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i'l $1 'I/' i'JS I at S •:•$& I I i- -,uv- l: 11 •fe- NO WAY TO BEAT BRYAN. What Electoral College Figures Show. FIFTEEN STATES CERTAIN. Populists Cannot Fail to Add Four i*lore. A FAIR FIGHT FOR THE REST. Changes In Political Sentiment That Insure Democratic Success—Accur ate Computations Based on Assured Data—Greater Fart of Doubtful States Lean Toward Silver—Bryan Could Win Without New York, Illinois and Indiana. [From the New York Journal.] It has been said that the politi cal figurers may well give up their calculations this year, as the elec tion is one in which the issues are novel, party lines broken and new deals mad* in the game of politics. While this is in a measure true the conclusion reached is incor rect. Except in a few states the democracy is as powerful as ever, and in some parts of the country, where it has formerly for years had barely a standing, its strength has greatly increased. The marked •nthusiasm of the large majority of the democratic national conven tion means something. It indi cates a democratic revival in the west and south. The populist power is shown by the elections of 1892 and 1894. Its union on the democratic candidate is just so much solid gain. If the bolting democrats should put a third can didate into the field, its only effect would be to draw to the ballot box the few democrats who, dissatisfied with the action at Chicago, but not prepared to swallow protection, plutocracy and paternalism in McKinley, might otherwise remain away from the polls. If no third candidate should be in the field, some disaffected dem ocrats might vote for McKinley, but quite as many would vote with their party rather than lose their votes. Hence there is good ground now for an intelligent judgment on the outlook, based on former votes and the ascertained strength of parties. The questions that present them selves in considering the chances of success are: 1. Have the populists lost or gained strength since the election of 1892? 2. Will the populist support of the democratic candidate for pres ident, William J. Bryan, be gen eral? 3. Will the defection from the democratic party, caused by the action of the Chicago convention, be great enough to offset the in crease of strength gained from the populist vote 1. Are the populists growing? The total popular vote in 1892 was as follows: Democratic 5,556,918 Republican 5,176,108 Populist 1,041,OJ8 The democratic and populist vote combined was 6,597,946, or 1,421,838 in excess of the repub lican vote. The total populist vote in 1894 was 1,363,452, or 322,425 larger than in 1892. In view of the large populist vote, it is significant that the dem ocratic vote in 1892 showed an in crease of 18,685 over the vote of 1888, while the republican vote decreased 264,108 from the vote at the election of four years previous. In the states which will be the battle ground of the election the increase or decrease of the popu list vote of 1894, as compared with 1892, is as follows: In- De- In 1892. In 1804. crease, crease. California 25,862 51,301 £i.0r2 Colorado 53,5fU H'l, 111 28, J27 Idaho 10,520 7,121 »,30,i Illinois «,207 59,793 37,58+5 Indiana 22,208 att.338 7,180 Iowa 2",595 32,118 11,528 Kansas (1895) 103.111 118.329 4-1,782 Michigan 19,8!«S 30,012 10.120 Minnesota 2» 313 87,031 58,018 Montana 7.334 lji.ii40 'i-joe Nebraska 83,134 97.815 14,«81 Nevada 7.2f'4 5,523 1,741 North Dakota— 17,700 9,354 8,346 01110(1895 14,850 5-2,675 37,825 ...... Oregon 26-965 26.088 932 South Dakota— 26.544 ~*S,5B8 24 Washington 19,165 25,140 5,975 West Virginia.... 4,16« Fusion Wisconsin 0.90D 25 601 15,(W5 ...... Wyoming ".722 2,176 5,54# These figures do not correctly show in all cases the actual popu listic increase or decrease. In Colorado, for instance, the populist vote of 1892 shows the fusion dem ocratic and populist vote. In 1894 (the congressional election) the democrats had no candidate and divided their votes between the republicans and populists. In Idaho the democratic and populist votes were bunched together in ife-nnvife-jfA:' -.toff 1 1892 and separated in 1894. The Kansas vote of 1892 shows the combined democratic and populist vote, while in 1895 tkey were di vided. In Nebraska in 1892 there was a bitter fight among the democrats over the question of fusion on the populist electoral ticket, the local democratic leaders fearing they might lose their power in their or ganization if fusion prevailed. The combination was defeated, but the democratic vote, which had been 80,552 in 1888 and 71,381 in 1890, dwindled down to 24,943. In 1894, on a union with the populists on governor, it was 97,815, and 6,985 votes were cast for a silver demo cratic candidate. The democratic populist governor carried the state. In North Dakota the democratic and populist votes were counted together as populists in 1892 and separately in 1894. In Nevada in 1894 the vote of 5,523 was cast for Governor Jones, the silver candidate. Seven hun dred and eleven votes were cast for a populist. In arriving at the total populist vote of 1,363,452, in 1894, some democratic votes are therefore in cluded in cases where democrats supported populist candidates. But this is offset by the fact that in North Carolina, where the repub licans fused with the populists in electing a chief justice of the su preme court, and in other states where the republicans combined with the populists in electing judges and congressmen the votes were counted as republican and no enumeration was made of the pop ulist vote. JHence the total of 1,363,452 is as nearly accurate as possible. The extent and enthusiasm of the last St. Louis convention, as well as the proof given by these figures, show that the populist strength has not diminished since its large vote of 1892. 2. Will the populist support of Bryan be general? It is as ridiculous to suppose that the populists will not support Bryan as it was to imagine that the Chicago democratic convention would not avail itself of its ample majority to make good its two thirds vote, to lay down a platform in accordance with its own views and to select its own standard bearer, or as it was to predict that the St. Louis populist convention would throw away its chances of success and nominate a candidate who could not be elected in pref erence to a candidate with a good prospect of success. From the first the populist con vention was in favor of Bryan's nomination, but its members de sired to act in a manner that would preserve their own organization intact and not merge it in the dem ocratic organization. The Texans were more earnest than others on this point, because of their great strength in their state and the much larger strength of the dem ocracy. But with them, as with all, the talk of a middle of the road candidate for the presidency was as nonsensical as the talk of a "side ditch" bolt from the action of the convention is now. The nomination of an independ ent populist candidate for vice president accomplishes all the so called middle of the road delegates wanted. It preserves the identity of the party, and instead of injuri ously affecting the president's vote will serve to increase it. The last vote in Texas for gov ernor was, in round numbers: Dem ocratic, 242,000 populist, 160,000, republican, 55,000. A populist bolt in Texas would mean the cut ting down of the populist vote 30 per cent and the consequent in crease of the democratic vote. With the democratic vote in the west strengthened and increased by free silver a straight populist nominee for president would only lose the populists in the four states they carried with democratic help in 1892—Colorado, Idaho, Kansas and Nevada. 3. Will the defection of the gold democrats defeat Bryan? In considering the amount of danger to the Chicago ticket from the disaffection of the gold demo crats, it is important to remember that such disaffection is serious in only a limited number of states and is scarcely of any account whatever in the west. Of the New En^lajid and middle states Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts and Penn sylvania elected the republican electoral ticket in 1892 and may be conceded to the republicans now. Any gold democracy movement in those states is immaterial. If half the democrats should repudiate the Chicago candidates, they could only swell the republican majori ties. Connecticut, New York and New Jersey are, on the other hand, very important democratic states. With Delaware, Maryland and West Virginia, their electoral votes were cast for Cleveland in 1892. •'t W W W IIIBIIIIIIW''innlWwiM^wI,'l'i 'i"*"1 """i«",""H" 'i)" nm 1 It is claimed that the gold dem ocrats will turn over Connecticut, New Jersey and New York to the McKinley republicans in this election. In the section most affected by the silver and populist movements through the mining and agricul tural interests, five states ran no democratic electoral tickets in 1892 —Colorado, Idaho, Kansas, North Dakota and Wyoming. In Nevada, although a democratic electoral ticket was in the field, the demo crats generally voted with the pop ulists. Colorado, Idaho, Kansas and Nevada were in consequence carried by the populists by plural ities in Colorado of 14,964, in Ida hoof 1,921, in Kansas of 5,874 and in Nevada of 4,453. In North Dakota the populists obtained 181 plurality in the state, but the three electoral votes went one to each candidate. In Wyoming the re publicans secured 732 plurality. In the other western and Pacific states a combination of the demo cratic and populist votes in 1892 would have made these changes in the results: California, carried by the demo crats by 144 plurality, would have given 25,496 plurality over the re publicans. Illinois, carried by the demo crats by 26,993 plurality, would have given them a plurality of 49,200. Indiana's democratic plurality of 7,125 would have been increased to 29,333. Iowa's republican plurality of 22.965 would have been reduced to 2,370. Michigan's republican plurality of 20,412 would have dwindled to 520. Minnesota's republican plurality of 21,903 would have been changed to a plurality of 7,410 against the republicans. Montana, instead of giving 1,270 plurality for the republicans, would have given a plurality of 6,064 for the democrats. Nebraska's republican plurality of 4,093 over the populists would have given a plurality of 20,850 against the republican ticket. Ohio would have reversed the republican plurality of 1,072 to a plurality of 13,778 for the other side. Oregon, which gave a mixed vote, showing a small plurality for the republicans, would have given a plurality of 6,206 against Harri son. South Dakota's plurality of 8, 344 for the republicans would have changed to 737 against them. Washington's republican plural ity of 6,658 would have been wiped out and a democratic and populist plurality of 12,507 would have turned the state to the other side. West Virginia's democratic plur ality of 4,174 would have been in creased to 8,340. Wisconsin'sdemQcratic plurality of 6.544 would have swelled to 16,453. Wyoming, which gave Harrison 732 plurality, would have doled out to him only 202. Allowing to the Chicago demo cratic candidate only the states that are believed to be certain for him, whatever the gold democrats may do, the following is the list of DEMOCRATIC STATES. Electoral vote. 11 8 13 13 8 8 9 17 11 9 12 Alabama Arkansas Florida Oeornia Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Mississippi Missouri North ^Carolina South Carolina Tennessee Texas Ctah Virginia II 3 12 Total 153 Add the populist states: Colorado 4 Idaho 3 Kansas 10 Nevada 8 Total 170 Conceding to the republicans the states likely to be affected by a democratic bolt, although the surrender of New York at least is strongly and vigorously protested against, McKinley is given the fol lowing states: REPUBLICAN STATES. Connecticut Maine Massachusetts New Hampshire New .Jersey New York Ohio Pennsylvania Rhode Island Vermont Wyoming Total 148 This leaves unplaced the follow ing states: UNPLACED STATES. California Delaware Illinois Indiana Iowa Michigan Minnesota Montana Nebraska North Dakota Oregon South Dakota Washington. West Virginia Wisconsin Total W -V.. ,i 0 .V WHERE WILL THE UNPLACED STATES OO? Of the unplaced states, where ought California to go? In 1892 its electoral vote was given to Cleveland by 144 plurality. The combined democratic and populist vote was 25,496 over the republi cans. In 1894 the democratic gov ernor was elected by 1,206 plurality and the democratic and populist votes combined had a plurality of 52,510 over the republicans. It is a significant fact that much dissat isfaction prevailed, and while the democratic governor was elected the other state officers went to the republicans. Delaware has gone democratic seven times since 1876 and repub lican once. Illinois, Indiana, Iowa and Mich igan have in them some democratic disaffection. Judgment, based on ascertained facts, would be justified in placing Illinois, Indiana and Wisconsin in the Bryan column. There is cer tainly good ground for believing they will maintain their combined democratic and populist pluralities under the impetus of union and the promise of victory. The rest of the unplaced states are on the crest of the great west ern tidal wave of the free silver movement and are believed to be prepared to sweep away all oppo sition to Bryan. Minnesota, Mon tana, Nebraska, North and South Dakota, Oregon, Washington and West Virginia are all counted on to give the Chicago candidate their electoral votes. They are placed in the demo cratic column for good and con vincing reasons. Minnesota, because the demo cratic and populist vote of 1892, with both those parties inharmoni ous and dissatisfied, was 7,410 larger than the republican vote. Montana, because without the prestige of union and free silver coinage the democratic and popu list vote combined was 6,064 larger than the republican vote in 1892 for president, 2,489 larger in the congressional election of 1894 and 7,257 larger in the last election for governor. Nebraska, because the combined vote was 20,850 larger than the re publican vote in 1892, 10,187 larger in 1894 for governor and 19,614 larger last year on supreme court judge. North Dakota, because fusion without the prestige of a solid union, defeated the republicans for governor in 1892 by 1,729 plurality. South Dakota, because the dem ocrats and populists together had a plurality over the republicans in 1892 under adverse circumstances that kept democrats from the polls and reduced their vote more than 60 per cent. Washington, because it has shown large democratic and popu list pluralities over the republicans in 1892 and all subsequent elec tions. West Virginia, because its straight democrats gave Cleveland a plurality, because all its state officers and judiciary are demo cratic and because in eight elec tions only one has been republican in its results. The probable results, based on the foregoing facts, are thus stated: THE DEMOCRATIC FORECAST. Assured democratic l'onul ist states of 1892. California Delaware Illinois Indiana Minnesota Montana Nebraska North Dakota Oregoi South Dakota Washington West Virginia Total Assigned votes Delaware Indiana North Carolina Louisiana Total 5 1 •l~• 153 20 9 3 «4 15 8 3 4 4 4 4 265 THE REPUBLICAN FORECAST. Conceded republican 143 Iowa 13 Michigan 14 Wisconsin Total Electoral vote for Bryan For McKinley Electoral majority for liryan 182 265 183 83 COULD WIN WITHOUT ILLINOIS AND INDIANA. The concession of Illinois and Indiana to the republicans would make the following result: Kopublican probable states... Illinois Indiana 182 24 Total 221 Or, in accordance with other re publican figures and claims, this result might be foretold: States probably republican Delaware Indiana .. West Virginia Nebraska Oregon 182 8 15 Total 218 Other republican prophets give up the western unplaced states ex cept Indiana, but claim for their ticket Delaware, North Carolina and Louisiana. This would give, with the states assigned to the republicans: Still not enough to elect Mc Kinley. On the other hand it is seriously questioned whether New York, with its deadly republican local feud and a democracy growing in enthusiasm for Bryan, whose only crimes appear to be his youth ana his eloquence, will be found in the republican column. Many demo crats deny that Ohio can be safely counted for McKinley, while every man with a knowledge of politics oan judge whether it will not be more probable that Iowa, Michi gan and Wisconsin will be found rolling on to the democratic shore on the great western tidal wave than that Delaware, Illinois, Indi ana, Nebraska, North Carolina, Oregon and Louisiana will range themselves in the republican column. A Chance to Make Money, I have berries, grapea and peaches, a year old, freBh as when picked. I use the California Gold process, do not beat or 6eal tbe fruit, just put it up cold, keeps perfectly fresh, aod costs almost nothing can put up a bushel in ten minutes. Last weak I sold directions to over 120 families anyone will pay a dollar for directions, when they see tbe beautiful samples of fruit. As there are many people poor like myself, I consider it my duty to give my experience to such and feel confident anyone can make oue or two hundred dollars round home in a few days. I will mail sample of fruit and complete directions, to any of your readers for eighteen two-cent stamps, which is only tbe actual oost of tbe samples, postage, etc.. to me. FBANCIS CASEY, St. Louis, Mo* Praise Lord Russell's Speech. LONDON, Aug. 22.—The afternoon newspapers praise the address of Baron Russell of Killowen, the lord chief jus tice, to the American Bar association at Saratoga, N. Y. The Pall Mall Gazette says: "We know that behind the sen timents of Lord Russell are the senti ments of the whole nation, and behind the enthusiastic cheers of his audience the whole of another. His magnificent speech will go far to cement jnutual good will still more firmly." Both Shot Simultaneously. STURGIS, S. D., Aug. 22.—Ray Sewell, who for the past month has been con fined in the Meade county jail in this city, on the charge of cattle rustling, made a desperate effort to escape and was killed in an encounter with Fred Willard, a butcher. Both men shot simultaneously, Sewell's bullet grazing Willard's hair, but Willard's bullet cut Sewell's jugular vein and shattered liis spinal column, causing instant death. Resignation Not Forced. BERLIN-, Aug. 22.—The Reichsan zeiger publishes a semi-official note which declares that General Bronsart von Schellendorf, who was recently minister of war, resigned on account of ill health, thus denying the reports that his retirement was due to a difference of opinion, with the emperor regarding reform in military trials. Formed a Bicycle Trust. NEW YORK, Aug. 22.—The World publishes the following: The big ufacturers of association to man bicycles have formed an promote a good under standing among the monitors, it is stated. The association's weniuors represent $28,000,000 invented in rul.u' ai!! li"' Who can Measure the influence of the Mother—it lasts through all coming ages, and enter* the eonflnes of eternity. With what care therefore should the Expectant Mother be guarded and how great the effort to make ner life happy. "Mother's Friend" makes child-birth easr.a* •lata nature in its sublime effort, leares the Moth er stronger after than before confinement, and robs the hour of Its terror. Ko Expectant Mother can afford to neglect Its DM. "A customer whose wife used 'Mother's Friend1 says that if she had to go through tbe ordeal again, and there were but four bottles to be obtained, and the cost was 1100.00 per bottle, ha would hare them." QEO.LAYTOM,Dayton,Ohio. Scat by Malt, on receipt of price. JI.ooPER BOTTLE. Book- "TO EXPECTANT MOTHERS" TM« •RADriELD REGULATOR CO..ATLANTA,Qa.(re«.miiltd SOLO BY ALL ORUAAIATS. NOTIOE OF SETTLEMENT OF AC COUNT. State of North Dakota, I „u County of Stutsman. f88 In County Court. In the matter of the estate of Mary W. Hush, deceased: Notice Is hereby given, that Ella M. Cor win the duly appointee! and qualified executrix of Mary w. Hush, deceased, has rendered and pre sented for settlement, and filed in said court her account of her alu inUtration of said estate and that the 16th day of September- A. 1). 181HJ, at 10 o'clock a. in., of said day, at the court room of said court, in the city of Jamestown in said county of Stutsman, has been duly ap pointed by the said court, for the settlement or said account, at which time and place any per son interested in said estate may appearand file his exceptions, In writing, to the said account and contest the same. Dated this 10th day of August, A. I). 1HU0. JOHN KNUAK, [Seal I Jndge of the County Court. F. Baldwin, attorney lor executrix. First Pub. Aug. 18,1890. CATARRH to a LOCAL DISEASE and Is the mult ol colds and sudden climatic changes. It can be cared by a pleasant remedy which Is applied di rectly into tbe nostrils. Be ing quickly absorbed it gives relief at once. 15 11 8 •JWtVtii Ely's Cream Balm 182 a is acknowledged to be the most thorough cure for Nasal Catarrh, Cold In Head and Hay Fever of all remedies. It opens and cleanses the nasal passages, allays pain ana lnflammr.tfon, heals tho sores, pro tects the membrane from colds, restores the senses of taste and sraell. Price 60c. at DmKglstsor byJDSJU SLY BROTHERS, Warren Street, New York, fODSflmpliOD 1J AMD IM 'cru ^^ToTmEw To TUB EDITOR ^-1 have an absolute remedy for Consumption. By its timely iu« thousands of hopeless cases have been already permanently cured So proohjositive ami of its power that I consider my duty to uniHfobottln fret to those of your readers who have Consumpttonjhroat, Bronchial or Lung Trouble, if they will write me their express and postoffice address. Sincerely, T. A. ttOCTnt,K. c., IM rearl St* Wnr Tort. ma- Tho Editorial and Bosinese Management ol t^*I»agsr Uaatant— this generous Proposition. NOTICE OP MORTGAGE SALE. Notice is herebv elver that that certain mort cam). executed and delivered, by Melville B. Miurn and Annetta A. Coburn, his wife, mort caL'ors, to Alliance Moi'tna^e and Investment Company, Limited, of Manchester, I'.iiKland, mortWee, dated July 21st, 18W. and tiled for record in the ollice of the register of deeds of the county of Stutsman, and state of North Dakota, ou the 22nd day of July, 1890, and recorded In hook "K" ot mortgage deeds, at page 312, will be foreclosed by a sale of the premises In such mortgage, and hereinafter described, at the front door of the court house in the eitv of Jamestown, county of Stutsman, and state of North Dakota, at the hour of a o'clock p.m., oil the 10th day of October, 1890, to satisfy the amount due upon such mortgage on the day of sale. The premises described in such mortgage and which will he sold to satisfy the same are described as follows: All of section number twenty li ve(25)ln township number one hundred and fortv-one (141) norin of range number sixty-live (05) west of the rifth Principal meridian in Stutsman county, North Dakota. There will bo due on such mortgage at the date of sale the- sum of Twenty-seven hun dred eighty-nine and 15100 dollars, and lawful attorney's fees and taxes, and the costs and dis bursements of this foreclosure. Dated this 24th day of August, 1800. ALLIANCE MORTGAGE AND INVESTMENT COMPANY, LIMITED, NOTICE OP MOETGAGE SALE. Notice is hereby given that that certain mort gage executed and delivered bv Melville ro" A/ FOB SALE BY W. BALDWIN, JAMESTOWN. N.D CAMP & SEILER, JAMESTOWN, N. D. Do A general law business. Firetolaes collection and real estate department in oonneotion. WOOL Our Now Factory Pure Woolen Yarns, Flannels tcf5* Blankets Send your wool to us for Custom Work or Ex change. The best wool market in the North west. Our 1896 year book with samples, price list and shipping instructions free to any address. GRAND FORKS WOOLEN MILLS GRAND FORKS, N. D. N I E n—-eMSLi- t: t, I Mortgagee. Marion Conklin, attorney for mortgagee, Jamestown, North Dakota. First Pub. 8-27 '86. I.ast Pub. 10-1 '9C. B. Coburn and Annetta A. Coburn, his wife, mort gagors, to Alliance Mortgage and Investment Company, Limited, of Manchester, England, mortgagee, dated May 26th, 1890, ana tiled for record In the oltlceof the register of deeds of the county of Stutsman and state of Noith Da kota, on the 0th day of June. 1890, and recorded in book' K" of mortgage deeds at ,tage 304, will be foreclosed by a sale of the premises in such mortgage and hereinafter described at the front door of the court house In the city of Jamestown county of Stuts man and state of North I)a:ota, at the hour of two o'clock p. m. on the 10th day of October, 1800 to satisfvthe amount due upon such mortgage on the day of sale. The premises described in such mortgage and which will be sold to satisfy the same are described as follows: All of section number live (5) In township num ber one hundred and forty-four (144) north of range number slxty-flve (66) west of the Fifth Principal Meridian in Stutsman county, North Dakota. There will be due on such mortgage at the date of sale the sum of Twenty- seven hun dred thirty-seven and 84-100 dollars, and lawful attorney's fees and taxes, and the costs and dis bursement of this foreclosure. Dated this 24th day of August, 1896. ALLIANCE MORI-GAGE AND INVESTMENT COMPANY, LIMITED, Mortgagee. Marion Conklin. attorney for mortgagee, Jamestown, North Dakota. First Pub. 8-27 '86. Last Pub. 10-1, '96. ILSONlS igiParm fevtr IS THE -V 0NL^f ,1 Hi '"H a: We represent a8 na)cateof i. and sell Fcirnl* POM Chicago mfrs. 1 SRKtBV »n ture In all parts of country, Bmrcrina direct from factory, at whole- S. sale prices. Bend 6c. for post •ceon bit Iiius.Cat. American Furniture Agency. P.O. Box 43. GA1ENA, KAS.