu factured goods played an important role in world economy before the war, just as Japanese products did. The war created an economic vac uum which, apparently, cannot be filled. After World War I Brit ain, France, Italy and Japan temporarily took the place of the defeated Central Powers. After World War II Britain and France were so shattered that they were incapable of filling the vacuum produced by the collapse of our former enemies. Russia is both unwilling and un able to co-operate economically with the rest of the world. Her price for providing other countries with some of her Agricultural sur pluses, products of the rich Ukraine, is that they become her political satellites. Whatever Russia sends to Italy 4 and France is simply as a matter of propaganda and the goods are con signed to the local Communist parties to bolster party membership. The result of this is that America alone is called upon to expend her wealth to maintain Europe. We have spent, or are spending, more than $20,000,000,000 in foreign as sistance programs. a The new plan offered to Europe by Secretary of State Marshall in his June 5 address at Harvard Uni versity will call for an additional 25 or 30 billion dollars. The wealth of the United States is not unlimited. We spent $300,000,000,000 during the war and are reaching the bottom of the barrel. London, Paris Protested Under these circumstances, and as the result of comprehensive re ports from Gen. Clay, the War Department instructed its repre sentative in Germany to scrap the Morgenthau plan and begin partial re-industrialization of the Reich, taking care to prevent the recon struction of plants which might produce goods for war purposes. This brought an Immediate pro test,from both London and Paris. The British government, which is wedded to a neo-Marxist policy of nationalization of all industry, wanted to apply the same policy in Germany and consequently disliked the new instructions given Gen. Clay. The French protested because they fear an industrial Germany might once more become a threat to their national security. The French position is somewhat __i otiaeana UlWUiyr VMV1UJ1U1V TO ' —— —O — American, who believes that the United Nations is able to prevent aggression against weak countries. The realistic French, however, point out that the League of Nations— which was more efficient—from a practical point of view, than the present U. N. organization—did not prevent the Germans from starting another war. Moreover, the French whisper, won’t re-industrialization of the Reich play into the hands of the Russians if they can jockey the other power* ■ into leaving Ger many? Clay Fought Change Faced jvith a storm of protest from London and Paris the State Department attempted to change the orders given Gen. Clay. But Gen. Clay fought against the change. He informed the War De partment plainly that if the State Department instructions, which ran counter to those issued by his im mediate superiors, had to be obeyed he would resign from the service— which would have canceled his right to a pension—and would take the issue to the country through the press. Alarmed at the effect such action might have on public opinion 4n this country, Secretary of War Royall I rushed to Germany shortly after he was sworn in as successor to Robert Patterson, who had resigned in disgust. A compromise is likely to be the upshot of the whole situation. But whatever is done to alleviate the German situation, it is obvious to all American observers that all our plans for the economic reconstruc tion of Europe must remain mere palliatives jso long as the vacuum produced by the destruction of Ger (Sec BROWN, Page C-2.) ^ % 1 1 ’s Crop Outlook Below Average; China Expects a Be tter Yield This Year - t_• __ Change i n Weather Would Hurt Orient By Harold K. Milks NANKING.—The one bright spot in China’s otherwise dismal pic ture is this year’s crop prediction, which agricultural experts say should bring a better-than-averagc yield. Despite spotty conditions in some provinces and the usual localized famine areas in others, the general expectation is for a rice and grain harvest at least equal to or large: than last year’s average crop. Reports from Szechwan Province frequently called China's breadbas ket, say spring crops were ‘ excep tionally . excellent” and that there is every expectation of even bet ter production for the summer season. Unfavorable Factors Weather in the next several weeks will determine China’s 1947 farai production definitely, hut observers in this capital said that only pro tracted drought or excessive rain fall could pervent harvesting enough to feed the nation. Against these favorable, forecasts, However, are four unfavorable factors: 11. The heavy military requisitions of foods and collection of land taxes in kind (that is, in crops) have placed serious burdens on the farmers. Several provincial govern ments have urged the national ad ministration to "forgive" the land taxes In their regions this year 2. Transportation blockades pre vent easy and cheap movement of foods from surplus sections to con sumers, particularly in the case of Manchuria’s surplus soybean crop, oadly needed in hungry North China. 3. Many farm areas are unplanted or untended, particularly ip Shan tung Province, because farmers have fled or been driven off by military operations. Transportation Problem 4. The Communists have shrewdly planned and executed raids against government food-collection centers, either carrying off or destroying large stocks of grain, or in' some cases handing them out to local populations. A considerable volume of food manages to filter through military blockades, but costs are high, and sometimes cost alone prohibits traPftportatkHP Heavy melon and ftaflfr_brops in West China went to waste because, of the expense of moving them id the dense eastern population centers. Surveys by NanUng experts in dicated these harvest prospects by regions: , ' pf ^ Szechwan, better than average; Yellow River regions, grain crops good; Hopeh, spotty due to some local drought areas; Lower Yangtze Valley, at least average; Kwantun^ Province, rice heavily damaged by worst floods in many years; Hunan, Kwangsi and Kiangsl Provinces, spotty with numerous local famine areas due to drought; Anhwei Province, state of emergency de clared because of “local rice riots,” indicating probable food shortages. (DUtrlbuted by the AisocUted J>rea«> Electricity Crisis Due Nation’s Reserve Power Plants Are Expected to Be Pnt to Severe Test by Winter y By Robert E. Geiger America is heading into a new electrjc light and power crisis. The margin between demand for electricity and the capacity of the plants to produce it is about as narrow as it ever has been. But industry leaders say. that next winter, when the “squeeze” on' the reserve power plants will be the tightest, the flick of a switch still will bring an adequate flow of elec tricity into homes and plants. The industry is in the midst of its greatest expansion -program—a (5,000,000,000 job—to meet the un precedented demand for power. Charles E. Oakes, president of the Edison Electric Institute, says this program “will add more new gener ating capacity to local company plants than is presently Installed in all of the Government-owned power projects, including TVA, Boulder Dam and Bonneville." It may take five years. An in stitute survey showed that by next year the situation probably will improve slightly but that not until the spring of 1949 will the country be past the “tight squeeze. Consumption Peak in ’45 Here is the situation: At the height of its war effort in January, 1945, America touched a power consumption peak of 38, 352,000 kilowatts, about 10,000,000 above the prewar high. The power industry expected this peak to decline after the war. It did fall off ior a time but soon started up again. The peacetime high that was reached in the Christmas week of 1946 was more than one-eighth higher than any wartime record. It climbed to 43,194,000 kilowatts. The equipment available tb major utilities to meet this peak, had a total dependable capacity of 45,928, 000 kilowatts. That means they Were operating with a reserve of only 2,734,000 kilowatts. Normally the companies estimate they need a' 1 10 per cent reserve, around 4,435,000 kilowatts. The reserve is necessary so that fresh equipment is available in case drought reduces the output of hydroelectric power plants or if some of the equipment has to be shut down. The power companies have placed orders for generators with a capac ity of 11,000,000 kilowatts. They estimate this is necessary to keep pace with expansion for the next three years. Another ‘Squeeze’ Due But it takes three years to fill an order for a large generator. The annual capacity of generator-build ing plants is only sufficient to con struct equipment with a capacity of around 4,000,000 kilowatts. So the manufacturers' output hasn’t peen great enough to overtake new demands. Power experts believe the “squeeze” next winter will be even tighter than last Christmas weefc. Already they are looking ahead lor ways 10 meet me situauuu. For Instance Florida companies have requested the use of part of the wartime fleet -of tankers, now at anchor in Florida waters, to boost power output. Each of these'ships is equipped with generators suffi cient to supply a small town with electricity. Mr. Oakes says “all customers’ demands will be met in 1947 and the yearn following." What can the power commission do to help if the power supply be comes drastically low? The Federal Power Act provides that 'it can order power companies to interconnect their lines and if necessary form great “grids" or power networks. In the spring of 1941 the entire Southeast was interconnected. Re cently the commission has ordered interconnections hi the Northwest and the Gulf States. (XMitHbnue lw th* SmcltM Press.) n Food for All Is U. N. Goal Geneva Conference to Try to Keep World Larder Full By Sigrid Arne Forty-seven nations will convene August 25 at Geneva to do battle with the monster of want which helped to wreck the peace of the ’30s. They will strive to get world agreements to a system which they hope will prevent the periodic wild swings in food prices which have been both cause and symptom of world depressions. The plans are complicated. Econ omists think that if the Geneva ; meeting is successful, the system set up will be the most far-reaching organization the world has ever 'known. I' The conferees at Geneva will be delegates from the 47 nations which ;are members of the United Nations Pood and Agriculture Organization, j Here is the heart of the Geneva proposals: j 1. Each nation would build up its j own stockpile of basic food, buying : when world prices drop too low. The ! hope is that government buying at i such a time’ would bolster prices and prevent a flood of farm foreclosures such as hit the American Midwest in the ’30s, when wheat dropped to around 30 cents a bushel. Steering Committee 2. Each nation would sell from its stockpiles when prices began to sail through the ceiling, just as American corn has been doing at *2.17 a bushel. This is'not an untested government action. Twice in the ’30s the United State Government sold corn to bring down prices. 3. To tie together this world buy ing and selling, the FAO would set up a sort of steering committee to work almost continuously. It would keep an eye on crop reports, the food peeds of nations and the prices of such basic foods as wheat, com, rice, sugar and coffee. This steering committee would be called the “Food Council of the FAO.” The United States suggests that It include 18 nations, repre senting both those that sell food and those that buy it. This food council would have the power to warn nations both when surpluses were piling up (when prices mig^it crack badly) and to warn when it thinks prices are climbing too high (and governments could begin to sell their stockpiles to ease off prices). To meet such duties the FAQ. plans to set up world commodity committees, one each for the basic products. These committees would decide the top and bottom prices at which commodities should be (Sold. They would be responsible for giving the go-ahead to governments to either sell (when prices are too high) or to buy (when prices are too low). Economists Confident There is no proof that govern ments would comply with such a plan, since there never has been such a plan, and there could be the temptation for some nations to make a national profit as against a world good. But FAO economists are confident of the plan. They that world .AlU. ...» the “dog In the manger” and that few nations have the nerve to wear the label. 4. FAO also plans to agree on the time for the sale of surpluses so that no nation can “dump” large supplies of food on the world market and break the world price. 5. There is a companion plan, in which the United States is inter ested, to aid the famine-area na tions such as India and China. This plan would permit the periodically surplus nations such as the United States and Canada to sell surplus foods to famine areas at a price below the world price. From there on out, FAO thinking spreads in all directions. It over laps the four other agencies of the United Nations which were set up to drive toward the pledge of "Free dom From, Warit”: The Interna tional Bank, the International Fund, the International Labor Office and the International Trade Organiza tion which is now being set up in Geneva. New Pattern for Some FAO economists think food pro duction should never again be cut back Just to “up” the prices of farmers, as it was during the ’30s in the United States. Insetad they think the U. N. member nations must both raise more food and make it possible for the underfed nations to buy the increasing supplies. ±aey turns some nations, to gam freedom from want, will have to change their agriculture-industrial pattern. They point out nations where millions of paupers struggle along on handkerchief-size farms where it might be better if some farm hands were moved into town to work to local industries. This shift would take money to buy the needed industrial ma chinery. FAO hopes to be able to suggest where such investments could be made with a fair hope of return. They look to aid from the International Bank, various govern ments and private investors. This plan is not regarded as an overnight cure. The Geneva meet ing, if it succeeds in getting such international agreements, will be looking ahead to the^next 10 or 20 years. Also the plan assumes a political peace which must be ironed out in other XT. N. agencies. (Distributed by th* AMOdsUd Press.) - . ; t Russians Say Grain Prospect Is Excellent By Richard Tompkins LONDON. — Harvest time la Europe finds drought and the black market dogging the Impoverished continent's eternal quest tor food. Widespread drought has reduced tpe grain Harvests in virtually aft, countries except Russia. Bulging black markets, especially in Trance and Italy, are paradoxical to the hungry without money. Only Russia has produced enough food to feed the country and allow food for export. Other nations still look for outside help, particularly from the Upited States. Of Russia's prospective grain yields, the Moscow radio said: "The news Is extremely favorable. A yield of 45 bushels per acre, which exceeds the prewar yield of wheat in Denmark or the Netherlands, is reported by scores * of farms on thousands and thousands of acres." Dry Spell Hurts Britain As tl\e reaping crews move north* ward to harvest 'the bumper crap, the Moscow radio reports tha gathering of grain in full operation from the Black Sea and the Ukraine 4n 4Vie —i-. Ik. Tt fi T4 -»'''*• ** i/itv w • wi v< 4va Beyond the Urals, it says, “pros pects are exceedingly bright,” In Britain, where farmers toiled extra hours to overcome the effects of last winter’s blizzards and spring floods, there has been little rain to nourish the late and famished grain. Farmers’ reports to' the, Times sho%that wheat, barley, oats, potatoes and sugar beets are all well under the 10-year average yield. The National'Farmers’ Union of. Britain says “harvest prospects in most countries are below average.” The union said: “Lateness of the season, sodden or flooded ground and drought all had combined to retard production.” However, Minister ef Food John Strachey said last month "there is ho food crisis and there will be no food crisis between now and the next harvest. We have stocks and supplies of the major foodstuffs to see us through until the fruits of the 1947 Northern Hemisphere har vests are gathered.” Cereal Harvest Short In the Danube Valley breadbasket of Central Europe and in normally food-rich Poland and Denmark, drought and frost have taken a heavy toll. •;.|kulgaria's estimated million-ton cereal harvest is a half-million tons «h&t of estimated needs of her breid-eatipg people. Only imports of . cereals will make possible any raising of the present bread ration KJi aw gi auio uauj iuj, untuuo and 500 grama daily for peasants, a government source said. Poland s harvest is expected to be better' than last, but still insuf ficient, and the government already is looking to Russia for grain. It is estimated that 44 per cent of Po land’s wheat, 23 per cent of her rye and 15 per cent of other grain suf fered from last winter's weather. Denmark's rye and barley crop* are expected to be almost 20 per cent below last year’s, a loss of 700,000 tons. Denmark Introduced meat rationing August 1 for the first time since 1922, in an effort to increase food exports to Britain. Danes probably face a cut in bread rations this autumn, an agricultural council spokesman said. France Better Off Only Hungary has a really bumper crop, "much more” than last year's, say government officials. But 20 per cent will go for reparations and bread remains the principal ra tioned item, along with cooking fats. A ministry of supplies spokesman in Bucharest said Romania’s grain crop, if stringently rationed, might make the country self-sufficient in the coming year. The wheat harvest is estimated at 1,200,000 metric tons, 800,000 tons short of normal. France's food situation has shown some improvement, except for wheat which is reported "very bad" and has resulted in poor quality bread. Fruit and vegetables have become more abundant. The estimated wheat harvest in, France is 40,000,000 quintals, com pared to the 1938 normal of 70,000, 000 quintals. Milk production in July was 900,000 liters, compared with 1,?00,000 liters in July, 1938. Beef arriving at Paris slaughter houses is only half what it was in 1938. Coffee and fats are still scarce. But on the black market, tourists and Frenchmen with money can And anything they want—steak*, fruits, choice wines, vegetables and delicacies. An excellent meal can be bought for 500 francs (about $4) but that Is beyond the reach of poorly paid Frenchmen. Black Market Prices In Italy the black market again is Just a mirage to the poor. Food prices have soared week by week until spaghetti has reached the price of 420 lire a kilo on the black market, compared with about 129 lire Ave months ago. Germans will be lucky if their 1947 harvest turns out as well as last year's, according to estimates by American representatives of the four-power military government Food and Agriculture Committee in Berlin. This means that support of the civilian ration in the com bined Anglo-American zones, which contain about two-thirds of Ger many’s population, will continue te depend heavily on grain Imports from the United States. (Distributed br the Assoelsted Press.) 4