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Newspaper Page Text
THE PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN A GRAND PUZZLE
By Gilson Gardner.
Washington, Aug. 31. Either
Hiram Johnson or Thomas R.
Mirshall may be the next presi
dent of the United States, This
is not- an impossible outcome of
the present campaign. A good
many outcomes are possible. In
deed there never was a time when
the field of political peculation
was so-fascinating ' "
Here are a few of the theoretica
' (1) Woodrow Wilson may
sweep the country by an over
(2) Theodore Roosevelt may
sweep the countryMyan over
(3) A division of the progres
sives of the country between
Roosevelt and Wilson might
leave a-winning majority to Taft.
(Extremely unlikely) ;
(4) No candidate may get a
majority of the votes in the elec
toral college, and the House of
Representatives will, undyer the
Constitution, have to choose a
president, while the Senate
chooses a vice president.
(5) The House of Represent
atives may be deadlocked and be
unable to choose a president.
(6) The Senate may be com
pelled to choose between two can
didates for vice president having
the highest votes and the candi
date so chosen may thus serve as
It is not at all unlikely that the
three-sided contest will throw the
decision into the House of Repre
sentatives. It is already pretty
generally conceded that the race,
is to be between Roosevelt and
Wilson. In all test polls taken5
Taft is shown as a very poor
third. Roosevelt is obviously
Strong in the west. Wilson may!
be stronger in the east than'
If Roosevelt carries practically ,
all the states west of the Missis-
sippi and breaks even with Wil-J
son on the doubtful states of the
Middle West, leaving Wilson the
solid South, with Taft gathering!
in some of the old-line Republi
can states, like Vermont, Rhode
Island, New Hampshire, Dela
ware, Utah, and possibly New
York, no candidate would have a ,
majority in the electoral college. ',
The total number of votes in
the electoral college this year will
be 531. A majority will be 266.
If Taft carries the above named
states he will have 65 votes in
the electoral college. Substract
these 65 from the total of 531 and
there are left 466 votes to be di
vided between Wilson and Roose
velt. Half of 466 is 233. Thus,,
if they should evertly,divide those
votes, neither Roosevelt nor
Wilson would have the necessary
majority, 266. Thus the election
of a president would be thrown
into the House of Representa
tives. On the basis of party affilia
tions as recorded in the official
congressional directory the
House of Representatives today
stands absolutely deadlocked.
The Constitution provides that in
Voting for president they must