Evening star. [volume], April 20, 1948, Page B-10, Image 29

About Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972

Image provided by: Library of Congress, Washington, DC

                
B—10 •♦THE EVENING S T A R. Washington, D. C.
_ TUESDAY, APRIL 20, 1»4t._
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2-Mile High Winds Forecast
I Temperatures Month Ahead
By Thomas R. Henry
Science Editor of The Star.
Two-mile high winds are the
latest tools for extended weather
forecasts.
They make it possible to predict
average temperature levels with
considerable accuracy for a month
in advance. The forecasters could
tell, for example, whether next
month will have a normal May
temperature, determined by records
kept for many years, or whether it
will be much warmer, much colder,
a little wanner or a little colder.
This development was explained
by Weather Bureau scientists at
the annual meeting of the Ameri
can Meteorological Society in the
National Museum today.
The monthly forecasts so far have
been on an entirely experimental
basis, reported Philip F. Clapp of
the Weather Bureau staff, and have
not been reported to the public.
They have been correct in 96 per
cent of the cases, he said. Consider
ably better accuracy is obtained for
ffve-day forecasts to which the bu
reau is devoting its chief efforts.
The method does not pretend to
give the specific temperature for
any particular day. It promises to
prove of considerable value, how
ever, to merchants and others whose
trade will be affected by temper
atures for the coming month as a
whole.
The system, Mr. Clapp explained,
is based on the departures of the
2-mile-high winds from their nor
mai directions. An excess irom me
North can be expected to bring
colder weather and vice versa, al
though this relationship Js subject
o considerable calculation. These
wind trends, in turn, can be pre
dicted by study of trends over
many years, during which upper air
observations have been taken.
Test forecasts have been made for
25 stations distributed throughout
the United States.
The same kind of data is proving
valuable for the mpre complex pre
diction of rain, it was explained by
R. Robert Rapp of the Weather
Bureau staff. Good results have
been obtained In predicting rain for
36 hours in advance.
The wind circulation of the earth
tends to be a perpetual motion
phenomenon as great air masses
sweep southward at low levels from
the North Pole to the Equator and
back from the Equator to the poles
at high levels, according to reports
presented by Dr. Bernard Haurwitz
and Dr. Jerome Spare of New York
University.
Titanic forces are involved. Theo
retically there should be enormous
losses, owing to the friction of air
particles; yet there appears to be
no loss of energy. The explanation,
Dr. Haurwitz said, seems to be that
the converging of two air currents
causes one to ascend to cooler re
gions, whereby it loses some of its
latent heat. This makes up for
the frictional loss of energy.
Computations of the energy of the
moving air currents up to altitudes
of about 15 miles, Dr: Spar reported,
show that it is about five times
greater in winter than in summer
and regions of high energy in Jan
uary are found to be those in which
great storms are generated.
The meetings of the society will
continue for the next three days,
with about 50 reports to be pre
sented. There will be a dinner
dance at the Washington Airport
Thursday night.
'Adjusted' Traffic Tickets
Total 115 Here in Week
A total of 115 traffic tickets were
“adjusted" last week, the police
reported yesterday. This was nine
more than in the preceding week.
In 100 cases last week charges
were reduced to warning, and in
15 cases, charges were canceled.
The score by precincts:
No. 1—0 warnings; No. 3—0
Vm a federal worker.
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Every penny counts in these days of high food
costs. Every drop of used fat counts, too... in this
shortage of fats and oils that the government says
is so serious. See how much more fat you can salvage
by melting down meat trimmings, skimming gravies,
really scraping pans. Re-use it for cooking, of course,
but even after that, there’s always some left. Save
. all used fats. Then...
American Fat Salvage Committee, Inc;
warnings; No. 8—11 warnings, 3
cancellations; No. 4—4 warnings;
No. 5—5 warnings; No. 6—7 warn
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No. 13—5 warnings; Traffic Divi
sion—24 warnings, 6 cancelations.
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