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ARE NIAGARA FALLS TO BECOME A THING OF THE PAST? gEFPRE Niagara Falls, which are now cutting their way backward along the bed of the river to Lake Erie at the rate of about f ouiTfeet a year,' reach the head of Grand Island less than five miles away, there will be no Niagara. The whole system of the great lakes is changing. The waters of Lake Michigan at Chicago are slowly; rising and Lake Erie is growing shallow., \ Eventually, unless a dam Is built to pre vent it, as. has been proposed. Lake Michi gan will overflow to the Illinois River, as it did centuries ago In the last preglacial period; the basin of Lake Erie will be I tributary to Lake Huron, the current will; be reversed in the Detroit and the St. Clair channels, and the whole lake system will drain southward into the Mississippi. Then Niagara will vanish. From a ma jestic cataract the falls will/dwindle to a few threads of water falling over a precipice," as may be seen In the summer season in the upper falls of the Genesee at Rochester. All that they will carry will be the drainage of : t;he immediate neigh borhood, v;.;. - /'"' '¦ " r U . ..- There isn't 'any occasion for alarm for the present, however, for all-this will take place in from 2000 to 3000 years from now, anu many things may happen before then. Also, as/It is extremely unlikely that the elixir of life will, be discovered in this gen eration, nobody now "; alive need j worry ' niuch about it. But , that is what the great lake system is pending" to, as is set forth in an interesting "Guide to the Ge ology and Paleontology of Niagara Falls and Vicinity," by Professor Amadeus W. Grabau, S. D., of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, arranged and" published In most complete form by John M. "¦ Clarke, the S.tate paleontologist, -as a bulletin of the New. York State -.Museum. '-' : ''?;¦ ,' '•.The- book, . which is handsomely; IHus-' trated with photographic plates, has been prepared, so Mr. Clarke says lir'a brief preface, with the .especial purpose of .af fording to visitors to Buffalo during the season of the Pan-American Exposition. a guide. In their tours through; this -region, \ renowned for its scenic features and class ic in its geology. '', The ground has been the subject' of a multitude of scientific treat ises, but in no single place'bef ore has their general 'purport been' ' brought vtogether, and Mr. Clarke thinks that they cannot fail to prove serviceable' to. a /large ele-' ment of the public. .•,';.. . '.'.''-.> ''..-.' '.. It will be from" 500" to 600 years before the tendency of the lakes to a new drainage , bed >s pla'nly manifested! according to the | authorities cited Y by Professor :Grabau. , The rising of the waters of Lake Michigan I at ; : present | is at »the fate* of ; nine or • ten inches a century. 'The first water to over flow will be that at \ some high stage of the lake and the discharge may at first be intermittent. For a mean lake stage such a discharge will begin in about 100) years, but after 1500 years there will be" no interruption. ; . . . / • In abflut 2000 years the Illinois Riveriand the Niagara will carry equal »shares of the surplus water of the great • lakes, and in ?500 years for certain*, there will be . no Niagara.. ¦ " - • ."/• That is if man. In the shape of the . United States Government, does not inter fere. The shoaling'of Lake Erie at Cleve land and at othei* points on the Ohio shore has already given cause for alarm,, and the stoppage cf this natural movement, in the general drainage system of the lakes, .which is attributed to the gradual tilting of the land in the northwest, has been se riously considered. '..-">..' * The plan proposed to stop the tendency is to erect an immense dam in the Niag : ara River above Buffalo,' with the object of checking and eventually, decreasing the outflow. It is argued that' this would not greatly decrease the power of Niagara, now valuable; but there are authorities who contend that this argument is absurd and the plan is opposed on. that account, g I ' This tilting of the territory in the Northwest is a curious phenomenon, for which the 'geologists .cannot wholly ac c6unt. It is plainly recorded , in . the beaches of the j old ' glacial lakes, which had; a uniform elevation while forming, but now are no longer of a uniform height above the sea level, rising progressively . toward the northeast. The movement is .still going on. '-•>•" 7 . — - ; Professor G. K. Gilbert has made an ex tended study of the problem, and he, has been led to the assumption that the whole lake region is being lifted on. one side or • depressed on the other, so that' its plane is> bodily/canted toward the south-south -west.; The rate of change, he estimates, ' is. such .that the two ends of a. line 100 miles long and lying in a south-southwest direction, are relatively displaced to , the •extent of four-tenths of a foot in- a cen tury. From this it T follows that the waters of? each lake are gradually rising on the southern and western shores or falling on Uhe* northern- and eastern shores* or both. Niagara Falls came into existence when . the I waters .= of ' Lake Iroquois, which ¦ In ( age's ' long past was the; ; predecessor' of "Lake Ontario, fell beneath the leveFof the I escarpment at ; Lewistoh. At first the falls -were, only a small cataract, ; but - year by year v as .the llake subsided the cataract gained in height and consequently in. force of 'fall, as well as efficiency in cutting "its channel. , The Niagara gorge' from Lowis ton to the present falls, is_ believed to be wholly the product of river erosion. ; . ." Before the advent of the falls the Ni agara was a placid. stream from lake to lake much as it is to-day from Buffalo to the northern end of Grand Island. It cut shallow banks into' the glacial till and their traces are seen now some places a mile back from the edge of the gorge which the falls have since cut. It has been patiently cutting that gorge for thousands of years, how many the geologists cannot tell, but they place the total at not less than 10,000 or more than 50,000. One "geologist. Professor Hitchcock, puts the beginning . of the great cataract of 1025 B. C, which is 30) years before the time of Romulus, : or about the period in which King David reigned in Jerusalem. As long as a river Is narrow and vig orously undercuts Its banks the latter will be steep and the river channel will have the 'character of a gorge. This continues as long as the river is cutting downward, that is, till'; the grade or the *river bot tom is a. very gentle _pne. Then the spreading of the current undercuts the banks, -and atmospheric, degradation quickly destroys the cliffs,' which the river does not keep perpendicular. Niag ara gorge changes ;greatly even in a cen tury, Before the. falls the river flows in a channel in places only ten feet wide and 100 feet below the level of the platform, which was its bed a century ago. There is a theory that only >: a part, the southern or latter part of the gorge. of the whirlpool rapidsrwas carved by .the Niagara, the volume of which was at one time reduced by the buried St. David's gorge, since swept away in a glacial pe riod, and that the greatest half of ,the gorge was preglacial. All the authorities agree, however, that the broad and deep gorge "from Clifton , to the present falls was made by a cataract carrying the full supply of water. This, which geologists say Is the most readily, interpreted part of the gorge, has now corner to an end at the present falls, and the-character of the channel hereafter can: only .be con jectured. * .-. Niagara, it seems, is; now at a critical stage. • The river has reached the second of the points where a rectangular turn la made, and the gorge behind the falls Is changing. .. A short , canal, narrower than that of. the last section, is being cut by : the Horseshoe fall, and that fall itself ti . narrowing. This narrowness of the channel is due to the* concentration of water in the- center of ; the stream. Goat Island, : which divides . the Horse shoe from the ; American fall, and the other islands as well, owes its existence tp this concentration of the water, for at one time all of these inlands were sub merged by. the _ current." The channel above the Horseshoe fall has been cut to more than fifty feet below the summit of Goat Island at the falls, while tha upper • end of the island is still at the level of J the water in the river. The effect will be that the island as an island In time will disappear. It lies on one side of the main mass of water which, rushing forward., passes it and strikes the * Canadian bank, from which it is deflected toward the center of the cataract, that portion being thus deepened and worn back most rapidly, as may be observed from the upper walks of the Canadian park, where In many cases the shores have been ballasted and other wisaproteeted from the current. In an earlier period, when the falls were farther north and before the central part of the stream had been deepened to It3 present extent, the water, then at the lev el of the river above Goat Island, flooded what is now Queen Victoria Park and carved, from the glacial hill the pro nounced concave wall which now bounds the park on the west. A local eddy, prob ably in very recent times, carved the steep and semi-circular cliff which Incloses the Dufferin Islands. In 1000 years from now and at the pres ent rate of recession of the falls it is cal culated by the geologists, whose views are set forth by Professor Grabau. that the Horseshoe Falls will have reached the up per end of Goat Island, and that will end the American Falls. These having a I smaller erosive force will have receded only' about half way to the Goat Island bridge in that time. The Horseshoe Falls* will draw off the water from the Ameri can Falls, and all of the-lslands will 'then be joined by a dry channel to the main land, an event which. Professor Grabau say?, was anticipated only as far back as . 1848. when owing to an ice blockade in the Niagara River^iear Buffalo the American Falls wa3 deprived of all its water for a day. Should a dam be built in the Niagara River the effect might be the same. This is not the first time in the history of Niagara that the falls .have been di vided. Long ago. when the falls were at Fosters Flats, almost seven miles below their present situation, it is supposed- that a narrow island, comparable to Goat- Isl and, in the river bed cut the falls In two. The foundations of the island, which has since crumbled away, are to be seen in the ridge which divides the old dry chan nel on the left from the main bed of tHe river. ' • • , The eastern or American fall was in this case the larger of the two. and -as it. car ried the channel it receded more rapid lv When the Canadian fall reached the head of the island the American . had Just passed it, and the Canadian fall fell but of the race. So history is only repeatinz itself now in Niagara... -;" ,-.,.,,** , The history, physical geography, eeolojrv and paleontology of .the Niagara -region are dealt with in the greatest detail in the new book of the State museum. It-'con - tains many plates, a large colored map and possibly more of interesting scientific data of the region. than has ever before been brought together.— New York Suru . W-CSEPH LE CONTE. deud and b-r.eJ," I wept, honored and his praises sung' ).y ¦ by all .who knew- him, . "will , hold "a f%J firm place in the memories of all / who-came under the influence of his . sterling personality.. It was his person ality,, after all,, that made him revered and beloved by students and the compan ions of his youth and old age. That he was a great scientist no one doubts, but it is not for«that alone that California mourns his loss. He was a ma.ri so simple in nature, so genial and warm in' temperament and so Infectiously good that his personality was truly irresistible. ': The man's ' scientific value", which was always of a positive and big quantity, was submerged: "by ; this charmi and, it: was "Prof. Joe," ,the man, that was"; the object :cf affection, and rev erence.)-- ••¦'»¦ ¦';'¦. ~'" z^'*~' - ../'• : ¦;¦>"¦*. •' ]•. ¦ /-•;..'.; Love r for,this gray-_halfed scientist grew to be a,cult..at{ Berkeley. -. Not oniy the students, but^the .townspeople, ¦ felt* his. presence, and he was a~ mark of esteem, respect and affection for all classes. While "sociable and light in spirit, he did not en-' tertain or care to entertain, yet he seemed to enjoy all social functions In which he took part. In Berkeley Lo* Conte had two very. close frienfis— John''Garber, foremost • of Western lawyers, and George Howison, whose philosophy has raised more than one" storm in the quiet, peaceful shades of the university town. ¦ ,. .".. These three men would come together on many,; occasions, arid all with* different views of life, systems of ethics and cosmic philosophy, would talk the oil out of the lamps. -Howison never, would or could agree with Le Omte's system of ethics. Close and sound -in their friendship, they were often at swords' points over matters of theoretical philosophy. U Tt has been said of Howison that as ' ch as he loves his friends he will put "them on' the grill whenever Intellects cia.sh. And # many an Interesting side lec ture has been delivered (fn the rooms at the university by Howison on Le Conte and Le Conte .on Howisoh. / A favorite scheme of the students was to visit Pro . fessor Le Conte soon after a lecture by Howison' and ask for his opinion. or views on this and that philosophical point educed by the nominated teacher of phil osophy, at the university. Then "Prof. Joe" - would straighten himself up and with characteristic outward gesture and ¦a smile that played incessantly upon hit. r :ne old countenance he would launch forth in an .'explanation or accounting that proved, at least to himself the abso lute, right of his own philosophy. Le Cont'e treated his antagonist with the greatest respect and deference, even showing consideration for his theories. of ethics.'. Not so with Howisoh. . When the same students would come to him with a bit cf Le Conte there was a general dam nation after a tribute to the man. Of.aU the good and just things said of Le Conte, the eulogies and the panegyrics, perhaps none will equal the few'words spoken how and then by George Howison in the class rooms—always previous to a slaughter of Le Conte's ethical theories.' V Old as Professor Le Conte was, he would never acknowledge physical weakness. Even to the last regular course of lec tures he delivered at the university , he would mount a ladder, tack up his charts and during his lectures he- would stand with pointer in hand, ever ready and ac tive. ' Once about eight years ago a stu dent''offered to assist him in the. hanging of charts bn^the blackboard. His offer was a bit ".gruffly— declined. Professor Davidson tells a story* about Le Conte's ' pride in his own physical yigbr. The two were walking through the col lege grounds, when Professor Davidson unconsciously lifted his arm to lighten the labor of his friend's steps. Le Conte dis played his dislike for such assistance im mediately by .drawing away just far enough to separate himself from his com panion." Professor Le. Conte was an exceedingly .temperate- man— in thought, manner and daily action— though by no means an ascetic. : He enjoyed life and all things that go .with it. "Whether in the valleys or the mountains, at the seaside or in the fields, he found much to fasten his mind upon. They were. not cold dust or rock or so much water to him. Le Conte was nothing if not imaginative and poetic in everything he has done .or said. In the Yosemite he lost sight two hours>ut of every three, of the geological values. The natural beauty. appealed to him. and somo of his descriptions of the valley are- .most beautiful and genuinely valuable from a literary standpoint. • „ As a bit of imagination coupled -with science his students In comparative zool ogy will remember Le Conte's description of a glass of champagne. To this scien tist the peculiar power and fascination of the gurgling wine was due to the fact that It appealed directly to" four senses. • The description f went . something Ilka this: "The molten amberiike liqGid, with its myriads of crystal bubbles rising from the depths, its delicious flavor holding the tongue in. a charm .that knows no break-' Ing, the savor arising to the nostrils and picturing olfactory images as beautiful in their way as anything that appeals to th» eye; all these make champagne. It Is the nectar, the ambrosia of the sublunar world." " , ' . If champagne meant so much to the old scientist he showed a temperateness that was astounding. He rarely drank more than a single glass of wine at a dinner or even at t a. banquet, and whenever asked to fill his glass again would always reply by saying that he -enjoyed the flrst so much and so satisfactorily that he did not care to clog and sicken his appetite with more. " ' His partial abstinence from tobacco was equally •well sustained. It is doubtful if many of his friends have ever seen him smoke, yet he indulged on occasions .' in a short cigarette. "When handed a cigar ette one evening at a banquet he uncon sciously took it, but realizing in a mo ment that he did something foreign to his habits laid it down on the ; table. To a question Le Conte replied: . "Oh, yes, I smoke, but only before going Into the lec ture room, and then I roll myself a cigar ette. "It does me a whole lot of good. Why, I smoke as much as a quarter of a pound of tobacco every year." < Banqueting Professor Le Conte was a hobby with his friends. Scientific and lay societies made him the guest of many a special dinner. As an after dinne'r speaker he always happy in his remarks, never attempting the eloquent. His very individuality, precluded bombast or falsa rhetoric. When his subject was to his lik ing he fell right into it with a dash and vigor that were surprising to his auditors, but he never cared to display any "of his talents in after dinner speaking. He pre ferred to listen, and he was a good listener. ' Soon after his return from Europe In the fall of 1S92 the University Club of this city gave a banquet in his honor and gathered around . the club' boards 'was every man of educational or scientinc nots in the city at the time. Professor Muir, famous as a geologist and particu larly as a discoverer of glaciers, was called upon and naturally the cry of gla ciers went up.. Professor Muir spoke of glacial action In general and indications of it in the Yosemite Valley. To this Le Conte interposed an objection. When ho was called upon to speak he said that he would reluctantly admit of Tosemite gla ciers, but "after all it was a poor, little, miserable dwarf of a glacier and shouldn't be taken into account with the bis ones with small names." WllII OHIO." •»»">¦¦" . •' Le Conte's work -where science and re ligion cross was what endeared him to the church going people and made him an evolutionist of an odd though strong type. . He believed In evolution as an un deniable fact and all his scientific work takes this as a fundamental basis for elaboration. It was doctrinal, sdentlflo gospel' to -him. Butyls beliefs In evolu* tion went hand in hand with a stronger belief Christianity. Amons his friends he numbered severaT who stood on a plat form" of agnosticism and even atheism. Thew say that Professor- X* Conta's ethical labors rested upon an endless struggle to reconcile Christianity with evolution and they hint at the severity of the task. Like Faraday, tha ereat Eng lish scientist, Le Conte was swept with a tidal wave of faith— an overpowering and Irresistible faith In the biblical teach ings as relating to the cardinal principles of Christianity. The story of Faraday ¦was often repeated by L.e> Conte — that ¦when ho went to church he was over whelmed with faith. Science then, was forgotten* for the tlmo/S. .¦; .', There 13 hardly any likelihood that.an other professor will take Le Conte's placa In the heart of the student body. They say at the University of California that the classes since his active days showed as great a respect and affection for the old scientist as those who felt the direct power of his teaching. And Le Conte was not proof against this reverence on the part of. students. He liked appreciation.* It warmed .his soul and brought Joy to his heart. When on his seventieth birthday the student body decorated hl3 classroom with flowers the tears rolled out of the old teacher's eyes and he responded in a way that brought gulp3 to the throats of some of the students. After that the decoration of" Le Conte's room on an niversaries became a custom. One of "Professor Joe's" bosom friends was George Davidson, eminent on this coast as the head of the Coast - Survey. Professor Davidson tells this story: "It was no uncommon matter for Joe to drop Into my office about 3 o'clock In the after noon and find me busy at work.* He would express astonishment at the fact that I was so. persistent and steady at the desk. I in. turn would ask him how he man aged to finish his, dally work so easily. Then, In his Inimitable way. he would use a philosophy of the economy of labor and prove to both of us that the best work is accomplished, not by constant devotion, but a wise discretion and a husbanding of physical strength." It was this same Georsre Davidson that was called upon to welcome "Joe" La Conte upon hl3 return from abroad. The whole tone of his speech sounded the per sonality of the. man and left science to take care of itself. So it always was with those who had the pleasure of Intercourse, with Professor Le Conte. They forgot the work of the man and felt only the In fluence of a personality that 'will last as long: as memory endures. . ¦ • -. - - -- r ¦ ¦. .<-¦.-. ;-,- N ; ;/ THE SUNDAY CAI/L.; 2 STORIES OF LE CONTE-PHILOSOPHER