Evening star. [volume], June 15, 1948, Page A-9, Image 9

About Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972

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Dewey and Taft Seen
Equally Strong With
G. 0. P. Delegates
Stassen Role May Prove
Most Influential and
Decisive in Nomination
By David Lawrence
Within the next 10 days the game
of political maneuvering that goes
on behind the scenes among the
delegates to a national convention
will disclose the difference between
actual claims that have substance
and wishful thinking by the friends
and supporters of the leading candi
dates for tfse Republican presi
dential nomination.
At this Writing, Gov. Dewey of
New York add Senator Taft of Ohio
have approximately equal strength
among the delegates for the first
ballot or two. The question of how
solid or substantial is the strength
of each of these two candidates can
not be told In advance by a can
vass of delegates. The customary
pledges of first and second choices
are so hedged with qualifications
that it may be said that, as of today,
there is no certainty about the out
come at all.
The danger to the Taft forces
is that inside their ranks are sev
eral influential men who really
would like to nominate Senator
Bricker. The utmost loyalty to
Senator Taft is professed but never
theless there are indications of a
desire to try out Senator Bricker
if Senator Taft fails.
Want Strength Intact.
It Is natural for these conserva
tives to want to hold the Taft
strength Intact if the senior Ohio
Senator cannot make the grade in
the first few ballots. Logic, how
ever, would seem to bear out the
assertion that if Taft can’t win the
nomination, then certainly some
one more conservative than he—
namely, the Junior Senator from
Ohio, John Bricker—might have an
even more difficult time corralling
a majority.
Once the Taft strength starts
to disintegrate—assuming that the
Bricker enthusiasts begin to pull it
apart—there are chances that some
of the Taft group will want to go
to Gov. Dewey rather than to a
"nationalist.” Even though the
number may be small, it could re
sult in a substantial increase for
Gov. Dewey and start the “band
wagon” going for the New York
candidate.
Only if, after several ballots, the
Taft-Bricker strength doesn't go
over to the Dewey side and the
Stassen delegates remain firm
against Gov. Dewey will it be neces
sary for the convention to try a
compromise, with Senator Van
denberg of Michigan as the most
likely beneficiary.
As of today, Gov. Dewey has
strength which be didn’t have a
month ago. Victory in the Oregon
primary boosted his stock. But
whether he has enough to win sup
port from other delegations now on
the fence remains to be seen.
The two points of hesitancy about
Gov. Dewey are these: First, he has
given an impression of opportunism
which makes many conservatives
fear his administration might be
come a Republican edition of the
New Deal and, second, he is not as
strong on the international side as
either Senator Vandenberg or Mr.
Stassen. •
Chances Now Equal.
The second of these two points
might help Gov. Dewey, as against
Senator Vandenberg, with the "Iso
lationists” or "Nationalists” of the
kind who are behind the Bricker
candidacy. In a swing toward Gov.
Dewey by the delegates who think
he would be likely to approve less
money for European aid than Sena
tor Vandenberg or Mr. Stassen,
there is a chance that enough votes
might be obtained by the New York
governor to wta the nomination. At
the moment, his chances of winning
the nomination are at least equal
to those of anybody else.
There is much talk of Speaker
Martin as a "dark horse.” This is
based on the theory that, if neither
Senators Taft nor Bricker can make
the grade, the convention could be
stampeded for the Speaker of the
House.
Many of the “Old Line” regulars
In the Republican Party are living
in the past if they think the 1948
convention will nominate either an
‘Tsolatlonist’’ or a “Nationalist” or
an ultraconservative candidate. The
convention delegates will lean more
toward the "Internationalist” than
the “Nationalist” side. The primar
ies have indicated such, a trend. The
Stassen vote reflects a considerable
internationalism in the party. So
does the strength of the Vandenberg
group.
The former Minnesota governor,
could exercise a veto over Senators
Taft or Bricker or Speaker Martin
by holding his delegates together
until a nominee is chosen who is
satisfactory on international issues.
A Vandenberg-Stassen ticket might
be hard for the “Nationalists” to
accept, but it may be a natural re
action from maneuvers to nominate
a "Nationalist.” The Stassen role
may prove most Influential and de
cisive.
(Reproduction Rights Reserved.)
This Changing World
U. N. Runs Up Modest Score in Moves
To Find Formula for Lasting Peace
By Constantine Brown
The United Nations has been
somewhat less than a success
when It comes to forcing disputants
to lay down their arms and main
tain peace In the . I
world, but it is
running up a
modest score on
the side of med
iation and per
suasion of war
ring factions to
cease flre and
to attempt, in
the atmosphere
of quiet, to find
the formula for
lasting peace.
Count Folke
Bernadotte, the
United Nations
mediator sent to
Constantine Brown.
Palestine, has accomplished the
cease-fire purpose for which he was
sent there, and whether the four
week truce is followed by a lasting
peace arrangement or not, he will
be credited with at least a respite
in the fighting which was taking
almost as large a toll of lives as a
full-scale war.
What particular qualities he has
that other statesmen at Lake
Success lack—qualities which en
able him to succeed where they
failed—is an interesting field for
speculation. First of all, of course,
is his complete attitude of neutral
ity and the feeling of confidence
which he engendered in both Jews
and Arabs.
Background Important.
Perhaps most important in his
background, although the least
likely to be noticed and appreciated,
is the fact that he comes from one
of the small nations whose function
in the world has been to foster
and perfect worldwide recognition
and acceptance of international law
and justice. The small nations rely
on law and justice as their only
support, for they cannot hope to
match forces with the great pow
ers of the world.
Mediation, when attempted by one
of the great powers, has not always;
been too successful, for a great
power Is presumed to have an In
terest—exactly because of Its power
and greatness—In the settlement of
a dispute one way or the other. In
this respect the United States, being
one of the major bloc leaders in the
world, has by that very fact l06t its
standing as a mediator in many
situations.
The small nations make up the
great body of membership in the
United Nations, although the great
powers dominate the organization.
Since the large nations are split
among themselves and the control
of U. N. activities comes either from
the American bloc, with its superior
voting power, or the Soviet bloc,
with its vetoes, the question now
comes up whether U. N. success in
its mission of keeping the peace
will not necessarily rest on such
things as mediation and concilia
tion.
Not the First Instance.
The Palestine truce is not the first
instance where the U. N. has been
successful in that field. A United
Nations’ good offices commission
some time back achieved a cease
fire in the Indies, and neither the
Dutch nor the Indonesians have
resumed fighting, although their
dispute goes on, in and out of the
U. N. Another U. N. good offices
commission is at work in the Kash
mir dispute between India and
Pakistan. ;
It is pretty clear by now that
U. N. dictates to warring forces are
not going to be respected, until
such time as the U. N. leadership—
that is the big powers—either get
together among themselves to pro
vide a unified direction for the
U. N. or one bloc succeeds in de
priving the other of its voting ad-!
vantage. It will be possible then1
to create a U. N. armed force.
Perhaps the governments were
setting their sights too high—and
the peoples of the world erred in
following that lead—when they ex
pected the United Nations to be
come a peace-enforcing agency im
mediately. At some future time it
may achieve that goal: but for the
present its most effective role ap
pears to be as a peace-persuading
agency.
Special Session Rumors
Congress Leaders Would Rather Bear
Ills Than Be Called Back in August
By Doris Fleesott
Republicans and Democrats alike
were gladly planning to adjourn
Congress Saturday night when rum
ors swept the Capitol that President
Doris F1e«son.
Truman would
! call them back
into special
session in
August II they
did it.
Even so, lead
ers said privately
they would
rather bear the
ills they have
I than f >y to
| others that they
know not of but
all too easily
can imagine.
“Well have a
few needlers
with their own railroad tickets safely
tucked in their pockets but we’ll go,”
one said confidently. “And every
body here will be tickled pink.”
None could pin down the Truman
report. Democrats said they had
heard it but lacked confirmation.
Some said they would support it;
others recoiled from the prospect of
the new Truman rampant on Capi
tol Hill.
Agree Record Not Good.
The fact is that members of Con
gress, whatever they say publicly,
all agree that they have not made a
good record on which to go before
the country. Many are frankly
ashamed of it. Even defiant right
wingers are conscious that it is fee
ble campaign material even though
it will help fill their campaign chests.
“Roosevelt would murder us in the
west on it,” one candid western Re
publican said. “And I’m not sure
Mr. Truman isn’t doing too badly.”
But present sentiment favors cut
ting their losses, nominating their
candidates and hoping for the best.
Republicans say they can’t Improve
things without fresh battling which
might serve \o emphasize their pres
ent record which is one of facing
back to rugged individualism and
isolationism. 'Their greatest weak
ness is that they have found time
for a labor bill, legislation pleasing
to private utilities but anti-TVA and
reclamation, the Bullwinkle railroad
rate raising bill which the President
has just vetoed, etc., while public in
terest measures—housing, aid to edu
cation, minimum wage, social se
curity, anti-inflation—have gone by
the board. They have got their ex
cuses but in legislation, the final
rollcall is the pay-off.
Democrats of course will echo Mr.
Truman’s rebel yells about all this
but they welcome the adjournment
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too. They can enjoy both Republi
can derelictions and the lack of op
portunity for new North-South
struggles within their own ranks.
The Republicans have failed utterly
in their once-eager plans to exploit
the civil rights issue both for the
voles in it and the discomfiture of
the Democrats.
Calmer Mood in South.
It is a failure which will plague
them in their keynote and platform.
It sends the South to the Democratic
convention in a far calmer mood
than once appeared possible.
Senator Taft’s Presidential ambi
tions are in substantial part respon
sible for omissions of the Republi
can record. With his usual honesty
he kept complaining in his Ohio pri
mary campaign that he ought really
to be in Washington, he was holding
up the work of the Senate. He
blamed Harold Stassen and he was
sincerely aggrieved; he thought Mr.
Stassen should have thought of that.
Senator Taft is not a delegator of
authority, he hasn’t the executive
temperament. Perhaps that is in
herent in Congressional leadership,
perhaps one leads or doesn’t lead.
But his many absences from Wash
ington clogged the wheels. Hence
the House’s greater efficiency—and
influence on the record. „
President Truman was asked be
fore his departure whether he would
call back Congress if it failed to act
on legislation he thought essential.
He replied he would cross that
bridge when he came to it.
*
LOUIE —By Harry Hanan
On the Other Hand
President Improves Political Show
By Producing a Villain
By Lowell Mellett
This time next week the Re
publicans will be engaged in the
business of nominating their can
didates for president. The man
Lowell Mellett.
nominated very
likely will be
the next presi
dent. This is a
matter of tre
mendous im
portance to the
American
people, but the
American
people are not
lying awake at
night worrying
about it. Nobody
appears to be
greatly excited
except the can
didates for the
nomination ana tneir closest
friends. '
Prodigious efforts have been made
by the candidates to change this
national state of mind. They have
worn out an immense amount of
shoe leather, talked themselves blue
in the face and spent their own
and their friends’ money without
stint. No State delegation has
been too smaH for their personal
attention. Wherever one has gone
the others have followed. The spec
tacle of Messrs. Taft, Dewey and
Stassen chasing one another up and
down the cornfields of Nebraska is
one not to be forgotten.
Average Voter Unbothered.
But the candidates—the three
active ones named—have not suc
ceeded in communicating much of
their passion to the plain people.
The urge to crusade, to get out and
die in the last ditch, has not been
aroused in very many breasts. For
a time it seemed that Mr. Stassen
was about to accomplish this, but as
his campaign fell into a studied
pattern its emotional content be
gan to evaporate and Minnesota’s
young Lochinvar took on the look
of just another person who wants
terribly to be president. If the
voters had been scanning the skies,
waiting for his big plane to arrive
and save them from Gov. Dewey
and Senator Taft, they ceased doing
so.
The average Republican voter is
not hot and bothered. He’d be
satisfied with any one of the three,
but, having become slightly bored
with their performance, he might
be even better satisfied with some
body new. Say Senator Vanden
berg or Gov. Warren or even Joe
Martin. Say it twice in the case
of Senator Vandenberg. The
simple citizen is really coming to
like the elegant Michigander;
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partly, perhaps, because Senator
Vandenberg seems to be no more
excited than he, the voter, is.
That’s how it is now, in advance
of the conventions. Come the sum
mer campaign things may be differ
ent. An inkling of excitement to
come has been given by President
Truman’s one-man battle for renom
ination. The President has furnish
ed what & needed to make matters
interesting. He has produced a vil
lain: Congress. Congress doesn’t
make the ideal villain, to be sure,
being too big and clumsy and shape
less. But it is better than none and
the show has improved since the
President put on his boots and spurs
and chased Congress into the ring.
Some people have been disposed
to say this wasn’t a nice thing for
the President to do. Not dignified.
But it may be getting results. The
angry screams from Congressional
leaders reveal that they are sensi
tive concerning the record being
made, even if they are unwilling to
stay on the job and improve the
record.
Truman May Succeed.
It may well be that the President,
if he sticks to his present line, will
change the whole character of the
campaign. He may succeed In put
ting the Republicans on the defen
sive. Whereas they have expected
to win easily because of Mr. Tru
man’s weakness, they may spend the
summer trying to justify a Congress
in which they really take no pride.
Any doubt that the President has
hit them where it hurts is removed
by the behavior of Senator Taft,
party leader in Congress, whose own
personal legislative record is better
than that of his nonco-operative fol
lowers. He now talks of picking up
his playthings and going home, just
to show the President.
If it should seem to the Philadel
phia convention that the President
will succeed in making Congress the
issue, Senator Taft’s chances will go
glimmering and Speaker Martin’s
will not rise above their present low
level. That would have its ironical
side, for they are the two men the
President is sure he can beat.
McLemore—
Admires the Way
Truman Is Pitching
By Henry McLemore
I have never seen rats leaving a
sinking ship, because aone of the
ships which sunk while I was aboard
carried rats.
i nave seen
squirrels leave,
and chipmunks
and bears, but
never rats.
But all things
come to him who
waits, as the old
saying goes, and
now I am see
ing, from land,
rats leaving what
they think is a
sinking ship. It
isn’t very nice to
watch. It’s like
watching soldiers
run, or children
Henry MeLeaore.
testifying against their parents in
court. In short, it isn't very solid.
Politically, President Truman is
supposed to be a sinking ship. Even
that Lloyds of London of Princeton,
N. J„ one Dr. Gallup, rates him as
a ship almost certain never to reach
home port.
Everybody Tosses Ship.
Everybody is tossing the good ship
Truman with gales. On every side
one hears that no matter who the
Republicans run, even if it be Mickey
Rooney or John Juke, jr., he will win.
He has been asked to step down in
favor of some other Democrat, and
his every action has been assailed.
Watch ’em flee.
Watch ’em leave.
I mean the Democratic political
leaders who. while Mr. Truman w^s
riding high, said, "Captain, count
on us. We’ll stick with you forever,
through thick and thin.”
Governors are running like deer.
State chairmen are deserting like a
roomful of Grover Bergdolls. Many
are using starting blocks, so anxious
are they to quit what they consider
a lost cause.
It wasn’t long ago, when Mi’. Tru
man’s popularity was away up
there, that these same fugitives
from the donkey standard would
have considered it a privilege to
share the presidency with the Pres
ident. Given a chance, they would
have sent Miss Margaret TrUman
bon-bons, orchids and invitations
to sing in the biggest halls in their
towns. They would have sent Miss
Bess a new calender, a pressure
cooker, and a batch of bridge score
cards. And as for *the President
well, th(y would have fawned
around until they risked getting
shot out of season.
Going Down Swinging.
My candidate is the Vegetarian
from the Middle West, so I can’t be
accused of campaigning for either
the Democrats or the Republicans,
but I must take off my hat to Mr.
Truman.
He is acting like a champion. He
is going down swinging. He is play
ing out his string, no matter the
result, and that is a lot more than
you can say for his alleged friends
They’re rolling over like Rover.
The President is making the full
pitch, which is the way game
Americans play.
I doubt if he thinks he can win.
But he isn’t quitting. The man
may have many weaknesses, but
his trip across the country with
more hostile faces than friendly
ones in the crowds which greet
him, is proof that he is a man-r
a stand-up fellow who believes that
the only way to lose Is to be counted
out.
I like that sort of thing. And so
do most Americans.
It would be a shame, wouldn’t it,
to have a man as president whe
didn’t have the heart to walk in,
even when he knew that walking in
was going to hurt?
(Dutrlbutcd by McNausht Syndicate Inc.)
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